BSB NFL Playoff Challenge: Scenarios

Since this is basically what I do for a living (no, not with the NFL playoffs, unfortunately), I decided to practice my trade and figure out the different scenarios and what would happen to the Challenge, depending on future results.  Here is what I came up with (the numbers in parentheses are the chances, out of 16, that that winner would win given the named Super Bowl champion):

If Indianapolis wins the Super Bowl:

Potential Winners:  Josh (7), Doogan (6), Scott (1), Josh/Doogan (1), Josh/Scott (1)

• Josh wins if:  (1-4) NO wins NFC; (5-6) Minn wins NFC and Jets beat SD; (7) Dallas wins NFC, Jets beat SD, and Zona beats NO
• Doogan wins if:  (1-4) Zona wins NFC; (5) Dallas wins NFC, SD beats Jets, and Zona beats NO; (6) Dallas wins NFC, Jets beat SD, and NO beats Zona
• Scott wins if:  (1) Minn wins NFC, SD beats Jets, and Zona beats NO
• Josh and Doogan tie if:  (1) Dallas wins NFC, SD beats Jets, and NO beats Zona
• Josh and Scott tie if:  (1) Minn wins NFC, SD beats Jets, NO beats Zona

If New Orleans wins Super Bowl:

Potential Winners:  Waters (14), Josh (1), Waters/Josh (1)

• Waters wins if:  (1-4) SD wins AFC; (5-8) B’more wins AFC; (9-11) Indy wins AFC and either Minn or Jets lose in Divisional Round; (12-14) Jets wins AFC and either Minn or Indy lose in Divisional Round
• Josh wins if:  (1) Indy wins AFC, Minn beats Dallas, and Jets beat SD
• Waters and Josh tie if:  (1) Jets wins AFC, Minn beats Dallas, and Indy beats B’more

If San Diego wins Super Bowl:

Potential Winners:  Waters (4), Bry (4), Doogan (4), Scott (3), Alexi (1)

• Waters wins if:  (1-4) NO wins NFC
• Bry wins if:  (1-4) Dallas wins NFC
• Doogan wins if:  (1-4) Zona wins NFC
• Scott wins if:  (1-3) Minn wins NFC and either B’more or NO lose in Divisional Round
• Alexi wins if: (1) Minn wins NFC, B’more beats Indy, and NO beats Zona

If Minnesota wins Super Bowl:

Potential Winners:  Alexi (9), Scott (2), O’Neill (2), O’Neill/Alexi (1), O’Neill/Josh (1), O’Neill/Scott/Josh (1)

• Alexi wins if:  (1-4) SD wins AFC; (5-8) B’more wins AFC; (9) Jets win AFC, Zona beats NO, and B’more beats Indy
• Scott wins if:  (1-2) Indy wins AFC and SD beats Jets
• O’Neill wins if:  (1) Indy wins AFC, NO beats Zona, and Jets beat SD; (2) Jets win AFC, NO beats Zona, and Indy beats B’more
• O’Neill and Alexi tie if:  (1) Jets win AFC, NO beats Zona, and B’more beats Indy
• O’Neill and Josh tie if:  (1) Jets win AFC, Zona beats NO, and Indy beats B’more
• O’Neill, Scott, and Josh tie if:  (1) Indy wins AFC, Zona beats NO, and Jets beat SD

If Dallas wins Super Bowl:

Potential Winners:  Bry (10), Doogan (3), Josh (2), Doogan/Josh (1)

• Bry wins if:  (1-4) B’more wins NFC; (5-7) SD wins AFC and either Zona or Indy lose in Divisional Round; (8-10) Jets win AFC and either NO or Indy lose in Divisional Round
• Doogan wins if:  (1-2) Indy wins AFC and Zona beats NO; (3) SD wins AFC, Zona beats NO, and Indy beats B’more
• Josh wins if:  (1) Indy wins AFC, NO beats Zona, and Jets beat SD; (2) Jets win AFC, NO beats Zona, and Indy beats NO
• Doogan and Josh tie if:  (1) Indy wins AFC, NO beats Zona, and SD beats Jets

If Arizona wins Super Bowl:

Potential Winners:  Doogan (10), Waters (4), Doogan/Waters (2)

• Doogan wins if:  (1-4) Indy wins AFC; (5-8) SD wins AFC; (9-10) Jets win AFC and Indy beats B’more
• Waters wins if:  (1-4) B’more wins AFC
• Doogan and Waters tie if:  (1-2) Jets win AFC and B’more beats Indy

If New York wins the Super Bowl:

Potential Winners:  Josh (10), Waters (3), Bry (2), Josh/Waters (1)

• Josh wins if:  (1-4) Minn wins NFC; (5-10) If Indy beats B’more in Divisional Round, regardless of anything in the NFC
• Waters wins if:  (1-2) Zona wins NFC and B’more beats Indy; (3) NO wins NFC, B’more beats Indy, and Dallas beats Minn
• Bry wins if:  (1-2) Dallas wins NFC and B’more beats Indy
• Josh and Waters tie if:  (1) NO wins NFC, B’more beats Indy, and Minn beats Dallas

If Baltimore wins Super Bowl:

Potential Winners:  Waters (16)

• Waters wins:  No matter what else happens