{"id":2167,"date":"2011-11-16T08:27:19","date_gmt":"2011-11-16T12:27:19","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.broadstreetbelievers.com\/?p=2167"},"modified":"2011-11-16T08:27:19","modified_gmt":"2011-11-16T12:27:19","slug":"bsb-college-hoops-conference-preview-acc","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"http:\/\/broadstreetbelievers.com\/?p=2167","title":{"rendered":"BSB College Hoops Conference Preview: ACC"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Well, here we are, my friends, on the precipice of another college hoops season.\u00a0 And, with the seemingly warranted threat of an NBA lockout, we actually have a lot more returning talent to the college landscape than the past several years (most of it sitting in Chapel Hill,\u00a0NC,\u00a0and Columbus, OH,\u00a0but still&#8230;).\u00a0 And, there is a decent influx of talented freshman and other upperclassmen that will be given the keys to their respective programs all across the country.\u00a0 The one sport that never, EVER disappoints has begun, so buckle up, it&#8217;s time to go.<\/p>\n<p>Over the next week or so, I am going to try and give quick editorials on the relevant teams from individual conferences across the country.\u00a0 I am going to start in the mid-Atlantic with the ACC, not because it is the best conference (and it&#8217;s probably not close), but because, well, it gets the most airtime around here and houses the preseason #1.<\/p>\n<h2><span style=\"text-decoration: underline;\">The Favorite<\/span> &#8211; North Carolina<\/h2>\n<p>Harrison Barnes, Tyler Zeller, and John Henson all decided to forego NBA riches (and lockouts) to try and match what a couple of Heels named Hansbrough, Lawson, and Ellington did a couple years ago and put off pro ball for a year for a shot at a national title.\u00a0 And, they certainly have a shot, as they enter the season #1 in the country &#8211; and there is very little debate about it.<\/p>\n<p><em>The Guy.<\/em><strong>\u00a0 <\/strong>Every team has some that is &#8220;The Guy&#8221; on their roster.\u00a0 But, not every team has a guy like <strong>Harrison Barnes.\u00a0 <\/strong>After a slow start due probably to the untenable expectations, the top-rated recruit in the country, Barnes, started to become the player everyone thought he was going to be by the end of the year.\u00a0 Now, this year, while everyone is touting guys like OSU&#8217;s Jared Sullinger or UK&#8217;s Terrance Jones as potential national players of the year, I think Barnes will be the nation&#8217;s best player this year.<\/p>\n<p><em>The Frontcourt.\u00a0 <\/em>With Barnes, <strong>Tyler Zeller<\/strong>, and <strong>John Henson<\/strong>, the Heels don&#8217;t just have the best frontcourt in the nation this year, but they have, in my opinion, the best frontcourt the college game has seen since Joakim Noah, Al Horford, and Corey Brewer were busy winning back-to-back titles down in Gainesville (right before all three were selected among the first 9 picks of the NBA draft the following year).\u00a0 Barnes, Unless, of course, they don&#8217;t\u00a0need him to\u00a0do it all because of the load that Zeller and Henson can take off of him.\u00a0 Zeller little\u00a0jump hook is\u00a0almost unstoppable, and Henson&#8217;s length\u00a0gives\u00a0him the potential to be the best interior defender in the country with a little work.\u00a0 This frontcourt is loaded with reinforcements off the bench.\u00a0 The best of the subs will probably be 6&#8217;9&#8243; freshman <strong>James Michael McAdoo<\/strong>, who can give time at both forward spots.\u00a0 Recognize the name?\u00a0 Yes, he is a distant relative of Bob McAdoo, who was an okay player in his day.\u00a0 They also brought in a talented center in 6&#8217;10&#8221; <strong>Desmond Hubert<\/strong>, who could use a little size, but should contribute 8-12 decent minutes off the bench.<\/p>\n<p><em>The Backcourt.\u00a0 <\/em>The backcourt\u00a0&#8211;\u00a0while overshadowed &#8211; isn&#8217;t too shabby either.<strong>\u00a0 Kendall Marshall <\/strong>was\u00a0thrust into the starting lineup last year when Larry Drew\u00a0quit the team 12 hours before a game.\u00a0 Well, it might\u00a0have been the best thing that happened to the Heels because Marshall was worlds better than Drew &#8211; and in\u00a0just the way the team needed.\u00a0 He loves to\u00a0pass, and he loves to do it\u00a0in the open floor.\u00a0\u00a0Is there a better style of point guard for a team with quick, athletic, great finishing bigs?\u00a0 Is there a better style of point guard\u00a0for a Roy Williams coached team?\u00a0 Probably not.\u00a0 Now, don&#8217;t get me wrong, Marshall is not going to make anyone forget the names Ty Lawson\u00a0or\u00a0even Raymond Felton, but, when it comes to fullcourt offensive distribution, he is typecast.\u00a0 And, Marshall&#8217;s running mate, <strong>Dexter Strickland<\/strong>, is also good in the open court.\u00a0 But, there is a problem, though.\u00a0 How good are these guys in the halfcourt on offense, and, more importantly, are they going to stop anyone on the defensive end?\u00a0 And, furthermore, how many minutes &#8211; in this uptempo style &#8211; can these two play?\u00a0 And, if it&#8217;s not 35+, then how big of step back will the team take with <strong>Reggie Bullock<\/strong> or <strong>P.J. Hairston<\/strong> on the floor.\u00a0 The frontcourt depth took a shot with the injury to <strong>Leslie McDonald<\/strong>, so we may even have to see a lot of <strong>Justin Watts<\/strong>, which wouldn&#8217;t be a good sign.<\/p>\n<p><em>Strengths.\u00a0 <\/em>Overall, the Tar Heels are absolutely loaded with talent and experience, particularly in that monstrous frontcourt.\u00a0 Just Barnes, Zeller, and Henson alone would make this team a real contender, but they also have McAdoo off the\u00a0bench and Marshall, who could become a dynamic playmaker for this team.\u00a0 Just imagine how unstoppable they would become if they get a breakout season from either Strickland or Bullock at the 2-guard &#8211; which is entirely possible because they are both supremely talented and will never be the target of opposing defensive gameplans.\u00a0\u00a0<\/p>\n<p><em>Question Marks.\u00a0 <\/em>The only real vulnerability this team has is if Marshall isn&#8217;t equipped to handle a full workload at the point.\u00a0 They don&#8217;t really have anyone else to step in if he is in foul trouble or is just simply getting abused by his opposite number (which is entirely\u00a0possible with all the quality lead guards out there).<\/p>\n<p><em>Their Ceiling.<\/em>\u00a0 Anything short of a Final Four would an unmitigated disaster for this team, and anything short of a national title would be a letdown.\u00a0 The ACC is somewhat weak, so they should walk away with a conference title and a #1-seed.\u00a0 I fully expect Roy Williams to bring yet another title to Tobacco Road.<\/p>\n<h2><span style=\"text-decoration: underline;\">My Favorite<\/span>\u00a0&#8211; Virginia<\/h2>\n<p>I have been doing these previews for a couple of years now, and I have a somewhat consistent format.\u00a0 I will\u00a0give the overall consensus favorite to win the league (&#8220;The Favorite&#8221;), followed by a team that I&#8217;ll dub &#8220;My Favorite.&#8221;\u00a0 It is going to range from teams that I think are true, legit\u00a0contenders to unseat the presumed favorite to teams that might jump up and shock the league all the way to teams that I just find a LOT better than what appears to be the general accepted opinion of them.\u00a0 I&#8217;m not entirely sure where the Cavs fall on that continuum, but, either way, they are My Favorite in the ACC this year, for several reasons.<\/p>\n<p>I am a huge fan of the Bennett family coaching tree.\u00a0 Dick Bennett was phenomenal at every stop, and his son, Tony, is picking up right where dad left off.\u00a0 This is now his third year in Charlottesville, and it looks as if he might be finishing up the revitatlization of this one-storied program.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p><em>The Guy.<\/em>\u00a0 <strong>Mike Scott<\/strong> &#8211; no doubt.\u00a0 Scott is a force inside and could be a first-team all-ACC performer this year if everything goes to plan.\u00a0 A 6&#8217;8&#8243; 5th-year senior missed 21 games last year due to a knee injury and was granted a medical redshirt.\u00a0 Now, he&#8217;s back and ready to pick up where he left off &#8211; which was pretty good (15.9 ppg, 10.2 rpg).<\/p>\n<p><em>The Frontcourt.<\/em>\u00a0 Scott is joined by a 7&#8217;0&#8243; senior center\u00a0from Senegal, <strong>Assane Sene<\/strong>, who, like many West Africans, is a menace on the defensive end of the floor and on the glass, but unlike many West African bigs, is not a total liability offensively, shooting well over 50% from the floor last year.\u00a0 Sene will be very important to keep Scott out of foul trouble, so he can get to work on the offensive end.\u00a0 While the team will likely play a three-guard lineup (and should with all the depth back there), they are\u00a0overly shallow (though inexperienced and unproven) in the frontcourt, either.\u00a0 Sophomore <strong>Akil Mitchell<\/strong> is an active rebounder at 6&#8217;8&#8243; tall; 6&#8217;9&#8243; redshirt freshman <strong>James Johnson <\/strong>is a widebodied bruiser, and a lean, athletic 6&#8217;8&#8243; freshman <strong>Darion Atkins<\/strong> was actually a McDonald&#8217;s All-American finalist from Clinton, Maryland.<\/p>\n<p><em>The Backcourt.<\/em>\u00a0 The only real significant loss from last year&#8217;s team was a guy who wasn&#8217;t even supposed to be a big loss.\u00a0 But, Mustapha Farrakhan surprisingly exploded last year to be, arguably, the team&#8217;s best all-around player.\u00a0 Farrakhan is gone, but left behind are some really talented guards, plus a pair of potentially super freshmen.\u00a0 The point guard position will be much as it was a year ago &#8211; a split between 6&#8217;1&#8243; senior <strong>Sammy Zeglinski <\/strong>and 5&#8217;11&#8221; junior <strong>Jontel<\/strong> <strong>Evans.\u00a0 <\/strong>Zeglinski is more of a &#8220;glue guy,&#8221; while Evans is the feitsy competitor coming off the bench to rattle the opposition&#8217;s second-team.\u00a0 The 2-guard position vacated by Farrakhan should be capably filled by a couple of sophomores, who are both poised to burst onto the scene.\u00a0 <strong>Joe Harris<\/strong>, though not a starter, played almost 30 minutes a game last year at a variety of different positions, including some power forward.\u00a0 While Harris will probably start somewhere this year, he will probably play mostly the 3-spot, so that Bennett can get another budding sophomore, <strong>KT Harrell<\/strong>, into the starting lineup.\u00a0 Harrell can flat-out score and, if given the time, could be the perfect complementary outside threat to Scott&#8217;s inside presence.\u00a0 And, if those four guys weren&#8217;t enough, the Cavs also welcome a couple of huge and hugely talented freshman to the backcourt.\u00a0 6&#8217;5&#8243; <strong>Malcolm Brogdon<\/strong> was voted Georgia&#8217;s Mr. Basketball last year and could see time at any of four different positions, including the point.\u00a0 Yet another Mr. Basketball, <strong>Paul Jesperson<\/strong>, is a 6&#8217;6&#8243; sharp-shooter from Wisconsin, and forces defenses to guard him anywhere on the court, so could\u00a0be a nice way of stretching defenses to create more room for guys like Scott and Harrell.\u00a0 This backcourt is young, but potentially loaded.<\/p>\n<p><em>Strengths.<\/em>\u00a0 First of all, they have a <em>great <\/em>coach in Bennett.\u00a0 Second, they have an elite player in Scott.\u00a0 And, third, they have a ton of young talent that is good and eager.\u00a0 If Sene continues to shine on the defensive end and the glass, it&#8217;s hard to see the holes in this team.<\/p>\n<p><em>Weaknesses.<\/em>\u00a0 I think there are two potential issues of concern for this\u00a0team.\u00a0 One, do they have a second scorer after Scott?\u00a0 I don&#8217;t think Sene will\u00a0ever provide more than 5-6 points per game, so they\u00a0probably need one of the shooting guards\u00a0(Harrell or Harris) to make up for at least some of the 14 ppg lost with Farrakhan&#8217;s graduation.\u00a0 The other is frontcourt depth.\u00a0 I like Mitchell as an energy guy off the bench, but they need at least one of the freshmen, Johnson or Atkins, to emerge and give them a solid 8-10 minutes a night.<\/p>\n<p><em>Their Ceiling.<\/em>\u00a0 I love this team, but I can&#8217;t let myself get too excited because they still don&#8217;t have any elite players other than Scott.\u00a0 I think they could probably get into the top 3 or 4 in the ACC and, with a little luck, they might even be wearing white in their first NCAA tournament game in about a decade.\u00a0 But, in reality, this looks like a borderline Top 25 team, at best, with a very, very outside shot at a surprise Sweet 16 appearance in Scott&#8217;s swan song.\u00a0 But, the future is very bright in Charlottesville.<\/p>\n<h2><span style=\"text-decoration: underline;\">Elite<\/span> &#8211; Duke\u00a0<\/h2>\n<p>The Dukies will always be good as long as Coach K is at the helm.\u00a0 But, as for their preseason #6 in the country?\u00a0 I just don&#8217;t see it.\u00a0 I know that they are loaded with McDonald&#8217;s All-Americans, and I know that they finally welcome in Austin Rivers, but am I the only one that remembers what they lost from last year&#8217;s team?\u00a0 Now, I know that Kyrie Irving didn&#8217;t play much, so it&#8217;s hard to say that that&#8217;s a &#8220;loss,&#8221; but do you know who did play a lot?\u00a0 Kyle Singler and Nolan Smith.\u00a0 They played a <em>whole lot<\/em>, and now they&#8217;re gone.\u00a0 Now, there are players on this roster that <em>could <\/em>pick up some of what they lost in Singler and Smith, but will they?\u00a0 I&#8217;m not ready to bet on it.<\/p>\n<p><em>The Guy.<\/em>\u00a0 Remember how good Kyrie Irving was last year?\u00a0 Well, <strong>Austin Rivers<\/strong>, son of Boston Celtics coach, Doc Rivers, is supposed to be considerably better.<\/p>\n<p><em>The Backcourt.<\/em>\u00a0 Along with Rivers, who will play any of the three spots on the perimeter, the Dukies do have some guys who can score the ball.\u00a0 Most notably, is another high-profile son of an NBA star, <strong>Seth Curry<\/strong>.\u00a0 Curry, the son of Del Curry (the NBA&#8217;s all-time leader in three-pointers) and brother of Steph Curry (the former Davidson star and current Golden State Warrior), has shown the signs of the family tradition.\u00a0 He can shoot.\u00a0 The question is &#8211; can he run the point?\u00a0 That remains to be seen.\u00a0 The third guard in the tradition Duke three-guard offense will be a guy who you might think is yet another son of a former NBA star, but <strong>Andre Dawkins<\/strong> has no relation to former Duke and 76er point guard Johnny Dawkins.\u00a0 The good thing about Dawkins is that when the Devils do play all three guards, they can lean on him to do some of the dirty work in the post on the defensive end and on the glass.\u00a0 He is a strong 6&#8217;5&#8243; and can rebound.\u00a0 The question mark about him, though, is whether or not he can contribute enough at the guard spot to even render this discussion meaningful.\u00a0 If Dawkins is not an ACC-caliber starting guard, then Coach K will have to mix and match to find a good combination.\u00a0 Then again, there&#8217;s an outside chance he becomes a star &#8211; Nolan Smith did.\u00a0 The only other two guards that will get significant minutes should be sophomore <strong>Tyler Thornton<\/strong>, who emerged as a solid floor general when Irving went down last year, and a 6&#8217;0&#8243; freshman from Oak Hill Academy, <strong>Quinn Cook<\/strong>.\u00a0 Cook was one of the top recruits in the nation as a junior, but tore his ACL, and there are people who doubt he will ever be the same player again.\u00a0 If he can regain what made him the Washington DC High School POY as a junior, he could be a real find.<\/p>\n<p><em>The Frontcourt.<\/em>\u00a0 If Dawkins doesn&#8217;t force Coach K&#8217;s hand to play all three guards, the Devils have plenty of bodies to use in the frontcourt.\u00a0 If you want tall, overhyped, mediocre bigs named Plumlee, well Duke has cornered the market, as they now have three of them.\u00a0 <strong>Mason Plumlee<\/strong> (the middle child) is the best of the three right now and is probably the best option this team has in the frontcourt.\u00a0 <strong>Miles Plumlee<\/strong> is the eldest of the three, yet probably won&#8217;t start his senior year because he just never developed into the star people thought he would.\u00a0 Mason and Miles are cut from the same mold &#8211; quick, agile, skilled bigs, who lack a certain toughness to go along with their supreme talents.\u00a0 <strong>Marshall Plumlee<\/strong>, only a freshman, may actually have that toughness, but, alas, may also lack the athleticism and skill of his older brothers.\u00a0 More of a back-to-the-basket player, Marshall is a bit more of the plodding big, as opposed to the open floor big that his brothers are.\u00a0 But, the jury is still out on Marshall and the questions won&#8217;t be answered this year because it&#8217;s unlikely that he sees a ton of minutes because there are a couple decent options ahead of him.\u00a0 The one guy Krzyzewski really wants to make the leap is 6&#8217;11&#8221; junior, <strong>Ryan Kelly<\/strong>.\u00a0 If Kelly becomes the star that many people believe he can be, then this team looks a whole lot better on paper.\u00a0 I have my doubts, but we shall see.\u00a0 The Devils also have a possible star in <strong>Alex Murphy<\/strong> (the younger brother of Florida forward Erik Murphy &#8211; and son of former NBA&#8217;er, Jay Murphy).\u00a0 Murphy, dubbed by some as the next Kyle Singler, could give the Devils some solid minutes right away.\u00a0 Duke can also lean on 6&#8217;7&#8243; freshman <strong>Michael Gbinije<\/strong>, who is freakishly athletic, but rather raw, particularly on the offensive end (yes, he&#8217;s on Duke&#8217;s roster&#8230;).<\/p>\n<p><em>Strengths.<\/em>\u00a0 First of all, they will always be better than their talent because their coach is that good.\u00a0 Second of all, they will always have elite talent because their brand is so good.\u00a0 That means they will always be in contention for a national title.\u00a0 If Austin Rivers is anywhere near as good as advertised, then this team will be exceptional.\u00a0 If any of the plethora of potential breakout stars makes that leap, then this team could be downright special.<\/p>\n<p><em>Weaknesses.<\/em>\u00a0 As good as Rivers is supposed to be, I still struggle to see how they are going to replace the production of Singler and Smith.\u00a0 I think it&#8217;s safe to say that the eldest Plumlee (Miles) is nothing special.\u00a0 The middle Plumlee (Mason) might be great, but who knows, and the youngest (Marshall) is still green.\u00a0 Is Ryan Kelly the answer?\u00a0 What about Andre Dawkins?\u00a0 Is Seth Curry good enough to excel when defenses key on him?\u00a0 Still don&#8217;t know that either.\u00a0 A lot of questions are out there yet to be answered.<\/p>\n<p><em>The Ceiling.<\/em>\u00a0 I know it sounds as if I&#8217;m really down on this team.\u00a0 I&#8217;m not.\u00a0 They are very, very good.\u00a0 I&#8217;m just not sure they have enough individual or collective greatness to be special.\u00a0 Rivers is going to turn heads, but he&#8217;s still a freshman &#8211; and a freshman with a reputation as a shaky decision-maker, at that.\u00a0 I think Curry is good as a 3rd or 4th option.\u00a0 I think Dawkins could emerge, but that&#8217;s a big if.\u00a0 And, the same goes for the entire stable of bigs.\u00a0 Would I be shocked if they won the national championship?\u00a0 Not really.\u00a0 I would actually be more shocked if they won the ACC because they&#8217;re better suited for a tournament than a grueling season where they could really be exposed.\u00a0 So, I would say that, while this team <em>could <\/em>win the title, I don&#8217;t see them doing it as a favorite come March.\u00a0 I&#8217;m thinking a 2- or 3-seed, at best, and a pretty solid second-place in the ACC.<\/p>\n<h2><span style=\"text-decoration: underline;\">The Sleeper<\/span>\u00a0&#8211; N.C. State<\/h2>\n<p>Last year, I had the Wolfpack as &#8220;My Favorite&#8221; in the ACC.\u00a0 Well,\u00a0I&#8217;d like to\u00a0take a mulligan on that\u00a0because, well, Sidney Lowe can&#8217;t coach.\u00a0 But, the &#8216;Pack &#8211; after an embarrassing number of coaches passed &#8211; has found themselves a coach&#8230;and he&#8217;s a good one.\u00a0 If you don&#8217;t remember Mark Gottfried was the first coach to ever achieve a national #1 ranking at Alabama.\u00a0 He had up and down success, but he proved (at least to me) that he is a great coach.\u00a0 And, now, he is at a basketball school with some talent left over.<\/p>\n<p><em>The Guy.<\/em>\u00a0 If this team is going to do anything to make me not feel like a fool for touting them in back-to-back years, it is going to be 6&#8217;8&#8243; sophomore forward <strong>C.J. Leslie<\/strong>.\u00a0 Leslie, probably the most celebrated recruit to come to N.C. State in several decades was one of the most disappointing freshmen in the country last year.\u00a0 That is not to say he didn&#8217;t show flashes of why people think he&#8217;s so special (supreme athleticism, a soft touch, great length, and flat-out hops), but what he didn&#8217;t show was any sign, whatsoever, of maturity.\u00a0 He was a malcontent whenever things started to go in the wrong direction and he seemed to compound each and every mistake either he or a teammate committed with a bad turnover or piss-poor shot selection.\u00a0 Now, he may never find the maturity to turn it around, but there are two things that make me think that he will become a better teammate and, therefore, a better player.\u00a0 One is the coaching change.\u00a0 One thing that Sidney Lowe is <em>not <\/em>famous for is being tough.\u00a0 Gottfried, on the other hand, will not allow Leslie&#8217;s laziness to continue.\u00a0 And, second, is Leslie&#8217;s decision (after a meeting with Gottfried) to withdraw his name from the draft.\u00a0 It seemed last year and if he was just using N.C. State as a showcase for his professional talents (which he probably was).\u00a0 But, he probably had a large piece of humble pie when he heard that he would most likely be a second-round pick and not the top 5 that he anticipated.\u00a0 If he puts it together, this team could be a lot better than people think.<\/p>\n<p><em>The Backcourt.<\/em>\u00a0 While the names might not jump out at you, this backcourt is solid and big.\u00a0\u00a0Junior shooting guard <strong>Scott Wood<\/strong> is the team&#8217;s standstill jumpshooter.\u00a0 At 6&#8217;6&#8243; and deceptively quick, Wood can find open shots and, like any good Indiana kid, can knock them down when he gets them.\u00a0 <strong>Lorenzo Brown<\/strong>, a husky 6&#8217;5&#8243; sophomore, may not look like the prototypical ACC point guard, but he really grew into the role last year and could emerge as one of the tougher matchups in the country at the 1-position.\u00a0\u00a0Backing up Brown (or maybe playing alongside him in certain sets) will be 5&#8217;10&#8221; jet <strong>Alex Johnson<\/strong>.\u00a0 Johnson, a senior transfer from CS-Bakersfield, should provide a steady presence on both ends of the floor if Brown finds his opposing number too quick.\u00a0 6&#8217;4&#8243; freshman <strong>Jaqawn Raymond<\/strong> may eventually be a star, but he has a lot of work to do to have the results match up with his elite physical talents.<\/p>\n<p><em>The Frontcourt.<\/em>\u00a0 While the backcourt is actually pretty steady and set, the frontcourt (other than Leslie), on the hand, may still be a work in progress.\u00a0 Gottfried might not have a choice but to play 6&#8217;5&#8243; senior <strong>C.J. Williams<\/strong> 30+ minutes because he is just too valuable on the defensive end.\u00a0 With Williams (who can play some 2-guard, as well), Leslie would slide to the PF spot.\u00a0 Rebounding issues resulting from the smallishness of this frontcourt may be mitigated by (a) the elite athleticism of Leslie, (b) the sheer size of the starting guards, and\/or (c) 7&#8217;1&#8243; center<strong> Jordan Vandenberg<\/strong>.\u00a0 Vandenberg, an Aussie,\u00a0who has really struggled on the defensive end, could emerge to be the team&#8217;s starting center, which would\u00a0mean that Williams and Leslie would easily slide into the forward positions without fear of\u00a0vulnerability in the middle.\u00a0\u00a0However, if\u00a0Vandenberg cannot cut it defensively (which\u00a0will probably be the case, at least early), then Gottfried will have to use some combination of 6&#8217;8&#8243; senior<strong> Richard Howell <\/strong>or 6&#8217;9&#8243; sophomore <strong>DeShawn Painter<\/strong>.\u00a0 Howell is\u00a0more the polished workman, while Painter has raw\u00a0skills and struggles\u00a0defensively and\u00a0with shot selection.<\/p>\n<p><em>Strengths<\/em>.\u00a0 This team is a lot more talented than people may think, even after losing star senior Tracy Smith.\u00a0 And, if Leslie can emerge to his potential (possibly even a first-team all-ACC performer), then\u00a0watch out because the complementary pieces are in place, particularly in the backcourt.<\/p>\n<p><em>Weaknesses<\/em>.\u00a0\u00a0Their biggest possible strength is probably also their biggest possible weakness &#8211;\u00a0C.J. Leslie.\u00a0\u00a0It wouldn&#8217;t shock me if his season was anywhere from off-the-charts spectacular to wholly forgettable and embarrassing.\u00a0 It&#8217;s that unpredictable.\u00a0 And,\u00a0as is probably obvious, the Wolfpack&#8217;s season relies a lot on where, in that continuum, he falls.\u00a0 The other vulnerability is their frontcourt size, but that can possibly be compensated for by the size of their backcourt (6&#8217;6&#8243; and 6&#8217;5&#8243;).<\/p>\n<p><em>Their Ceiling<\/em>.\u00a0 They will not contend with UNC for an ACC title,\u00a0nor\u00a0are they likely to challenge\u00a0the Dukies in any legitimate way, but it is not out of the question that this team could be the third best team in the\u00a0ACC.\u00a0 If so, they will be in the tournament.\u00a0 But, even if everything goes perfectly, it&#8217;s hard\u00a0for even me to believe they will still be playing\u00a0into the second week of the tournament.<\/p>\n<h2><span style=\"text-decoration: underline;\">Contender<\/span> &#8211; Florida State<\/h2>\n<p>There is a ton of hype surrounding this Seminole team this year, and, quite frankly, I&#8217;m not sure I&#8217;m seeing it.\u00a0 Honestly, I think that the public perception is that they are probably the 3rd best team in the ACC (which I don&#8217;t think I would argue) and the 3rd best team in, historically, the best basketball conference <em>has <\/em>to be an elite team.\u00a0 And, historically, that has been true &#8211; where the 3rd best team in the ACC often found itself easily in the top 10 in the country.\u00a0 But, times have changed, and this is not your older brother&#8217;s ACC.\u00a0 UNC is phenomenal and the Dukies are elite.\u00a0 After that, there is a <em>huge <\/em>dropoff, whether or not the public wants to believe that.<\/p>\n<p><em>The Guy.<\/em>\u00a0 At least last year, they could answer nay-sayers like me with two words:\u00a0 Chris Singleton.\u00a0 But, the stud forward is gone to the world of labor unrest and lockouts.\u00a0 In the wake of the Singleton departure, there are any number of candidates to step up and be &#8220;the guy&#8221; on FSU, but I have my doubts about whether any of them actually will, which is why I am not so bullish on the &#8216;Noles as some.<\/p>\n<p><em>The Backcourt<\/em>.\u00a0 The funny thing about the love for FSU this year is that I&#8217;m not even sure that Singleton was their biggest loss from last year&#8217;s team.\u00a0 They also lost their leader and floor general in point guard Derwin Kitchen.\u00a0 They will now turn over the reigns of a team desperate for consistent guard play to a 5th-year senior, <strong>Luke Loucks<\/strong>,\u00a0who has never shown any real consistency.\u00a0 Fortunately, the 2-guard will be manned by a guy much from the same mold as the departed Kitchen, in <strong>Michael Snaer<\/strong>, and may even go with the three-guard lineup by starting Lithuanian sharp-shooter <strong>Deividas Dulkys<\/strong>.\u00a0 They also have the well-traveled <strong>Jeff Peterson<\/strong> off the bench.\u00a0 Peterson played two years for Iowa, before transferring to Arkansas.\u00a0 After one year on the Razorbacks, he transferred again to FSU for grad school.\u00a0 And the big wild card might be sophomore <strong>Ian Miller<\/strong>.\u00a0 Miller, who was highly-touted as a recruit last year, suffered a groin injury that slowed him down.\u00a0 If he can find his form, he might be just what the doctor ordered for this otherwise forgettable backcourt.<\/p>\n<p><em>The Frontcourt. <\/em>The key to the whole season for the Seminoles lies in their 26-year old center, <strong>Bernard James<\/strong>.\u00a0 James, who didn&#8217;t play organized basketball until his days in the Air Force, has emerged to be a certifiable ACC big man.\u00a0 The real question remains however, that despite his being a very inspirational story, can this guy who never played organized basketball on any level, be the go-to guy on a contending team?\u00a0 I have my doubts.\u00a0 One thing that could temper that could be an emergence of <strong>Okara White<\/strong>, who looked real good as a freshman last year, so could be ready to make the leap as a sophomore.\u00a0 And, who knows, maybe 6&#8217;11&#8221; senior <strong>Xavier Gibson<\/strong> might actually put it all together and be the superstar people were saying he would be for three years now.\u00a0 Or, maybe 7&#8217;0&#8243; first-year senior (yes, that&#8217;s right), <strong>Jon Kreft<\/strong> will emerge.<\/p>\n<p><em>Their Ceiling<\/em>.\u00a0 You see, here is the thing with a overly-inflated public image of a conference, as a whole.\u00a0 When the Seminoles win double-digit ACC games this year (and maybe a shocker over Duke or UNC),\u00a0everyone is going to feel vindicated in their preseason top 25 ranking of FSU, and the committee will give them a 7-seed, even though, if you really looked at it, their resume will not really have any meat on it.\u00a0 But, they will take this 7-seed, throw their ridiculous athletes at a 10-seed that is either an undersized mid-major or a middling major conference team playing out the string and win a game before bowing out silently to a far superior 2-seed.\u00a0 And, the tournament win will vindicate all these &#8220;prognosticators&#8221; even more.\u00a0 Needless to say, I think their actual &#8220;ceiling&#8221; is a lot higher than I even think it should be.<\/p>\n<h2><span style=\"text-decoration: underline;\">The Others<\/span><\/h2>\n<p>I honestly do not think that any of the other teams in this league are all that relevant this year (with apologies to all my Maryland fan followers), but I&#8217;ll give a quick editorial line on each.<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><em>Virginia Tech<\/em>.\u00a0 I love Coach Greenberg and think that there is talent here in Blacksburg, but they lost their three best players from a team that wouldn&#8217;t have made a 65-team field.<\/li>\n<li><em>Maryland.<\/em>\u00a0 I cannot say enough about how great of a hire I think Mark Turgeon is, but the surprise departure of Jordan Williams leaves this team in irrelevancy.\u00a0 But, it looks like it might be just one year, as the early returns have Turgeon killing it on the recruiting front.<\/li>\n<li><em>Clemson.<\/em>\u00a0 As a big supporter and defender of Clemson basketball the past few years, I can say this with no regret &#8211; they aren&#8217;t relevant this year.\u00a0 Too much talent has left this program (Demontez Stitt and Jerai Grant, most recently) without enough talent brought back in.\u00a0 That being said, I totally believe in Coach Brownell and think that he will make the Tigers an annual contender.<\/li>\n<li><em>Miami.<\/em>\u00a0 Frank Haith is gone&#8230;not sure that&#8217;s a bad thing.<\/li>\n<li><em>Georgia Tech.<\/em>\u00a0 Paul Hewitt is gone&#8230;not sure that&#8217;s a bad thing.<\/li>\n<li><em>Boston College.<\/em>\u00a0 10 freshmen?\u00a0 Sounds like they&#8217;ll be lucky to finish in 10th place.<\/li>\n<li><em>Wake Forest.<\/em>\u00a0 Nowhere to go but up&#8230;<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Well, here we are, my friends, on the precipice of another college hoops season.\u00a0 And, with the seemingly warranted threat of an NBA lockout, we actually have a lot more returning talent to the college landscape than the past several &hellip; <a href=\"http:\/\/broadstreetbelievers.com\/?p=2167\">Continue reading <span class=\"meta-nav\">&rarr;<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[9],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-2167","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-college-hoops"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"http:\/\/broadstreetbelievers.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2167","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"http:\/\/broadstreetbelievers.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"http:\/\/broadstreetbelievers.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/broadstreetbelievers.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/broadstreetbelievers.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=2167"}],"version-history":[{"count":4,"href":"http:\/\/broadstreetbelievers.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2167\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":2171,"href":"http:\/\/broadstreetbelievers.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2167\/revisions\/2171"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"http:\/\/broadstreetbelievers.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=2167"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/broadstreetbelievers.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=2167"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/broadstreetbelievers.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=2167"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}