The year 2012 has ended and so has the NFL regular season. Twenty teams are now thinking about what to do in the offseason, while twelve are dreaming of the Lombardi Trophy. The Packers and Patriots each won themselves homefield advantage throughout the playoffs. The 49ers and Steelers earned themselves a week off and a bye into the divisional round. The Falcons, Eagles, Texans, and Broncos all won their divisions and will play host during Wild Card weekend. The Saints, Bears, Ravens, and Bills all eanred themselves a wild card into the playoffs. Let the second season begin…
Wild Card Weekend
Saturday, January 5, 4:30 – #6 Buffalo Bills at #3 Houston Texans
The playoffs kick off with this year’s AFC regular season surprise taking on last year’s AFC regular season surprise. The Bills faded down the stretch and lost some head-scratching games, but still managed to get to 9 wins and beat out the Chargers and Bengals on a tiebreaker. If it’s possible for a team that has only won one playoff game (last year) to underachieve by getting 11 wins, the Texans did that. But, they have a shot to erase it all and go for the title which many thought them capable. They should be able to handle the Bills here at home, sending them to the Steel City for the divisional round. Texans 27 – Bills 10
Saturday, January 5, 8:00 – #5 New Orleans Saints at #4 Philadelphia Eagles
Despite all the distractions of this offseason, the Saints and all of their offensive talent still put together a terrific season, missing out on winning the division on a conference record tiebreaker. The Eagles bounced back from a terrible 2011 to return to the top of the NFC East, with an 11-5 record. They lost to the Giants in Week 17, costing themselves a first-round bye. Now, they are stuck with a wild card game against a very good team and a road game in the divisional round. In this one, I think the much maligned Eagles defense comes up big, while the offense does what it always does. The Eagles run away with this one to avenge the playoff loss in 2007 and send them to the divisional round against either Green Bay or San Francisco, depending on the outcome of the early game tomorrow. Eagles 34 – Saints 20
Sunday, January 6, 1:00 – #6 Chicago Bears at #3 Atlanta Falcons
The Falcons had another very good season under Matt Ryan and Mike Smith, but it’s not about the regular season anymore for this team. It’s all about what they do in the postseason. And, they didn’t get a great draw here, as the Bears, an 11-win 6-seed are really tough. The addition of Brandan Marshall pushed this offense to new levels, while the defense is its consistent self. Now that the defense doesn’t have to carry this Bears team, they are very dangerous. Once again, I think this Falcons team falls short at the worst time, as the Bears go into the Georgia Dome and upset the Dirty Birds, setting up a bitter matchup with their longtime rivals. This Bears win sends Philly to San Francisco next week. Bears 21 – Falcons 17
Sunday, January 6, 4:30 – #5 Baltimore Ravens at #4 Denver Broncos
Peyton Manning is back in the playoffs. After a tough 1-4 start, the Broncos rallied to win 8 of their last 11 games, winning the AFC West on the strength of their season sweep of the Chargers. The Ravens also started slowly, winning just 3 of their first 7, before ripping off 8 wins in 9 games, including two over the hated rival Steelers. The red hot Ravens offense is rolling, while the defense is digging in for one last stand. The season in Denver has to be deemed a success, but it will, most likely, end here, as the Ravens earn themselves a chance at redemption against the team that beat them in the AFC Championship last year. Ravens 31 – Broncos 13
Divisional Weekend
Saturday, January 12, 4:30 – #4 Philadelphia Eagles at #2 San Francisco 49ers
After a thorough beatdown of a really good Saints team, the Eagles are really rolling. The 49ers won the NFC West and, for the second straight year, earned themselves a first-round bye. And, like last year, they welcome in a team that has a terrific offense and very big aspirations. But, unlike last year, this team can also play defense. The Eagles d-line should abuse Alex Smith all day, and the Niners receivers will have a miserable time getting open on Nnamdhi and DRC. It will be a frustrating day by the bay for the red and gold. Eagles 23 – 49ers 6
Saturday, January 12, 8:00 – #3 Houston Texans at #2 Pittsburgh Steelers
Ho-hum, another 12-win season for the black and gold. They have o-line issues and potentially huge running back issues. But, their receiving corps is elite, the defense is legendary, and their QB knows how to do nothing else in this world other than winning football games. The Texans have a ton of talent, but they are a bit top-heavy, and this is where that shows up. Their penny-pinching on the offensive line will haunt them in this one. Steelers 20 – Texans 14
Sunday, January 13, 1:00 – #5 Baltimore Ravens at #1 New England Patriots
The Pats are loaded, yet again, this year. They are revolutionizing the offensive game with their 2- and 3-tight end sets, and their defense is a LOT better than it was a year ago. They cruised to 14 wins this year and did it rather easily. The Ravens have been rolling recently and will be trying to avenge a home loss in Week 3 and, more importantly, a crushing loss in the AFC Championship Game last year. But, the Pats are just too good right now, and the Ravens defense will really miss Terrell Suggs in this one. Barring a superhuman performance by Ray Rice, the Pats should eliminate the Ravens yet again, setting up another showdown with those Pittsburgh Steelers. Patriots 28 – Ravens 14
Sunday, January 13, 4:30 – #6 Chicago Bears at #1 Green Bay Packers
The oldest and best rivalry in football rekindles itself here in the divisional round on the frozen tundra of Lambeau Field. The Packers followed up their 15-1 season last year with a 14-2 season and another #1-seed this year. Their defense was a little better than last year (and, how could it be worse?), and their offense was just as potent. The Bears picked up a big upset win in Atlanta last week to get them here, but they are a bit overmatched in this one. Packers 30 – Bears 21
Conference Championship Sunday
Sunday, January 20, 1:00 – #2 Pittsburgh Steelers at #1 New England Patriots
The Pats made quick work of a good, experienced Ravens defense, and they are poised to do the same here. The Steelers probably just don’t have the horses on either side of the ball to run with this loaded Pats team. Yet again, we have to live with two weeks of media coronation of the Belichick-Brady Era. Patriots 35 – Steelers 17
Sunday, January 20, 4:30 – #4 Philadelphia Eagles at #1 Green Bay Packers
What is the Packers biggest weakness of offense? They have a very shaky offensive line. What do the Eagles do better than any other team in the NFL? Rush the passer. What is the Packers biggest weakness of defense? An shaky secondary. What do the Eagles have more of than – just about – any other team in the NFL? Speed, speed, and more speed on the outside. The front four of the Eagles will live in the Packers backfield all game, while the speed merchants of Maclin, McCoy, and Jackson will abuse the Packers secondary all game. The Pack will get theirs, but this smells like an upset. Eagles 34 – Packers 30
Super Bowl XLVII
Sunday, February 3, approximately 6:48 – Philadelphia Eagles vs. New England Patriots
A rematch of Super Bowl XXXIX, except that I will actually get to watch it in English in a country that is not (most likely) 36 hours into a military coup d’etat. These two teams are both loaded. The problem (if you’re an Eagles fan) is that one of teams has actually won with this group and the other may still be trying to put the right pieces in the right places. Furthermore, the matchups in this game are absolutely terrible for the Birds. They have two physical man corners, but who in the hell is gonna cover those two tight ends? Unless Nate Allen or Michael Kendriks plays the game of their lives, this Pats team might march up and down the field on the Eagles because the pass rush can be rendered ineffective against the quick passes to the tight ends and Welker. I like the Eagles offense to put up some points, but probably not nearly enough, as Belichich and Brady get yet another one… Patriots 38 – Eagles 27
NFC Champs, huh? I like the optimism!