2011 BSB NFL Playoff Challenge: Scenarios

I tried this last year, and I think it worked, so I am going to try and give the scenarios for the Challenge winner here, depending on how these final 7 games turn out.  Here is what I came up with (the numbers in parentheses are the chances, out of 16, that that entry would win given the named Super Bowl champion):

If New England wins the Super Bowl:

Potential Winners:  Teddy (13), Waters (3)

• Teddy wins if:  (1-4) Atl wins NFC; (5-8) GB wins NFC; (9-12) Sea wins NFC; (13) Chi wins NFC, GB beats Atl, and Bal beats Pit
• Waters wins if:  (1-2) Chi wins NFC and Sea beats GB; (3) Chi wins NFC, GB beats Sea, and Pit beats Bal

If Atlanta win Super Bowl:

Potential Winners:  Alexi (8), Teddy (3), Alex (3), Waters (1), Bry (1)

• Alexi wins if:  (1-4) Bal wins AFC; (5-6) Pit wins AFC and NE beats NYJ; (7) Pit wins AFC, NYJ beats NE, and Chi beats Sea; (8) NYJ wins AFC, Bal beats Pit, Sea beats Chi
• Teddy wins if:  (1-2) NE wins AFC and Bal beats Pit; (3) NE wins AFC, Pit beats Bal, and Sea beats Chi
• Alex wins if:  (1-2) NYJ wins AFC and Pit beats Bal; (3) NYJ wins AFC, Bal beats Pit, and Chi beats Sea
• Waters wins if:  (1) NE wins AFC, Pit beats Bal, and Chi beats Sea
• Bry wins if:  (1) Pit wins AFC, NYJ beats NE, and Sea beats Chi

If Pittsburgh wins Super Bowl:

Potential Winners:  Bry (14), J (1), Bry/J (1)

• Bry wins if:  (1-4) if Atl wins NFC; (5-8) if GB wins NFC; (9-12) if Sea wins NFC; (13-14) if Chi wins NFC and NYJ beats NE
• J wins if: (1) Chi wins NFC, Atl beats GB, and NE beats NYJ
• Bry & J tie if: (1) Chi wins NFC, GB beats Atl, NE beats NYJ

If Chicago wins Super Bowl:

Potential Winners:  Waters (11), Alexi (3), Waters/Alex (1), Alexi/J (1)

• Waters wins if:  (1-4) NE wins AFC; (5-8) Pit wins AFC; (9-10) NYJ wins AFC and Pit beats Bal; (11) NYJ wins AFC, Bal beats Pit, and GB beats Atl
• Alexi wins if:  (1-2) Bal wins AFC and NYJ beats NE; (3) Bal wins AFC, NYJ beats NE, and GB beats Atl
• Waters and Alex tie if:  (1) NYJ wins AFC, Bal beats Pit, and Atl beats GB
• Alexi and J tie if:  (1) Bal wins AFC, NE beats NYJ, Atl beats GB

If Baltimore wins Super Bowl:

Potential Winners:  Alexi (14), Teddy (1), Alexi/Teddy (1)

• Alexi wins if:  (1-4) Atlwins NFC; (5-8) Chi wins NFC; (9-12) Sea wins NFC; (13-14) GB wins NFC, NYJ beats NE
• Teddy wins if:  (1)  GB wins NFC, NE beats NYJ, and Chi beats Sea
• Alexi and Teddy tie if:  (1) GB wins NFC, NE beats NYJ, Sea beats Chi

If Green Bay wins Super Bowl:

Potential Winners:  Teddy (15), Teddy/Rob Smith (1)

• Teddy wins if:  (1-4)  NE wins AFC; (5-8) Pit wins AFC; (9-12) Bal wins AFC; (13-14) NYJ wins AFC and Bal beats Pit; (15) NYJ wins AFC, Pit beats Bal, and Sea beats Chi
• Teddy and Rob Smith tie if: (1) NYJ wins AFC, Chi beats Sea, and Pit beats Bal

If N.Y. Jets win Super Bowl:

Potential Winners:  Alex (12), Rob Smith (4)

• Alex wins if:  (1-4) Atl wins NFC; (5-8) Chi wins NFC; (9-12) Sea wins NFC
• Rob Smith wins if:  (1-4) GB wins NFC

If Seattle wins Super Bowl:

Potential Winners:  Bry (7), Teddy (5), Alexi (3), Rob Smith (1)

• Bry wins if:  (1-4) Pit wins AFC; (5-6) NYJ wins AFC and Pit beats Bal; (7) NYJ wins AFC, Bal beats Pit, and Atl beats GB
• Teddy wins if:  (1-4) NE wins AFC; (5) Bal wins AFC, NE beats NYJ, and GB beats Atl
• Alexi wins if:  (1-2) Bal wins AFC and NYJ beats NE; (3) Bal wins AFC, NE beats NYJ, and Atl beats GB
• Rob Smith wins if:  (1) NYJ wins AFC, Bal beats Pit, and GB beats Atl