The Conference Player of the Year Races

With roughly six weeks left in the regular season, let’s take a look at the current leaders in the race for the Conference Player of the Year awards.

ATLANTIC 10

Graham leads a close and crowded A10 POY race

Current POY: Treveon Graham, VCU.  Interesting but not surprising that this is currently a race between players from the two new A-10 powers, VCU and Butler.  Graham gets the nod right now over Rotnei Clarke of Butler, but mostly just because Clarke has been out for the last couple of weeks with a neck injury (he returns today vs. Temple).  Graham, just a sophomore, is a big guard averaging 16 points and 6 rebounds for the Rams.

Other Contenders: Aside from Clarke, Temple’s Khalif Wyatt is second in the league in scoring, but needs to be more consistent.  Graham’s VCU teammate, Juvonte Reddic, could definitely steal the award from him.

Next Day Edit: After La Salle’s win at VCU, coming on the heels of a defeat of Butler, Ramon Galloway has put himself into the POY discussion.  The senior guard from Philly went for 31 points vs. VCU, and is averaging 17 a game on the year.  The Explorers are making a push for their first tournament appearance since 1992.  Meanwhile, Clarke’s 24 points/9 assists in a defeat of Temple last night might have pushed him into the lead for POY in what will be a tight race to the finish.

ACC

Current POY:  Mason Plumlee, Duke.  His performance has dropped off a bit lately, but he’s still the easy pick here.  Leading the league in rebounding (11.4), second in scoring (17.3), and 4th in blocks for the 16-2 Blue Devils.

Other Contenders: With a 5-0 start to league play, including the demolition of Duke a few days ago, Miami’s Durand Scott has to be in the 2nd spot for ACC POY, at the moment.  The senior guard is the Canes leading scorer and third in the league in steals.  NC State’s C.J. Leslie could end up in the conversation if the Wolfpack can put things together.  Hard to imagine Seth Curry beating out his teammate, especially with the nagging leg injury, but it is a possibility.

BIG 12

Current POY: Ben McLemore, Kansas.  An interesting race here, but the nod goes to this freshman guard who some think will be the best NBA player to come out of Kansas since Paul Pierce.  He’s an elite athlete with outstanding shooting ability.  He’s second in the league at 16 points a game, shooting 45% from 3, for the 17-1 Jayhawks.

Other Contenders: Kansas is the clear class of the league, so McLemore’s main competition is teammate Jeff Withey, who’s averaging 13 points/8 boards and is among the nation’s leaders with over 4 blocks a game.  Two other intriguing candidates are Baylor’s Pierre Jackson (leading the league by a wide margin with 18.6 ppg) and Kansas St.’s Rodney McGruder, who’s been coming on strong after a somewhat slow start to his season.

BIG EAST

Current POY: Michael Carter-Williams, Syracuse.  Not a big scorer (12 points a game), but he’s leading the nation in assists and is among the leaders in steals.  He has the Orange in first place in the league and has hit some big shots and made some big plays in a couple of key wins.

Other Contenders: Louisville’s Russ Smith is the main contender right now, with his 19 points a game for a team that could very well end up winning this league.  Cincinnati’s Sean Kilpatrick is a good darkhorse candidate.  Two guys that need to get their team’s winning consistently again to get back in the conversation are Notre Dame’s Jack Cooley and Georgetown’s Otto Porter.

BIG TEN

Current POY: Trey Burke, Michigan.  The nation’s best conference also might have the best POY race, not surprisingly.  Right now, Burke is a fairly easy choice, but that could definitely change.  The sophomore point guard is third in the league in scoring (17.8 ppg), shooting over 50% from the field, and ranks first in assists by a wide margin (7.2 per game).

Other Contenders: Ohio St.’s Deshaun Thomas (leading scorer at over 20 ppg) and Indiana’s Cody Zeller look like the main competition.  Burke’s backcourt mate, Tim Hardaway Jr., and Indiana’s do-it-all guard Victor Oladipo could possibly overtake their more highly-touted teammates.  And if Michigan State ends up stealing the league title, which is far from impossible, Keith Appling could have a case.

MISSOURI VALLEY

Current POY: Doug McDermott, Creighton.  When you’re the favorite for national POY and you play in a mid-major conference, that’s what we call a no-brainer pick.  24 points per game, 56% from the field, and 49% from 3.  Quite simply the best scorer in the country by a wide margin, and his team 17-3.

Other Contenders: Basically, there isn’t any.  But the current 1st place team in the MVC is not McDermott’s squad, it’s actually Wichita State.  They have two forwards, Cleanthony Early and Carl Hall, who’s names you just may hear in March.

MOUNTAIN WEST

Current POY: Jamaal Franklin, San Diego St.  You could make the argument that this is the second-best league in the country, and the POY race backs that up.  Franklin will make a lot of money in the NBA.  The 6-5 guard is second in the MWC in rebounds (9.6 per game), which gives some idea of his athleticism, as well as how hard he plays.  He’s also averaging 18 points, which ranks third in the league.

Other Contenders: UNLV’s Anthony Bennett may have hit the freshman wall a bit, with back-to-back single-digit scoring games last week, but he’s still averaging 18 points/9 boards on the year for a really good Rebels team.  New Mexico guard Kendall Williams is the best player on what just might be the best team in this league, so his 14 points/4.6 assists per game have to have him in the discussion.  Darkhorse candidates for under-the-radar solid teams:  Boise St.’s Derrick Marks and Colorado St.’s Colton Iverson.

PAC-12

Current POY: Shabazz Muhammad, UCLA.  Some rated Muhammad as the top high school player in the country last year, but he was ineligible for the first couple weeks this season, and then he’s been underwhelming at times once he got on the court, with his team having some big struggles in non-conference play.  Despite all that, here he is as the current leader for the league POY.  The Bruins just had a win at Arizona, where Muhammad scored 23 points.  He’s averaging 18 and shooting 47% from 3, and has his team 6-1 in league play.

Other Contenders: Oregon is the lone undefeated team in league play, but they’ve been really balanced, with no stand-out player.  That leaves a quartet of players from the other league contenders that could push Muhammad for POY:  Arizona’s Mark Lyons, Washington’s C.J. Wilcox, Cal’s Allen Crabbe, and Arizona St.’s Jahii Carson.

SEC

Current POY: Marshall Henderson, Ole Miss.  Henderson is, by all accounts, a very odd dude that bounced from Utah to Texas Tech to junior college over the last few years.  After winning JUCO National POY a year ago, he landed in the SEC, and he has Ole Miss contending for the first time in forever.  A lot of that is because the SEC is just pretty bad this year, but Henderson the sharp-shooting and volatile Henderson is leading the league at over 19 points per game, and has the Rebels at 5-0 in league play.

Other Contenders: It’s kind of a jumble of guys behind Henderson right now.  Missouri’s Laurence Bowers seems like the best candidate to challenge him, but he needs to get healthy again.  His teammate, Phil Pressey, has the talent but hasn’t been able to harness it all the time this year.  Florida is the league’s best team, but it’s hard to see Kenny Boynton or Erik Murphy distinguishing themselves enough for the award.  Finally, Arkansas’s BJ Young and Alabama’s Trevor Releford are having strong seasons for teams that aren’t great, but will contend in a weak conference.

WCC

Current POY: Kelly Olynyk, Gonzaga.  Coming into the season, no one would be surprised if a Gonzaga player took the POY award for the WCC, but few would have thought it would be Olynyk.  After redshirting last year, just to work on his game, the 7-foot junior has been a dominant player for the Zags.  And he keeps getting better as the season goes along: in conference play so far he’s averaging over 25 points a game, while shooting a mere 73% from the field.

Other Contenders: St. Mary’s PG Matthew Dellavedova won this award last year, and if the Gaels can manage to win this league again, he would be in line to repeat as POY.  BYU has two guys putting up big numbers: guard Tyler Haws (20.6 ppg) and forward Brandon Davies (18 points/7 rebounds), but unless they can rise up out of the 3rd place position, they’ll likely have to settle for spots on the All-Conference team but not grab POY.  It’s conceivable that Olynyk’s teammate, Elias Harris, could take it, but considering the way Olynyk has been improving as the season goes along, it seems very unlikely.

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Games of the Night 1/10

It is another solid slate tonight, and I have picked out 10 games most on my radar around the country.

St. Mary’s at Gonzaga
The Game of the Night tonight is in Spokane.  I honestly think this is the best Gonzaga team of all-time, and it very well could be one of the best St. Mary’s teams, as well.  Matthew Dellavadova is one of the best players that no one has ever heard of.  But, this Zags team is absolutely loaded, and this is not the last time you will hear me say this, but they are a legitimate national title contender.  They are that good.

Temple at Xavier
A little homerism in me here giving this one second-billing, but it is opening night in a brutal A-10 for the Owls and it is on the road against one of their most bitter rivals.  The Musketeers are in a rebuilding year, but that does not mean they are not very dangerous.  This is one of the bigger games on the schedule for the Owls, especially because a lot of momentum can be gained or lost with the conference opener.

Florida Gulf Coast at USC-Upstate
As my homerism for Temple gave them second-billing, my affinity for the low-major conferences gives this one third-billing.  But, trust me, while these teams “national relevance” will all depend upon their play in the A-Sun tournament, this is a pretty huge game for anyone who has any interest in Atlantic Sun basketball.  With the possible exception of Mercer (who did lose a head-scratcher to Kennessaw State last week), these two teams are head and shoulders above the rest of the league this year.  They are two programs that are enjoying D-I success for pretty much the first time, and their rosters have been built for this year.  So, at the risk of sounding overdramatic, this could one of the bigger games in the history of these two programs, as they are both at the top of the standings of a league where one of them will likely win.  Spartanburg will be buzzing tonight.

Arizona at Oregon
Okay, okay, it is time to get to the “important” conferences.  This is the biggest battle of “rich” teams tonight, as the undefeated Wildcats travel to Eugene for their biggest road test yet this year.  Dana Altman’s Ducks are way ahead of schedule on their rebuild and really might contend this year.  A win tonight would go a long way in determining that.

Michigan State at Iowa
Philly’s own Fran McCaffery has the Hawkeyes back to Big Ten relevancy – now it is time to grab some national attention, which a win over Sparty would certainly do.  However, Tom Izzo’s boys are coming off of a drubbing of Purdue and are still undervalued on the national scene.  They will – as always – be heard from come March.

Miami (FL) at North Carolina
What is going on in Chapel Hill?  A bad noncon led into a 9-point loss at UVa to open the ACC schedule.  Now, the Heels return home to the Dean Dome really needing a W against a pretty tough opponent.  The injury to Miami’s Reggie Jackson makes them look more like a tenuous bubble team than a potential Sweet 16 contender, but there is still talent there, and the Heels better watch out.

Detroit at Youngstown State
Youngstown State has been one of the many pleasant surprises from the Horizon this year, but now they have to bring it into league play.  They split their first two league games – both on the road – and now they will get a real test from Ray McCallum and the Titans, who may just be smelling blood in the Horizon waters with the Valpo home loss to Loyola (IL) to kick off league play.  Detroit is 2-0 with a couple of home wins in the league, but now they get to show themselves with a tough road test.

Northwestern State at Oral Roberts
There is a real chance that Stephen F. Austin is simply too good and will run away with the Southland title this year.  But, if that doesn’t happen, one of these two teams will be the team that runs them down.  Clearly the 2nd and 3rd best teams in the league this year, NW State and ORU are both chasing the Lumberjacks and both will need wins like these to catch them.  ORU has opened their first SL season with a couple of good road wins, while NW State has two home wins, but two dominating home wins.  This could tell us a lot about both teams.

Oakland at South Dakota State
Oakland was supposed to be in a rebuilding year, while the Jackrabbits of South Dakota State were supposed to run away and hide with the Summit League this year on the back of future NBA’er, Nate Wolters.  Well, things don’t always go as planned, as Oakland had a very good noncon and has started 2-1 in league play.  The Jackrabbits, on the other hand, struggled though an admittedly tough noncon schedule, but have brought those struggles into the league, particularly their last game – a 3-point loss in the Thunderdome against an inferior South Dakota team.  Time to right the ship for SD State or they might have trouble catching this Oakland team for 3rd-place, let along tracking down North Dakota State and Western Illinois in the top two spots.

Long Island at Wagner
The NEC is totally upside-down.  Bryant is on top, while the two preseason favorites, Robert Morris and Long Island, would not even make the NEC tournament as it stands now.  At least Wagner seems to have righted their wobbly noncon ship to grab a couple of wins to start league play.  LIU – who is absolutely loaded and has no excuse for their 5-9 start and 0-2 in league play – is desperate.  Meddle will be tested tonight on Staten Island.

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Games of the Night 1/9

Great slate of games tonight.  Here are a couple of my favorites.

Minnesota at Illinois
The Gophers actually look like they might be a legit Final Four contender.  The Illini are needing to prove that they are the team that people thought they were with their terrific noncon slate.  The Illini lost to Purdue, but beat Ohio State in Big Ten action, while the Gophers pounded both Michigan State and Northwestern at home, but this is their first league test on the road.

Florida State at Maryland
The Terps look like a real ACC contender right now, but they have not really proven anything through a cupcake noncon.  FSU has struggled all year and could really use a win like this.  An interesting early test to see who might be “for real.”

UNLV at New Mexico
The second or third best conference in America – if you are asking me – opens up tonight with four really good MVC games.  UNLV in The Pit, though, is the cream of the crop.  A true Sweet 16-caliber matchup to open up the Mountain West is not an exaggeration…trust me, this is the best game of the night.

Boise State at Wyoming
The most unlikely of undefeateds, the Cowboys of Wyoming, who are awfully tough at home, host a Boise State team that looks every bit of an at-large tournament team.  This game could have wide-reaching ramifications come Selection Sunday.

Iowa State at Kansas
The last two Big XII teams to open their conference slates do so tonight in Lawrence.  The Jayhawks are the clear conference favorites and really tough at home, but the Cyclones are one of the more likely teams – if anyone can – to pose a challenge to KU’s supremacy.  To win in the Fogg, though, is not exactly an easy task.

West Virginia at Texas
It is rather early to be calling anything an “elimination game,” and I am not doing that here, but let us just say that these two teams have drastically underachieved thus far, including each losing their conference opener, so it is as close to a “gotta have it” kind of game as there is on January 9th – especially for West Virginia, who lost by 10 points at home to a rebuilding Oklahoma on Saturday.

Ole Miss at Tennessee
In a historically bad SEC, it is anyone’s guess as to who the 4th-best team is.  If you ask me, I would say that it is probably a toss-up between these two teams.  And, I do think that the league should be good enough (or reputationally good enough) to get at least 4 bids, so this game could carry a lot of weight in two months.

Dayton at VCU
As a lifelong fan of the conference, this should be – by far – the most fascinating season in the history of the Atlantic 10.  And, tipoff is tonight.  Most conference games all year will be fascinating, but there are two that really jump off of tonight’s slate.  Dayton travelling to league rookie – and league favorite – VCU should be really good…if the Dayton guards can deal with the VCU pressure.  If not, this could be quite the opening statement from one of the two new members.

Butler at St. Joe’s
The other rookie goes on the road to one of the original A-10 teams – St. Joe’s.  The Bulldogs have won 9 in a row, including a shocker over #1 Indiana, but they open the conference schedule against Phil Martelli’s squad, who was the preseason pick to win the league.  The Hawks have been somewhat disappointing throughout the noncon, but that is no reason to count them out from A-10 contention, as their talent can matchup with just about anyone in the league.

Evansville at N.Iowa
While Bradley-Indiana State is also interesting tonight in the MVC, I will be more focused on this game because I still think that UNI might have the best pieces to mount a challenge at league favorite, Creighton.  But, they already have 2 league losses, including a 25-point beatdown at the hands of Wichita State.  And, Evansville is no slouch and could be a true sleeper in this league race – if they can win a couple road games.

UTEP at Tulane
Generally, C-USA is going to be only interesting in its awfulness, but these two teams have an outside shot at minor national relevance.  Tulane is very under-the-radar, but very solid, and UTEP, who was written off after a 1-4 start, actually has looked really solid against a much tougher schedule than people seem to realize.  They have beaten Oregon and New Mexico State, as well as 16- and 20-point wins over Nebraska and Oral Roberts, respectively.  They also have tough losses against Arizona, UNLV, Oklahoma, Clemson, and Colorado State.  If there is a C-USA sleeper, it might be the Miners.

Valparaiso at Illinois-Chicago
Everyone’s preseason pick – Valpo – travels to Chicago to face the nation’s biggest surprise so far, UIC.  The Flames of UIC were supposed to muddle through another dreaful season in the Windy City, but had a 8-game winning streak in November and December that included wins over Mercer, Iona, Nortwestern, and Colorado State.  They dropped off a bit at the end of the noncon schedule, but they did beat Youngstown State to open conference play before losing at Cleveland State.  Valpo rebounded off of a head-scratching home loss to Loyola-Chicago to start conference play with a trouncing of Cleveland State.  This is an interesting litmus test for both teams as we get into the meat of the Horizon schedule.

Hawaii at UC-Irvine
The Big West has gone from one of the most boring leagues to one of the most intriguing, seemingly overnight.  Hawaii currently sits atop the league at 3-0, but they have yet to leave the Islands for a league game…until tonight.  They go to visit the Anteaters, who, after a stunning noncon that established them as true favorites to win this league, they have actually struggled in the early going – beating UC-Davis in OT before dropping back-to-back road games at UCSB and Cal Poly.  Tonight’s game will start to show us if Hawaii has what it takes to win on the road in this league and/or if UC-Irvine is as legit as their noncon would suggest them to be.

William & Mary at Towson
The two most surprising of CAA contenders face off tonight, as the Tribe tries to rebound off of a tough loss to George Mason over the weekend, while Towson tries to build upon a terrific 2-0 start to conference play with a pair of really good road wins, including a win over preseason-favorite, Drexel, on Saturday.  Towson is ineligible for the CAA tournament, so they are just playing for pride and a banner in their final year in the Colonial.

E.Kentucky at Murray State
The story of the noncon in the OVC was not Isaiah Caanan and Murray State or even the incredible numbers that Belmont is putting up in crushing opponents.  The story was – “what is going on with that EKU team?”  The Colonels won their first 9 games before a close loss at Illinois ended their perfection.  Everyone thought (and probably still thinks – as do I) that the OVC is really just a two-team battle between Murray and Belmont, but EKU has earned a place in that discussion so far and will almost assure themselves season-long relevancy with a win tonight in Murray.  But, even me – an EKU believer – does not see that happening.

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Games of the Night

Typically light Tuesday night slate around the country, as we await the kickoffs of the final conference schedules, but there are four games that caught my eye, for various reasons tonight.

Pittsburgh at Georgetown
Everyone was raving about Pitt after cruising through a cupcake non-conference slate, but they have opened Big East play with a home loss to Cincinnati and another loss at Rutgers over the weekend.  Now, they go to DC to play a tough Georgetown team that is also seeking its first league win, after only managin 48 points in one-point loss at Marquette on Saturday in their Big East opener.  This will probably be ugly, but important.

Alabama at Missouri
The 2013 SEC tipoff – the only conference game on the slate on the first night of conference play.  The non-conference season really illuminated what some may have feared about the SEC – it really is not very good.  In a 14-team league, there are really only three legitimately good teams, as questions marks surround teams like Tennessee, Arkansas, Ole Miss, and even Anthony Grant’s Crimson Tide, who travels to Missouri tonight to take on one of those three “legitimate” teams.  The Tigers will be welcoming ‘Bama to mark their first ever SEC game, hoping to write the first chapter in their first ever SEC championship.  ‘Bama did themselves no favors in the noncon and will really have to turn heads in conference play to put themselves back in the tournament discussion.  That head-turning could start tonight.

Illinois State at Missouri State
I still believe that Illinois State is the second-best team in a very good Valley this year.  However, the Redbirds are testing my resolve, as they have opened conference play with three straight losses, including two at home – most recently a 10-point home loss to UNI.  Missouri State is in pretty much the opposite position – having had a dreadfully forgettable non-conference season that has made their excellent conference start shocking.  The Bears opened Valley play with an 11-point win over S.Illinois, followed by a tough OT loss at Evansville and then a 12-point road win at Drake on Saturday.  If the Bears can take care of business tonight at home, we may have to start looking differently at our Valley projections.

Northeastern at Drexel
Without VCU in the conference any more, the Drexel Dragons were supposed to run away and hide with the CAA this year.  Throw in the total rebuilding years at Old Dominion and Hofstra, a minor rebuild at George Mason, and the return of most of a Dragon team that won 29 games last year and the only question was supposed to be whether or not they would even lose a game in this league.  Well, they did – at home – to Towson.  The culmination of a stomach-punchingly disappointing non-conference slate was the home loss to lowly Towson on Saturday.  Now, they either have to continue their freefall or figure out a way to fix what is wrong – and fast.  Tonight would be a good time to start, as the Dragons host the conference’s other (aside from those Towson Tigers) 2-0 team, Northeastern.  The Huskies had a surprisingly solid noncon and opened conference play with a huge road upset of George Mason.  They followed that up with a home win over UNC-Wilmington on Saturday and seem poised and ready to come to Philly for a shot at the preseason favorites.

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BSB’s 2012 NFL Playoff Challenge

If you know anything about BSB, you know that we like to play make things interesting with our little parlor games.  Well, here is one that has gone really well since it debuted in 2010.  It’s an NFL Playoff Challenge, and anyone is welcome to join, if they so please.

Here’s the deal:

  • You assign each playoff team a “weight” (1 – 12, with 12 being the “most confident”) of how confident you have of them going far in the playoffs. 
  • For each playoff win, you will receive the amount of points that you have that team weighted.
  • For instance, if I feel most confident in the Patriots, I would give them the 12, and I would get 12 points for every playoff game they win.
  • There’s a bit of a catch here in that a bye gives you nothing, so there may be some advantage to giving a high weight to one of the 8 teams playing this week because they will play an extra game.  But, then again, they will then be on the road next week, if they win.
  • Points for the Championship Games will be doubled, and points for the Super Bowl will be tripled.  This makes it so the Championship Game round is just as important as the other rounds, even though there are fewer games, and the Super Bowl pick is the most important single pick.

Feel free to join us in the Challenge, if you want.  You can post your picks on the comment here or email me or Doogan.  We will update the standings after each round and have even partnered with the greatest pool administation site on the web, www.grza.com, so we will be able to follow the pool there, as well.  There will likely be some “side action” on the pool, as well, so we’ve got that goin’ for us, too…which is nice.

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A Decade and a Half with Big Red: Top Twelve Memories of the Andy Reid Era

Andy Reid is the best coach of a Philadelphia professional sports team in my lifetime.  Without question.  And, now, after 14 highly successful years, we will have a new front man of a team so desperate to reach the top of the mountain.

It was a freezing cold day (Philadelphia temperatures never broke 30 degrees) on January 11, 1999, when the Eagles announced that some no-name quarterbacks coach from the Packers (and, it is not like Brett Favre looked like the most “well-coached” quarterback to ever play…) would be their next head coach.   We were coming off of a miserably forgettable 3-13 season with Ray Rhodes, and it looked as if the Birds were entering a pretty bleak period.

Andy Reid’s first game with the Eagles started amazingly, as the Eagles rocketed out to a 21-0 first quarter lead over Arizona, only to blow it late, 25-24.  Yesterday, was Reid’s last game with the Eagles, and, again, it started amazingly, as the team recovered a surprise onside kick on the opening kickoff, only to turn the ball over en route to another embarrasing loss – 42-7 – to the hapless New York Giants.

And, in between those two games were plenty of thrilling moments that never actually led to the ultimate prize.  From a list of many, many memorable moments both good and bad (brilliantly chronicled on philly.com today), I have listed 12 memories that I will most hold on to from these great (but altogether unsatisfying) 14 years.

12). Pickle Juice
After a surprisingly encouraging 5-11 first season in Philly, Andy Reid decides to open Week One of 2000 season with a surprise onside kick in Cowboy Stadium.  The Eagles recover the ball and march down the field for an opening TD.  Duce Staley rushed for 201 yards, as the Birds destroyed the Cowboys, 41-14.  The Eagles shocked everyone by winning the NFC East and getting Coach Reid his first of an amazing TEN playoff wins when they beat the Bucs, 21-3 in the Wild Card Round.

(NOTE:  The Philadelphia Eagles franchise has been in existence since 1933, and they have won a TOTAL of 19 playoffs games in their entire history.  Andy Reid was the coach for more than half of the team’s all-time playoff wins.)

11). The Backup Quarterbacks
There was just something about the “backup quarterbacks” in Reid’s tenure.  Maybe because their starting quarterbacks have been rather fragile (McNabb/Vick/Kolb) over the years.  Maybe it was because Reid was so good at picking (or grooming) QBs.  Or, maybe the system was right for someone to step in.  But, no matter what, the next guy up always stepped up.  My first vivid memory of this was a Monday Night game against the juggernaut 49ers, when Koy Detmer (in for an injured McNabb) threw 2 TDs before breaking his arm.  A.J. Feeley then stepped in threw another one, as the Birds cruised to a 34-14 upset of the Niners.  Then there was 2006-07, when McNabb tore his ACL and Jeff Garcia came in to have a Pro Bowl season a win over the hated Giants in the playoffs and a near upset of the Saints in the Divisional Round.  And, then of course, is the recent memory of just 2 years ago when Kolb went down on Opening Day and Michael Vick came in to thrill against the Packers and lead the team to a meteoric rise to another division title.  Even Kevin Kolb – who did not exactly impress in his first opportunity when McNabb was benched at halftime in Baltimore in 2009 – won Player of the Week in replacement of an injured McNabb in 2009.

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The Rise and Fall of Andy Reid (and the Eagles)

Andy Reid was officially fired by the Eagles today and, honestly, it was a year too late.  With all the talent they had assembled for last year’s team, 8-8 was just not good enough.  This season’s epic failure confirmed the conclusions that many Eagles fans had already made before the 2012 team stepped on the field: it was time to move on from the Reid era.

But in the wake of all the Andy-hating that has been so easy over the last couple of years, let’s not forget what he accomplished here, nor lose sight of what his legacy should be.

Most “Andy Reid as Eagles coach” retrospectives will start with the day he (along with others in the front office) chose Donovan McNabb with the second pick of the 1999 draft.  Reid would go into his first season with his Quarterback of the Future waiting in the wings and ready to team up with him to pull the Birds out of the downward spiral they’d been put into by Ray Rhodes.

But for me, the real beginning of the Reid era was about 18 months later.  I had just arrived at college to start my freshman year.  A few days later, I got together with some other Eagles fans, in a dorm room, to watch the first game of the year, which happened to be against Dallas.  At the time, Dallas was not too far removed from their mid-90’s dominance and they were, without a doubt, the team I hated more than any other in the world.  It was still, after all, Troy Aikman and Emmitt Smith in the Cowboy backfield.

The game was starting with an Eagles kickoff and, suddenly, an onside kick!??  Who starts off a game, let alone a season, with an onside kick?  I’ll never forget the message I felt Andy Reid was sending, not just to the Cowboys and the NFL, but to us fans:  “I may be soft-spoken and never been a head coach at any level before this job, but I am not afraid to take big risks.  I’m not here to coach an average team, I’m here to do something special.”  The Eagles, coming off three straight horrible seasons,  recovered that onside kick and went on to win that game (in Dallas) 41-14.  And I never stopped believing in Andy Reid as coach of the Eagles, until over 11 years later.

Just like that, they were a playoff team in his second year.  The next year, to the NFC Championship Game, where they hung tough with the “Greatest Show on Turf” Rams.  They were on their way!  Next step to the Super Bowl!

The first bump in the road: a second straight NFC Championship, but a loss to Tampa Bay.  The second-toughest loss of my life.  Wasn’t the next step in this rise supposed to be WINNING the conference championship?  The next year, THE toughest loss of my life, again in the NFC Championship game, this time to the Panthers.  We’re stalled, we thought, but Andy and this team will get us over the top.  Just a matter of time.

2004:  The one thing we lacked was a big-time receiver.  Andy (and yes, the front office) went and got Terrell Owens.  Now we’re killing EVERYBODY.  Into the playoffs, to the NFC Championship Game yet again: and we beat Atlanta (and Michael Vick)!  The second-best win of my life (see: Phillies, 2008).  I went rolling in the snow outside because I didn’t know what else to do.  Andy’s taking us there!  The Super Bowl!

That was supposed to be one more step to the top.  We’d stalled a bit at the Championship Game level, but now we were back on track to that first Super Bowl win.  But, it turned out, that was as high as we would go.  As high, it turns out, as Andy Reid could get us.

After a gut-wrenching loss to the Patriots in that Super Bowl, there was a hangover season.  6 wins.  And yes, we were back in the playoffs in ’06, back in that familiar NFC Title game in ’08 (after a 9-win regular season), and had an 11-5 season in ’09.  But really, that upward climb, which Andy Reid had led, came to an end in Jacksonville, at Super Bowl XXXIX.

I had hope that Reid could follow the path that Bill Cowher had with the Steelers, where he finally broke through with a Super Bowl win in his 14th year as their coach.  It didn’t happen.  I believed in Reid as an NFL coach, and I still do in many ways.  He was, without a doubt, the best coach in Eagles history, even if that’s not saying a whole lot.  But with 12 wins combined in the last two years, it was very clearly time to move on.

It was fitting and, I suspect not a coincidence, that Andy decided to start off his LAST game the way he started the one that began that climb back in 2000: with an onside kick.  Just like in 2000, the gamble worked and the Eagles recovered.  But, in case anyone was mistaking this for those better times, Vick promptly threw an interception and the Eagles were on the opposite end of a rout to a division rival.

I’m glad Andy Reid was fired, but I’m also glad we had him as a coach.  He took the team from nowhere to as close as you can get to a championship, without getting one.  And he went out, in his last game, the way he came in: unafraid and willing to do whatever it took, for better or worse, to get a win.

The search is on for the man that can again pull the Eagles out of a tailspin but, maybe this time, take them all the way to the top.

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The Top 15 Big Men in College Basketball

15. Laurence Bowers, Sr., Missouri: After missing all of last season with a knee injury, Bowers has come back an improved player in his final season.  He’s 6-8 and not very strong for a PF, but he runs the floor really well and can score inside and out.  After not making a 3 in his junior year, he’s made 12 of 20 attempts this year.  He was also second in the Big 12 in blocks as a junior.  He’s leading the Tigers in scoring at 16 points a game, along with 6 rebounds.

14. Andre Roberson, Jr., Colorado: Inch for inch, Roberson is probably the best rebounder in the country.  At just 6-7, he’s 4th in the country in rebounding, at 11.9 a game.  Not an elite scorer (also 11.9 per game) but he has decent shooting range.  His real value comes in other ways, mainly the rebounding, but he also blocked two shots a game last year and is averaging 2.2 steals so far this season.

13. Brandon Davies, Sr., BYU: BYU hasn’t been great as a team so far this year, but it’s hard to blame Davies.  Take a look at their game Friday night:  they lost by 15 to Baylor but Davies had 26 points and 17 rebounds.  He fits BYU’s uptempo system perfectly, as a 6-9 PF that can really move up and down the floor.  He’s averaging 20 points/8 rebounds/2 blocks this year, with highlights also including 33 points (on 14-17 shooting) vs. Weber St. and 19 points in a loss to Florida St.

12. Mike Muscala, Sr., Bucknell: It’s hard to believe that a skilled, 6-11 center can end up in the Patriot League, but maybe even harder to believe that Muscala is only the second-best player in the league this year, thanks to C.J. McCollum at Lehigh.  Muscala is averaging 19 points/11 rebounds/3 assists/2.5 blocks so far this year, with some ridiculous stat lines: 29 points/19 boards vs. Columbia, 26 points/13 boards/5 blocks/4 assists/3 steals vs. Marist.  He hasn’t gone up against top competition, but he did post 27 points vs. a solid Kent St. team and 18 points/7 boards/6 assists vs. La Salle.  All of those aforementioned games being Bucknell wins.  Yes, undoubtedly one of the top 5 pure centers in college basketball is out of the PL.

11. Nerlens Noel, Fr., Kentucky: Wait, Kentucky is a total disappointment this year and Noel is a total bust, right?  Well, not quite.  Noel is no Anthony Davis and he’s not, as many expected, the best freshman in the country, but he’s still very, very good and a game-changer, especially at the defensive end.  In his second collegiate game he went up against Duke and put up 16 points/8 boards/4 steals.  He also had 16 rebounds and 6 steals vs. a strong Baylor frontcourt.  He ranks 5th in the nation with 3.9 blocks per game, to go along with his 11 points/9 boards/3 steals.  He’ll continue to improve through the season, before heading off to finish his development while getting paid.

10. Elias Harris, Sr., Gonzaga: Three years ago, Harris looked like he might be a one-and-done out of Gonzaga, as a 6-8 PF that could jump out of the gym and step out to the three-point line.  He elected to come back though, and went through a sophomore slump, getting tagged with an over-rated label.  He may never live up to those early expectations, but the high-flying German is still a force on the college level.  He hasn’t shown the outside shooting yet this year, but he’s averaging 15.5 points and 7.5 rebounds, while showing a more diversified game because he’s on pace to nearly double his career-highs in assists and steals.

9. C.J. Leslie, Jr., N.C. State: There’s been a lot of hype around Leslie since he arrived at NC State, and a lot of the time you can absolutely see why.  He often looks like a future NBA All-Star with his athleticism and skill around the basket.  There’s just not many defenders that can match his size and quickness.  That being said, Leslie just cannot seem to turn the corner to being a consistent force.  Just this weekend he went off for 33 points vs. St. Bonaventure, but he’ll often go through long stretches of games as a non-factor.  Part of the problem is the sky-high expectations he’s had from Day 1, but given his ability, there’s no reason he shouldn’t be higher on this list than #9, here in his junior year.  He’s averaging 15 points/7.5 rebounds.

8. Alex Len, So., Maryland: Len garnered some very early (and premature) “Player of the Year” hype in November after he put up 23 points/12 boards/4 blocks vs. Kentucky in the first game of the season.  It turns out Kentucky isn’t as good as most thought at the time and Len hasn’t matched those stats since, but the 7-1, Ukrainian center is still one of the better post players in the country.  He’s turned in consistently solid performances since that opening game outburst, and is averaging 14.5 points/9 boards/2.5 blocks for the 10-1 Terps.

7. James Michael McAdoo, So., North Carolina: There are a lot of reasons to not have McAdoo this high on this list:  his team has been somewhat disappointing, he’s averaging over 3 turnovers (a ton for a big man), and he’s come up pretty small in the team’s biggest games this year.  But I just can’t ignore the pure ability he has as a chiseled, 6-9 PF that can move like a guard.  If he were to come back for a junior season (which he won’t), he would be a POY candidate in the ’13-’14 season.  He’s having to make a big adjustment from 8th man last year to The Man this year, but he’s still putting up 15 and 8 a game and will continue to improve all the way to March.  Maybe the biggest disappointment is that a guy with his skill-set somehow has just three blocked shots through 12 games.

6. Jack Cooley, Sr., Notre Dame: Patrick Ewing, Derrick Coleman, Alonzo Mourning, Emeka Okafor, DeJuan Blair, John Wallace.  A lot of really good big men have come through the Big East, and maybe Cooley will be the very last of them.  He’s often compared to another one of them: Luke Harangody.  Cooley could barely get off the bench for two years before being named the league’s Most Improved Player last year.  He’s taken his game up another notch this year, averaging 15 points while shooting 64% from the field, and ranking 6th in the nation in rebounding, at 11.3 a game, for the 12-1 Irish.

5. Anthony Bennett, Fr., UNLV: Cooley has taken three years to become one of the top big men in America.  Bennett took about three minutes.  Bennett came in highly-touted, but he’s well surpassed any expectations.  At 6-8 with a dominant inside game and a reliable jump shot with range, he looks every bit like a lottery pick.  He’s averaging 19.5 points and 8.5 rebounds, while also shooting 12-34 from 3, good for 35%.  He’s had two of his biggest games against the best opponents he’s played, with 25 points/13 boards vs. Cal and 22 points/10 boards vs. Oregon.

4. Jeff Withey, Sr., Kansas: Withey’s career has been a lot like Cooley’s.  He didn’t play for two years before finally getting his chance last year.  He really put his name on the national map this past March by setting the record for blocks in an NCAA tournament, with 31 in the team’s six games.  He’s shown that was absolutely no fluke, as that average of 5 blocks a game he had in the tournament is exactly his average through 11 games this season.  But he’s not only a defensive presence, with his scoring average up to 14, and his FG percentage up to .573.  He’s also a 7-foot shot-blocker than can knock down free throws at nearly 80%.

3. Cody Zeller, So., Indiana: Sort of by default, Zeller seemed to have been anointed as the “face” of college basketball coming into the year.  He is the best player on what just MAY be the best team in the country, so if you have to choose someone, he’s a good pick.  But the fact is there really is no face of the sport this year, and there may be a handful of players better than Zeller.  That being said, he is an awesome collegiate center that should also be very solid, if maybe not an All-Star, at the next level.  He’s averaging 16 points/8 boards for the Hoosiers, as they try to chase down a national title before he bolts for the League.

2. Doug McDermott, Jr., Creighton: McDermott is an anomaly on this list because he is not only a “capable” 3-point shooter, he is one of the best in America.  He projects as a “tweener” forward at the next level, and I’m not sure he’ll be all that good there, but in college he is a match-up nightmare as a 6-8 PF that is shooting a smooth 51% (28-55) from 3 this year, and averaging 23 points, good for 3rd in the country.  He will be on the short list all season for the Player of the Year award.

1. Mason Plumlee, Sr., Duke: That “best player on the best team” rationale I mentioned for Zeller above?  Well, it turns out, at least through December, that that player is Plumlee.  He’s yet another guy on this list that has improved by leaps and bounds.  He made a big jump last year and has made an even bigger one into his senior season.  He features a combination of size, agility, and skill that make him the best post player in America.  He’ll command double-teams all season long.  He’s averaging 19 points and 11.5 rebounds, which is good for 5th in the country.  He’s led his team to an 11-0 record through the toughest schedule in the country.  He had 20 points/17 boards vs. a really good Minnesota team and 21 points/17 boards vs. an even better (if a little thin in the post) Ohio St. team.

Honorable Mentions:

Mike Moser, UNLV:  Would be on the list but may be out for the year with an injury

Gorgui Dieng, Louisville:  Like Moser, would probably be on the list if not for an injury

Jarnell Stokes, Tennessee:  Looks like an All-Pro defensive end playing college ball

Isaiah Austin/Cory Jefferson, Baylor:  Austin may be a lottery pick, Jefferson has matched his production.

Reggie Johnson, Miami:  Would be on the list if he could get in shape

Christian Watford, Indiana:  6-9 and a lights-out shooter

Tony Mitchell, North Texas:  Been kind of disappointing this year, even if he does get double and triple teamed every time he touches the ball

Jackie Carmichael, Illinois St.

Murphy Holloway, Ole Miss

Ed Daniel, Murray St.

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Previewing Conference Play: Part One

With the conference season right around the corner, it is time to take a look at how these conference races are going to shape up. 

And, it is also time to check in on a new BSB project we have debuted this year.  BSB’s main college basketball contributors – Doogan, Gross, and Bry – have roped in a fellow hoops junkie, Ryan Doc, to participate in our first ever CBB Team Draft.  Sparing the details for a future post, essentially what we did is the four of us drafted all 344 D-I teams (leaving out the two independents – CS-Bakersfield and New Orleans – and the late entry to D-I, Northern Kentucky) in typical ladder style.  The final scores will be decided by where each team finishes in their conference, which is why you see teams like Savannah State and Delaware State picked ahead of teams like Duke and Michigan State.

In this post, I will try and briefly run down the races in the eight highest-rated conferences with a eye towards our CBB Team Draft and how it looks to shape up.  Look for Parts Two through Four to complete the preview.

(Conferences listed in power ranking, based upon the league’s average KenPom ranking)

Big East

Overall
Amidst all this realignment and disbandment craze, the Big East continues to churn out some of the best basketball in the nation.  Personally, I think the Big Ten is actually a far better conference, but they are brought down by Nebraska and Penn State, while the Big East is bolstered by all fifteen teams being in the top 100, including three in the top 6.  This should be a great year at the top of the Big East, as teams Syracuse, Louisville, Pitt, Notre Dame, Cincy, and G’town all look for real.

CBB Team Draft
RDoc went heavy on the Big East, as he took the first 5 BE teams off the board, finishing with 8 teams in this league, so he figures to get the 150-point prize for winning this league, though Bry’s only BE team, Pitt, might be a surprise.

  • Savvy Picks – Bry’s nabbing of Pitt at #93 (the 6th BE team off the board) looks mighty good right now, as the Panthers are 10-1 and might have a chance to steal a big number from this conference.  Providence has won 6 in a row and making a push up the standings, which looks for Doogan, who took them at #256.  Of those first five that RDoc took, it looks like he’s getting the best value out of his 4th and 5th selections of Cincinnati (#39) and Georgetown (#74).
  • Shaky Picks – This whole conference looks good, so it’s hard to say any pick was a “bad” pick, but RDoc’s picks of S.Florida (#210) and St. John’s (#234) look like they may have been reaches.
  • Most Intriguing BattleMarquette (Doogan – #120) and UConn (Gross – #126) were picked just 6 picks apart and each have a wide range of possible finishes.

Picks

  1. Louisville – RDoc, #2
  2. Syracuse – RDoc, #10
  3. Notre Dame – RDoc, #31
  4. Cincinnati – RDoc, #39
  5. Georgetown – RDoc, #74
  6. Pittsburgh – Bry, #93
  7. Marquette – Doogan, #120
  8. UConn – Gross, #126
  9. South Florida – RDoc, #210
  10. St. John’s – RDoc, #234
  11. Providence – Doogan, #256
  12. Villanova – Doogan, #281
  13. Seton Hall – Gross, #299
  14. Rutgers – RDoc, #306
  15. DePaul – Gross, #342

Big Ten

Overall
Regardless of any power rankings or whatnot, there is not anything that can convince me right now that this is not the best conference in the nation.  Particularly with the emergence of 12-0 Illinois and a really solid Iowa team.  Granted, Wisconsin, Northwestern, and to some extent, Michigan State have disappointed so far, but do we doubt Bo Ryan or Tom Izzo?  I sure don’t.

CBB Team Draft
This conference is a war between Doogan and Gross, as they have 5 teams apiece in this brutal conference.  RDoc is sitting out the B10 this year, while Bry took the 8th and 10th B10 teams off the board.

  • Savvy Picks – Doogan took Minnesota at #160, as the 6th B10 team off the board, and the Gophers look like a top-10 team nationally.  Bry made nice mid-conf pick, taking Illinois at #212, as the 8th B10 team off the board.  While they are an impressive 12-0, it should be interesting to see if the undervalued Illini can withstand the B10 schedule.  Also, Michigan looks like they might be the best team in the country, so for Gross to nab them at #54 is nice.
  • Shaky Picks – Again, this whole conference is really good, so it is hard to find a “bad” pick, but Doogan may have reached on Northwestern at #216 and possibly even Michigan State at #33, as the 2nd B10 team picked.  Gross taking Wisconsin at #107 looks like it could be a reach, but it wasn’t even a top-100 pick, and they still have Bo Ryan.
  • Most Intriguing BattleIowa, Illinois, and Northwestern were all picked within 5 picks of each other (#211, 212, 216, respectively), so it should be interesting to see where they end up.

Picks

  1. Indiana – Doogan, #16
  2. Michigan State – Doogan, #33
  3. Michigan – Gross, $54
  4. Ohio State – Gross, #59
  5. Wisconsin – Gross, #107
  6. Minnesota – Doogan, #160
  7. Iowa – Gross, #211
  8. Illinois – Bry, #212
  9. Northwestern – Doogan, #216
  10. Purdue – Bry, #269
  11. Nebraska – Doogan, #305
  12. Penn State – Gross, #339

ACC

Overall
It was supposed to be the year of the Wolfpack, but, instead, it looks like just another year of the Blue Devil.  The Dukies look like far and away the best team in this conference, especially with UNC struggling so mightily.  Va Tech was a huge surprise, but have faltered lately, while Maryland just keeps on rolling.  Is it possible that the Terps are the second-best team in this conference?  Yes, very possible.

CBB Team Draft
Gross has Duke, UNC, and Maryland, so he’s in good shape here.  RDoc has a fleet of 5 solid contenders.  Doogan has one team, but it is Miami – a solid contender.  Bry is a non-factor, as his only ACC team was his very last pick of the draft.

  • Savvy Picks – The two most promising picks here both could have been seen as reaches at the time of selection, but Gross with Maryland at #86 and Doogan with Miami at #88 look like really smart selections right now.  RDoc also may have a steal with Virginia at #202.  While, knowing what we know now, it might not look so impressive, Gross does deserve a lot of credit for making Duke the first ACC team off the board – ahead of N.C. State, who was just about everyone’s pick to win the league.  Virginia Tech looked like a steal for Gross at #219 a week ago, but a lot has changed in a week.
  • Shaky Picks – The group did pretty well analyzing the ACC finishes here, as most of the draft looks like it is going to form.  RDoc taking N.C. State (#23) and Gross taking UNC (#35) so high might come back to haunt them as there may have been better options in other conference for picks so early.  Another questionable pick might turn out to be Florida State at #122 for RDoc, as the Seminoles have not lived up to expectations. 
  • Most Intriguing Battle – There are a lot of intriguing battles here, as there are a lot of team pairs picked closely together – the aforementioned Duke-N.C.State battle should be interesting, as they were picked back-to-back (#22 and 23).  Maryland and Miami were two picks apart (#86 and 88), and while not incredibly close to each other, the battle to avoid last-place in this conference between Gross’s Wake Forest (#318) and Bry’s Boston College (#341) could have major point implications.

Picks

  1. Duke – Gross, #22
  2. N.C. State – RDoc, #23
  3. North Carolina – Gross, #35
  4. Maryland – Gross, #86
  5. Miami – Doogan, #88
  6. Florida State – RDoc, #122
  7. Virginia – RDoc, #202
  8. Virginia Tech – Gross, #219
  9. Clemson – RDoc, #255
  10. Georgia Tech – RDoc, #266
  11. Wake Forest – Gross, #318
  12. Boston College – Bry, #341

Mountain West

Overall
If you are surprised that the top 6 conferences are not the “Power-6,” then you are not paying attention.  I will forgive you, though, if you are surprised at just how high the Mountain West is ranked this year.  A perennially potent league is having one of its best seasons ever.  The league is 71-18 in the non-conference, including four teams at 9-1 or better.  The league has beaten it’s Pac-12 “big sisters” Colorado, UCLA, and USC and UW twice.  There are also conference wins over Iowa State, UConn, George Mason, Illinois State, and Creighton – all either on neutral courts or true road venues.  There is not a single cupcake in this league, and the top three are as good as any conference’s top 3, except maybe the Big East and Big Ten.

CBB Team Draft
Not surprising in any way is the fact that Bry is all over the MWC, having taken 5 of the 9 teams in this league.  Doogan and RDoc each have two, and Gross is sitting this one out.

  • Savvy Picks – While Bry has some nice-looking picks among his FIVE in this league (Boise State at #229, Colorado State at #157), RDoc’s pick of Wyoming at #250 is in the conversation for best pick of the entire draft, as things stand right now.  The Cowboys are 10-0 and looking like a legitimate threat to finish in the top half, if not crack the Big Three.  That is a hell of a pick.
  • Shaky Picks – While RDoc had clearly the best pick of the league, he probably also has the worst – as things stand now – with Nevada at #183.  The funny thing is that if he just switched those two picks, he would still look savvy, so just taking the total package of Wyoming and Nevada at #183 and #250, it was a nice haul.  When you pick a team last in a conference, it is a little optimistic to think that they might give you good value, but Fresno State is clearly the worst team in the M-West right now, so Bry probably didn’t need to use pick #308 to take a last-place team, even if he does love this league a little too much.
  • Most Intriguing Battle – It is hard to look at battles here, since Bry has more than half of the league, but it should be real interesting to see where his picks of Colorado State (#157) and Boise State (#229) fall among Doogan’s Air Force (#249) and RDoc’s Wyoming (#250), who were picked later.

Picks

  1. UNLV – Doogan, #49
  2. San Diego State – Bry, #76
  3. New Mexico – Bry, #92
  4. Colorado State – Bry, #157
  5. Nevada – RDoc, #183
  6. Boise State – Bry, #229
  7. Air Force – Doogan, #249
  8. Wyoming – RDoc, #250
  9. Fresno State – Bry, #308

 Pac-12

Overall
The Pac-12 is still trying to rebuild its tainted reputation after two of the worst seasons in major conference history.  And, the disintegration of UCLA is not helping.  What is helping, however, is that Sean Miller seems to have the rebuilding process at Arizona way ahead of schedule, and the ‘Cats look like a clear Top-10 team in the nation – which, as it looks now – should be enough to run away and hide with the Pac-12 title.

CBB Team Draft
There have definitely been some interesting and surprising happenings in the non-conference for the Pac-12, which has turned this draft upside down.  Bry has 5 Pac-12 teams, with a couple nice picks making up for his blunder at the top.  Gross has 3 teams here, including the runaway favorite, UA.  Doogan and RDoc each have 2 teams, with Doogan’s having much more potential to bring some points than RDoc’s mid- and late-round picks.

  • Savvy Picks – Doogan grabbing Oregon at #177 might be one of the most promising picks of the entire draft, as things look now.  While it is no big stretch to think that the first team off the board is the favorite, the rise of Arizona and the demise of UCLA makes Gross taking Arizona at #11 look really nice right about now.
  • Shaky Picks – One of the shakier picks of the entire draft was Gross reaching for USC at #91.  That being said, they have been better as of late, so it may not be quite the disaster it appeared a couple of weeks ago.  RDoc’s #215 pick of Washington looks pretty shaky, as well, but the Huskies have made a habit out of going through terrible non-conference seasons and turning it on in conference play.
  • Most Intriguing Battle – Bry took California at #100 and Colorado at #132, and the way it looks, those two teams could engage in an interesting two-on-two battle against a pair of Doogan picks – Stanford (#80) and Oregon (#177) for some of those upper-middle positions in the Pac-12 standings.

Picks

  1. Arizona – Gross, #11
  2. UCLA – Bry, #21
  3. Stanford – Doogan, #80
  4. USC – Gross, #91
  5. California – Bry, #100
  6. Colorado – Bry, #132
  7. Oregon – Doogan, #177
  8. Washington – RDoc, #215
  9. Oregon State – Bry, #228
  10. Washington State – Bry, #277
  11. Arizona State – Gross, #315
  12. Utah – RDoc, #343

Big XII

Overall
The sun in the morning, that geyser in Yellowstone, and Bill Self’s team winning the Big XII – am I leaving anything out here?  Like clockwork, the Jayhawks are poised to roll through the Big XII yet again, even though Jeff Withey might be their best player.  It is amazing.  KU is good – don’t get me wrong – but they are also aided this year by the potential trainwrecks heading towards Austin, Waco, and Morgantown, as Texas, Baylor, and West Virginia have been among the three most disappointing teams in the country so far. 

CBB Team Draft
Gross took 60% of the Big XII, including the favored Jayhawks, so he is likely to dominate the bounty of points here.  Doogan is pinning his Big XII to K-State, RDoc is riding Texas, and Bry will roll with West Virginia (and, the irrelevant Texas Tech).

  • Savvy Picks – The best pick of this conference appears to be Gross’s nabbing of Iowa State at #187, but he also got more value than it first appeared with Oklahoma State when he stepped up to take them at #78, with the more hyped UT, K-State, and WVU still on the board.  Also – and this might sound strange – RDoc’s pick of Texas might actually turn out to be decent value at #159…or it could be a total strikeout, but it was not a bad gamble to take in the mid-rounds.  Before last night’s loss to Stephen F. Austin, it looked like Gross’s Oklahoma pick (#267) was one of great value.  It is still nice, but that loss is scary.
  • Shaky Picks – Texas and West Virginia are both in dissarray, but at least they did not go all that early in this draft.  Baylor did.  With the #46 pick, Gross cannot be happy with the shakiness of that team in Waco.  But, they do have talent, so anything is possible.  Oh, and let us not forget that, while #173 may not be “early,” the Mountaineers of West Virginia are still sitting in last-place right now for Bry, which could make that a pretty bad pick.
  • Most Intriguing Battle – Doogan grabbing Kansas State at #112 could be one of huge value, if they can finish ahead of either of Gross’s Baylor (#46) or Oklahoma State (#78) picks.

Picks

  1. Kansas – Gross, #14
  2. Baylor – Gross, #46
  3. Oklahoma State – Gross, #78
  4. Kansas State – Doogan, #112
  5. Texas – RDoc, #159
  6. West Virginia – Bry, #173
  7. Iowa State – Gross, #187
  8. Oklahoma – Gross, #267
  9. TCU – Gross, #307
  10. Texas Tech – Bry, #332

 SEC

Overall
Through 7 games and about 34 minutes, the Florida Gators looked like they might not only be the best team in the SEC, but quite possibly the best team in the country.  Then the wheels fell off at the McHale Center and they gave that game away to Arizona.  It was still a great showing for a team that should enter conference play as the clear favorite in the SEC.  Our defending champs have a slew of talent but…wait for it…they’re all freshmen, so we have no idea when – if ever – they will come around.  The question is will teams like Missouri, Ole Miss, Tennessee, or Alabama make a push toward the top of this conference.  And, the other question worth asking:  is the bottom of this league really that bad?  It just might be…

CBB Team Draft
The SEC is pretty spread out around our four competitors.  Bry is the only one with fewer than 3 SEC teams, but his two were the 2nd and 3rd teams off the board, so he will be in play.  Doogan took the 1st and 4th teams off the board (plus the last), so he should also be in play here.  RDoc and Gross went back and forth for teams 5 through 13, with Gross taking 5 teams and RDoc taking 4. 

  • Savvy PicksOle Miss is another pick on the short list for best of the entire draft, as the Rebels like like true contenders for a top 2 or 3 finish in this 14-team league, and RDoc grabbed them all the way down at #162.  He also may have hit on Alabama at #119, as they could finish top 4, if things work out as planned.  RDoc continued to shine in this league with his later picks of Texas A&M (#231) and, especially, LSU (#271).  Gross may have find a real diamond in the rough with Auburn all the way down at the ridiculously low #326.  The Tigers may be a middle-of-the-pack team here.
  • Shaky Picks – It is still hard to get a read of Doogan’s Tennessee (#72) and Gross’s Arkansas (#139) picks.  But, I think we can say that Gross’s pick of Georgia at #203 has disaster potential, as the Bulldogs are currently 3-7 and it hasn’t exactly been against the best competition.  Gross’s Vanderbilt at #235 also looks a bit high.  And, then there is the #1 overall pick in the draft.  Doogan went with the defending champs of Kentucky at #1, thinking – quite legitimately – that the ‘Cats should be the clear favorites to win a large (14 teams) league, which would garner the huge 140-point bounty.  But, UK is reeling and Florida is rolling, so, while the ‘Cats should still bring a decent haul, it is looking less and less likely that they will return value commensurate with their #1 overall draft spot.
  • Most Intriguing Battle – This conference has several tiers and probably the most interesting of these tiers is going to be a battle royale between Gross and RDoc for those mid-to-lower SEC positions.  Gross is armed with South Carolina, Auburn, Arkansas, and possibly Georgia if they turn it around fighting with RDoc’s Alabama, Texas A&M and LSU.  It could go a long way towards how their overall drafts turn out.

Picks

  1. Kentucky – Doogan, #1
  2. Florida – Bry, #20
  3. Missouri – Bry, #44
  4. Tennessee – Doogan, #72
  5. Alabama – RDoc, #119
  6. Arkansas – Gross, #139
  7. Ole Miss – RDoc, #162
  8. Georgia – Gross, #203
  9. Texas A&M – RDoc, #231
  10. Vanderbilt – Gross, #235
  11. LSU – RDoc, #271
  12. South Carolina – Gross, #291
  13. Auburn – Gross, #326
  14. Mississippi State – Doogan, #344

 Atlantic 10

Overall
While, as a Temple fan, the time for bemoaning our lot in this whole conference realignment ordeal will come, I would like to focus on the here and now and keep reminding myself that – if only for one season – the Owls are smack-dab in the middle of an endlessly fascinating A-10.  Just looking at the KenPom rankings, after VCU (who is currently in 8th place, mind you) at 10, there are ELEVEN A-10 teams ranked between 44 and 103.  And, GW sits right on the outside of that at 139.  That is incredible!  And, this conference season is going to be like none we have ever seen in the A-10.  Buckle up, kids!

CBB Team Draft
The largest single point total in the whole competition (160) will be given to the one who picked the champion in the A-10.  But, the incredible depth and parity of the league kept everyone away for almost 4 full rounds, until RDoc grabbed two teams rather quickly.  Another two rounds went by before a flurry of three teams (2 for Bry and 1 for Doogan) came off the board in a quick 8-pick span.  And, the fear of the unknown kept people away for longer until Gross finally entered the fray at #62.  In the end, the league was very balanced – Bry had 5 teams; Doogan and Gross had 4 apiece; RDoc had 3 (including the first two off the board) – so, unsurprisingly, this league is going to be wide open all year.

  • Savvy Picks – With VCU emerging as the likely favorite for the largest bounty of them all, it stands to reason that Bry taking them at #28 is going to get incredible value for his 7th-round pick.  Much later, Bry grabbed Charlotte at #213 and they have looked real good against a bad non-conference schedule, so that has some real upside.  However, other than the VCU 160-point potential, the best pick of this conference – as things look now – probably has to be either Doogan’s pick of Dayton at #152 or, maybe more impressive, Gross’s pick 27 spots later of LaSalle.  And, then there are the late sleeper possibilities for all four of the drafters:  Bry (St. Bonaventure at #244), Doogan (GW at #272), Gross (Rhode Island at #331), and RDoc (Duquesne at #338).  Obviously, it is a bit of a zero-sum game with these bottom teams, as they cannot all show great value, but with these late picks and the way these four teams have played, it is not out of the question that any of them could return some great value.
  • Shaky Picks – You can’t fault RDoc for this thought process in chasing the 160-point pot.  And, there is no reason to think that he won’t still get it, but St. Louis looks like they might have been a little overrated without Majerus, so they may not return the value of the #15 overall pick.  Gross’s entrance into the A-10 at #62 with UMass looks like a bit of a reach, as the Minutemen have been shaky and are in danger of a not even breaking the top 10 in the league – not great value for a 16th-round pick.  Bry may have been caught up in some hard-core bias in reaching for Temple at #36, as it is still up in the air where they will finish.  And, while it is hard to really downgrade any team picked at #296, but Doogan taking Fordham might come back to haunt him if, for nothing else, he left URI and Duquesne still on the table, who both have looked a little better than the Rams in the non-conference.  But, again, with 295 teams off the table, it is nothing more than missed opportunity.
  • Most Intriguing Battle – This whole conference is an intriguing battle.  I know I talked about the clumping of the 11 teams within 60 spots on KenPom’s rankings, but it is even more incredible when you look closer at this four-team cluster:  Temple (B-66), Dayton (D-69), LaSalle (G-70), Richmond (B-71).  Four teams within 6 spots of each other, including three in a row – all the same conference.  And, those four teams are split between 3 different drafters.  That is nuts!

Picks

  1.  St. Louis – RDoc, #15
  2. Butler – RDoc, #18
  3. VCU – Bry, #28
  4. St. Joe’s – Doogan, #32
  5. Temple – Bry, #36
  6. UMass – Gross, #62
  7. Xavier – Gross, #118
  8. Richmond – Bry, #125
  9. Dayton – Doogan, #152
  10. LaSalle – Gross, #179
  11. Charlotte – Bry, #213
  12. St. Bonaventure – Bry, #244
  13. George Washington – Gross, #272
  14. Fordham – Doogan, #296
  15. Rhode Island – Gross, #331
  16. Duquesne – RDoc, #338
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This Weekend in College Hoops

(NOTE: Learning about the events in Newtown, CT, today made this post difficult to post, actually, but I was nearly finished when I heard of the shooting.  I do not mean to be overdramatic – I tend to fall on the other end of the “drama” spectrum – but this tragedy, for whatever reason, has hit me deeply.  As a writer, I haven’t the words to express how I feel about the senseless act of murdering children, and, as a father, I haven’t the strength to deal with the paralyzing fear it has invoked in me, so I will awkwardly return to a safe place in basketball…)

The slowest week of the college basketball season is about to end, with fewer than 100 games all week.  Well, we are gutting through it, and now it is about to start to slowly picking up until the mayhem that is the start of conference play around the New Year.  This weekend’s slate is decent with a couple marquee matchups to watch for and a whole slew of others with varying levels of intrigue.  Here are some of the highlights and things to look for this weekend:

National Game of the Weekend

#5 Florida at #8 Arizona (Saturday, 10:00)
Not just the Game of the Week, but quite possibly the game of the non-conference season!  Two legitimate Final Four contenders face off in the desert.  Sean Miller has an arsenal of freshmen big men to lean on, as well as the grizzled veteran Solomon Hill, the wise old sophomore Nick Johnson, and the senior Xavier transfer Mark Lyons to lean on.  Arizona is back – and it did not take nearly as long as some people thought it would.  As for Billy Donovan’s squad – it is not crazy to think that this UF’s best team since the back-to-back titles teams of nearly a decade ago.  They are strong inside (Patric Young and Erik Murphy) and outside (Kenny Boynton and Mike Rosario), but most importantly, they are incredibly tough and capable on the defensive end.  This might be the best defensive team in the country.  This is going to be a great nightcap to a long day of hoops.

Mid-Major Game of the Weekend

Akron at Detroit (Saturday, noon)
There actually are not a whole lot of mid-on-mid battles this weekend, but this one should give us what we want.  The Zips have a strong backcourt duo of Alex Abreu and Brian Walsh, a couple of solid swingmen in Chauncey Gilliam and Quincy Diggs, all supporting the enigmatic personality of 7’1″ manchild Zeke Marshall.  Akron may be, yet again, the most overlooked mid-major around, but any road game is tough in this business, especially when that road takes you to the home of Ray McCallum, Jr.  McCallum, who notoriously passed on offers from several Big Ten schools, including Michigan State, is clearly a high-major talent playing at a mid-major level.  Unfortunately for the Titans, they have not exactly surrounded Ray Ray with a strong supporting cast.  But, when you have a guy that is on another level, you are always tough.

The Best of the Undercard

If you are waiting for the Florida-Zona main course late Saturday night, you will have plenty to whet your palate throughout the day. 

Butler vs. #1 Indiana (Saturday, 2:00)
The first game of a terrific “Battle for Indiana” double-header.  The Hoosiers have looked every bit the #1 team in the country so far, but has the potential to be their toughest test yet, as the Bulldogs are stacked with outside shooters – particularly the dead-eyed Rotnei Clarke – and are unafraid of anyone in the country.  And, with a guy like Brad Stevens at the helm, you know Butler will be ready in every capacity.

#6 Louisville at Memphis (Saturday, 2:30)
If you believe everything you hear or read, you will think that Memphis has been one of the nation’s biggest disappoinments.  But, in reality, they only have 2 losses – both in Atlantis to very quality teams (VCU and Minnesota).  They also left the island with a win over a good UNI team.  Then, they returned home to pound Ohio U – a Sweet 16 team a year ago.  But, this game could go a long way to either vindicating or discrediting the disappoinment tag affixed on Memphis so far.

Belmont at #9 Kansas (Saturday, 7:00)
One of the most impressive teams this year that no one is talking about has been Belmont.  They have been blitzing teams, including a 15-point win over a really good Middle Tennessee St. team last night.  It is hard to say how anyone will react to going into The Fogg (just ask Colorado-yikes), but if they can handle the environment, do not be surprised if they hang with the Jayhawks.

#3 Michigan at West Virginia (Saturday, 8:00)
Coach Beilein returns home.  I wonder if Kevin Pittsnogle will be in the building.  The Mountaineers have not exactly played the way the Huggy Bear expects, but it is still a tough place to play, even for a Final Four-caliber team like Michigan and Doogan’s #1 point guard in the nation, Trey Burke.

Kansas State at #14 Gonzaga (Saturday, 9:00)
I still believe that this is the best Gonzaga team in school history.  But, after that home loss to Illinois last weekend, this game is suddenly pretty important to regain some traction.  And, this Wildcat team, with their athleticism and fire – even with Coach Martin – is a scary opponent for anyone right now.

Dessert

#16 Creighton at California (Saturday, 11:00)
Another late-night treat awaits us in Berkeley, as the Golden Bears play host to Doug McDermott and the Creighton Blue Jays.  Cal is not an easy place to win any year, but with a backcourt of Allen Crabbe and Justin Cobbs, Mike Montgomery’s team is typically tough this year.

Upset Alerts

There are a few other ranked teams that have may want to watch out this weekend, for instance (in chronological order):

UNC-Asheville at #7 Ohio State (Saturday, noon)
The Buckeyes look like one of the best teams in the country, and UNC-Asheville is rebuilding, but the Bulldogs are still relatively potent, with a strong new crop of future All-Big Southers and a highly-experienced coach in Eddie Biedenbach, who is unafraid of games like this.  I would not be surprised if OSU wins by 40 or 4.

Western Carolina at #15 Georgetown (Saturday, noon)
Any time you have serious trouble scoring the ball, you are prone to being upset.  And, that has certainly been the case for the Hoyas thus far.  While WCU is only 4-6 in the early going, they have had played tough through a difficult non-conference slate, including just recently giving Illinois a run for their money in Champaign.

East Carolina at #21 North Carolina (Saturday, noon)
The Pirates of ECU have been relatively untested so far this year, which means that they have stayed completely under the radar, but they do have Miguel Paul, Maurice Kemp, and URI transfer Akeem Richmond, who can all light it up.  If the Heels are who we think they should be, they should handle ECU, but if they are who they have shown to be so far, they could definitely struggle.

#11 Cincinnati at Marshall (Saturday, 2:00)
Both teams were supposed to be good to great, but probably not elite coming into the season.  But, in the early going, neither of them would fall under that category.  You would be hard-pressed to make a case for Marshall being “good,” let alone “great.”  While Cincy, on the other hand, has put themselves in the “elite” discussion with their early season play.  Sean Kilpatrick and Cashmere Wright are as good a backcourt as you will find, and Cincy is – as always – tough and physical on the defensive end.  Marshall has some talent, though, and could pose a threat at home, if they ever find what they are missing.

Purdue vs. #22 Notre Dame (Saturday, 4:30) 
I like Mike Brey’s Irish team this year, and Purdue is in a bit of a rebuilding stage after losing so much talent to the Association recently, but the Boilers still have Terone Johnson and D.J. Byrd to go along with a pretty stellar freshman class, so this is dangerous for ND.

New Mexico State at #17 New Mexico (Saturday, 6:00)
In-state rivalries are always brutal, but this one can be especially so.  The Lobos are loaded this year, but the Aggies are no slouches either, and anything can happen in these battles.  Watch for State’s super-soph Daniel Mullings to try and carry his team to an upset here in The Pit.

Canisius at #4 Syracuse (Saturday, 7:00)
Syracuse looks really, really good.  It is hard to imagine Canisius giving them a real game in the Carrier Dome, but, then again, it was hard to imagine Canisius doing anything they’ve been doing this year.  They have two incredible scorers in Harold Washington and URI transfer Billy Baron (a dead-eye shooter who looks like a “coach’s son” because, well, he is one). 

Norfolk State at #25 N.C. State (Saturday, 7:00)
N.C. State has been a pretty big disappoinment so far this year, but it is still so early, and maybe it is better that they do not go into ACC play with the target on their backs.  Let the Dukies take the title of “favorite” for once.  As for Norfolk, it’s not nearly the same team that upset Mizzou last year, as Kyle O’Quinn has left for the NBA, but they have surprised early and might be a dark horse in the MEAC race.  An upset here, though, would say a whole lot more about what N.C. State is not than about what Norfolk is.

San Diego at #18 San Diego State (Saturday, 10:00)
Crosstown rivalries are always tricky.  SDSU has talent to spare in this one, as USD is not a great team.  But, again, crosstown rivalries are tricky.

Eastern Kentucky at #10 Illinois (Sunday, 6:00)
Well, something’s gotta give, right?  Something’s gotta give in this battle of undefeateds.  Yep, that’s right, Illinois is undefeated – you hadn’t heard?  Well, it is true.  And, now they get the ultimate test, as the bigshot EKU comes to town, sporting their own 9-0 record.  Something’s gotta give…

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