{"id":555,"date":"2010-06-11T07:47:21","date_gmt":"2010-06-11T12:47:21","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.broadstreetbelievers.com\/?p=555"},"modified":"2010-06-22T15:44:18","modified_gmt":"2010-06-22T20:44:18","slug":"world-cup-qualification-scenarios-after-two-games-of-round-robin","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"http:\/\/broadstreetbelievers.com\/?p=555","title":{"rendered":"World Cup Qualification Scenarios After Two Games of Round-Robin"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Okay, well here are the scenarios (as I can best figure them) for qualification from each group.\u00a0 The groups will be updated after the completion of the each team&#8217;s second games.\u00a0 (We are operating under the assumption that no team will\u00a0score more than 4 goals in a game.)<\/p>\n<p><u><strong>Group A<\/strong><\/u><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>If Uruguay and Mexico draw:\u00a0 A1-Uruguay and\u00a0A2-Mexico<\/li>\n<li>If Uruguay\u00a0beats\u00a0Mexico:\u00a0 A1-Uruguay and\n<ul>\n<li>A2-France: \u00a0IF they beat South Africa and make up 4 goals on Mexico<\/li>\n<li>A2-South Africa: \u00a0IF they beat France and make up 5 goals on Mexico<\/li>\n<li>A2-Mexico:\u00a0 IF the France-South Africa winner does not make up goal differential<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/li>\n<li>If Mexico beats Uruguay:\u00a0 A1-Mexico and\n<ul>\n<li>A2-France: \u00a0IF they beat South Africa and make up 5 goals on Uruguay<\/li>\n<li>A2-South Africa:\u00a0 IF they beat France and make up 6 goals on Uruguay<\/li>\n<li>A2-Uruguay:\u00a0 IF France-South Africa winner does not make up goal differential<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><u><strong>Group B<\/strong><\/u><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>Argentina CLINCHES B1\n<ul>\n<li>Assuming that no team scores more than 4 goals in a game<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/li>\n<li>If Argentina beats Greece:\n<ul>\n<li>B2-South Korea:\u00a0 IF they win or draw against Nigeria<\/li>\n<li>B2-Nigeria:\u00a0 IF they beat South Korea by more than 1 goal OR they\u00a0beat South Korea by 1 goal and score at least\u00a02\u00a0goals more than Greece<\/li>\n<li>B2-Greece:\u00a0\u00a0IF Nigeria beats South Korea by 1 goal, but does not score 2 more goals than Greece<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/li>\n<li>If Argentina and Greece draw:\n<ul>\n<li>Nigeria is ELIMINATED<\/li>\n<li>B2-Greece:\u00a0 IF South Korea loses to Nigeria OR South Korea draws with Nigeria and scores at least 2 goals fewer than Greece<\/li>\n<li>B2-South Korea:\u00a0 IF they beat Nigeria OR they draw with Nigeria and score the same as or more goals than Greece<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/li>\n<li>If Greece beats Argentina:\n<ul>\n<li>Nigeria is ELIMINATED<\/li>\n<li>B2-South Korea:\u00a0 IF they beat Nigeria by the same margin or more than Greece beats Argentina<\/li>\n<li>B2-Greece:\u00a0 IF South Korea loses or draws with Nigeria OR South Korea beats Nigeria but not by as many as Greece beats Argentina<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><strong><u>Group C<\/u><\/strong><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>If Slovenia beats England:\u00a0 C1-Slovenia and\n<ul>\n<li>England is ELMINATED<\/li>\n<li>C2-United States:\u00a0 IF they win or draw with Algeria<\/li>\n<li>C2-Algeria:\u00a0 IF they beat the United States<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/li>\n<li>If England beats Slovenia:\n<ul>\n<li>C1-England and C2-United States:\u00a0 IF United States beats Algeria AND England wins by a wider margin than the United States<\/li>\n<li>C1-United States and C2-England:\u00a0 IF United States beats Algeria AND wins by at least the same margin as England<\/li>\n<li>C1-England and C2-Slovenia:\u00a0 IF United States and Algeria draw OR Algeria beats the United States by only 1 goal AND Slovenia loses by only\u00a01 goal AND Algeria does not score at least 4 goals more than Slovenia<\/li>\n<li>C1-England and C2-Algeria:\u00a0 IF Algeria beats the United States by more than 1 goal OR Algeria beats the United States by 1 goal and England beats Slovenia by more than 1 goal OR Algeria wins by only 4-3 and Slovenia loses 1-0<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/li>\n<li>If England and Slovenia draw:\n<ul>\n<li>C1-Slovenia and C2-Algeria:\u00a0 IF Algeria beats the United States<\/li>\n<li>C1-Slovenia and C2-England:\u00a0 IF United States and Algeria draw AND England outscores the United States by at least 3 goals<\/li>\n<li>C1-Slovenia and C2-United States:\u00a0 IF United States and Algeria draw AND England does not outscore the United States by at least 3 goals OR United States beats Algeria by at least 2 goals OR United States beats Algeria by 1 goal and scores fewer goals than Slovenia<\/li>\n<li>C1-United States and C2-Slovenia:\u00a0 IF United States beats Algeria by more than 1 goal OR United States beats Algeria by 1 goal and scores more goals than Slovenia<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><strong><u>Group D<\/u><\/strong><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>If Ghana beats Germany:\u00a0 D1-Ghana and\n<ul>\n<li>Germany is ELIMINATED\u00a0<\/li>\n<li>D2-Serbia:\u00a0 IF they win or draw against Australia<\/li>\n<li>D2-Australia:\u00a0 IF they beat Serbia<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/li>\n<li>If Germany beats Ghana:\u00a0 D1-Germany\n<ul>\n<li>Australia is ELIMINATED<\/li>\n<li>D2-Serbia:\u00a0 IF they beat Australia<\/li>\n<li>D2-Ghana:\u00a0 IF Australia wins or draws against Serbia<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/li>\n<li>If Germany and Ghana draw:\n<ul>\n<li>Australia\u00a0is ELIMINATED\u00a0<\/li>\n<li>D1-Ghana and D2-Germany:\u00a0 IF Australia wins or draws against Serbia<\/li>\n<li>D1-Serbia and D2-Ghana:\u00a0 IF Serbia beats Australia<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><strong><u>Group E<\/u><\/strong><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>Cameroon is ELIMINATED\u00a0<\/li>\n<li>If Netherlands wins or draws Cameroon:\u00a0 E1-Netherlands and\u00a0\u00a0\n<ul>\n<li>E2-Japan:\u00a0 IF they win or draw against Denmark<\/li>\n<li>E2-Denmark:\u00a0 IF they\u00a0beat\u00a0Japan<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/li>\n<li>If Cameroon beats Netherlands:\n<ul>\n<li>E1-Japan and E2-Netherlands:\u00a0 IF Japan beats Denmark AND makes up 3 goals on Netherlands<\/li>\n<li>E1-Netherlands and E2-Japan:\u00a0 IF Japan draws with Denmark OR Japan beats Denmark but does not make up goal differential<\/li>\n<li>E1-Denmark and E2-Netherlands:\u00a0 IF Denmark beats Japan and makes up 4 goals on Netherlands<\/li>\n<li>E1-Netherlands and E2-Denmark:\u00a0 IF Denmark beats Japan and does not make up goal differential<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><strong><u>Group F<\/u><\/strong><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>If Paraguay beats New Zealand:\u00a0 F1-Paraguay and\n<ul>\n<li>F2-Italy:\u00a0 IF they win or draw against Slovakia<\/li>\n<li>F2-Slovakia:\u00a0 IF they beat Italy<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/li>\n<li>If Paraguay and New Zealand draw:\n<ul>\n<li>F1-Italy and F2-Paraguay:\u00a0 IF Italy beats Slovakia<\/li>\n<li>F1-Paraguay and F2-Italy:\u00a0 IF Italy\u00a0and Slovakia draw AND Italy outscores New Zealand<\/li>\n<li>F1-Paraguay and F2-New Zealand:\u00a0 IF Italy and Slovakia draw AND New Zealand outscores Italy<\/li>\n<li>F1-Slovakia and F2-Paraguay:\u00a0 IF Slovakia beats Italy AND makes up\u00a02 goals on Paraguay<\/li>\n<li>F1-Paraguay and F2-Slovakia:\u00a0 IF Slovakia beats Italy AND\u00a0does not make\u00a0up goal differential<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/li>\n<li>If New Zealand beats Paraguay:\n<ul>\n<li>F1-New Zealand and F2-Paraguay:\u00a0 IF Italy and Slovakia draw<\/li>\n<li>F1-Italy and F2-New Zealand:\u00a0 IF Italy beats Slovakia AND wins by more than New Zealand<\/li>\n<li>F1-New Zealand and F2-Italy:\u00a0 IF Italy beats Slovakia AND wins by fewer than New Zealand<\/li>\n<li>F1-New Zealand and F2-Slovakia:\u00a0 IF Slovakia beats Italy AND makes up 4 goals on Paraguay<\/li>\n<li>F1-New Zealand and F2-Paraguay:\u00a0 IF Slovakia beats Italy AND does not make up goal differential<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><strong><u>Group G<\/u><\/strong><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>North Korea is ELIMINATED<\/li>\n<li>Cote d&#8217;Ivoire is ELIMINATED\n<ul>\n<li>Again, this\u00a0is working under the assumption that they\u00a0cannot make up a 9-goal differential with Portugal.\u00a0 But, as we saw with the Portugese, the North Koreans can be\u00a0scored upon almost at\u00a0will, so this is the one case where that assumption may be a bit\u00a0zealous.\u00a0<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/li>\n<li>If Brazil wins or draws with Portugal:\u00a0 G1-Brazil and G2-Portugal<\/li>\n<li>If Portugal beats Brazil:\u00a0 G1-Portugal and G2-Brazil<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><strong><u>Group H<\/u><\/strong><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>If Chile beats Spain:\u00a0 H1-Chile and\n<ul>\n<li>H2-Switzerland:\u00a0 IF they win or draw against Honduras OR they lose to Honduras by fewer than 4 goals and make up 2 goals on Spain<\/li>\n<li>H2-Honduras:\u00a0 IF they beat Switzerland and make up 4 goals on Spain<\/li>\n<li>H2-Spain:\u00a0 IF Honduras beats Switzerland but does not make up goal differential AND Switzerland does not make up goal differential<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/li>\n<li>If Chile and Spain draw:\u00a0 H1-Chile\n<ul>\n<li>Honduras is ELIMINATED<\/li>\n<li>H2-Spain:\u00a0 IF Honduras wins or draws against Switzerland<\/li>\n<li>H2-Switzerland:\u00a0 IF they beat Honduras<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/li>\n<li>If Spain beats Chile:\n<ul>\n<li>Honduras is ELIMINATED<\/li>\n<li>H1-Switzerland and\u00a0H2-Spain:\u00a0 IF Switzerland beats Honduras AND makes up\u00a03 goals\u00a0on Chile AND 2 goals on Spain\u00a0<\/li>\n<li>H1-Spain and H2-Switzerland:\u00a0 IF Switzerland beats Honduras AND makes up 3 goals on Chile but does not make up goal differential on Spain<\/li>\n<li>H1-Spain and H2-Chile:\u00a0 IF Honduras wins or draws against Switzerland OR Switzerland beats Honduras but fails to make up goal differential on Chile or Spain<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Okay, well here are the scenarios (as I can best figure them) for qualification from each group.\u00a0 The groups will be updated after the completion of the each team&#8217;s second games.\u00a0 (We are operating under the assumption that no team &hellip; <a 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