Playoff Top Twelve: Receivers

This is now the third installment of the playoff edition Top Twelve.  We ranked the 12 playoff quarterbacks from Manning to Sanchez on Monday, and then Tuesday we did the running games from Dallas to Arizona.  Today, we are going to focus on the receivers.  And, like yesterday, it is not going to be individual receivers, but instead its groups of receivers, or receiving corps, if you will.  We are going to try and not take into account the guy throwing the ball, so we will not focus on “passing rankings,” but more focus on the guys catching the ball, including tight ends, running backs, and, of course, wide receivers.  Along with the ranking will be, in italics, a list of the guys who had either 30 catches or 300 yards receiving this year for that specific team.  As far as taking into account injuries, I did try and assess New England without Wes Welker, since he is out for the playoffs, but I assumed everyone else was 100% because there is no way of knowing the extent of the injuries to guys who will be playing, such as Chad Ochocinco, Anquan Boldin, and Jeremy Maclin.

This Year’s Top Twelve Playoff Receiving Corps

12). New York Jets.  (Jerricho Cotchery 57-821, Braylon Edwards 35-541, Dustin Keller 45-122)  Which two teams were in the bottom two were pretty easy, but which one was #12 and which was #11 was not that easy.  I went with the Jets at #12 just because I really don’t believe in Braylon Edwards as being a trusted go-to guy in the playoffs.  I could be wrong, but I have trouble counting on a guy like that.  Cotchery is an okay #2, but Keller was very disappointing this year, and, as much as I love Thomas Jones, he is absolutely no threat to catch passes out of the backfield.  I could easily be convinced that the Jets are #11, but only if there are health concerns for the…

11). Cincinnati Bengals.  (Chad Ochocinco 72-1047, Laveranues Coles 43-514, Andre Caldwell 51-432, Brian Leonard 30-217)  With a healthy Ochocinco, I think the Bengals receiving corps slightly edges out that of the Jets.  Ochocinco had a truly great season, but it is clear how much this team misses T.J. Houshmanzadeh and the late Chris Henry.  Also, they got nothing in the passing game from their tight ends and next to nothing from the running backs.  This is a pretty bad group of receivers for Carson Palmer.

10). Baltimore Ravens.  (Derrick Mason 73-1028, Ray Rice 78-702, Todd Heap 53-593, Mark Clayton 34-480, Kelley Washington 34-431)  I have been on the Ravens group of receivers all year because I really don’t think they are very good, with the obvious exception of the ultimate pro Derrick Mason (though he has clearly lost a step).  Ray Rice is a monster receiver out of the backfield, but Todd Heap is no longer a Pro Bowl caliber tight end.  Clayton and Washington are average, at best.  Then again, I ranked Sanchez, Palmer, and Flacco as #12, 11, and 10 in quarterbacks, and now I’m ranking their “weaponry” in that same order.  Hmm, I wonder if one of these rankings is off because of the poor play of the other side?

9). New England Patriots.  (Wes Welker 123-1348, Randy Moss 83-1264, Benjamin Watson 29-404, Julian Edelman 37-359, Sam Aiken 20-326, Kevin Faulk 37-301)  If I didn’t believe in the abilities of Randy Moss, I may have pushed the Patriots down even more significantly with the loss of Welker.  But, Moss is that good.  He demands double-teams, at all times, and I think that Julian Edelman will be able to find many of the same holes that Welker found.  I’m not saying he will replace ONE HUNDRED AND TWENTY-THREE CATCHES IN FOURTEEN GAMES, but he has shown that he can be productive.  I do not have much confidence in Watson or Aiken, but Kevin Faulk always seems to be there when the Pats need a short pass on 3rd-and-4.

8). Dallas Cowboys.  (Miles Austin 81-1320, Jason Witten 94-1030, Patrick Crayton 37-622, Roy Williams 38-596)  I’ll be honest here, these middle four teams, #5-8, were incredibly tough to rank.  I wouldn’t argue with any rearrangement of the next four teams.  I put Dallas at #8 just because they get nothing from their running backs, and Crayton and Williams have done nothing to instill any confidence.  Granted, Austin had a ridiculous season and Jason Witten is one of the best in the game at tight end, but if a team can just live with 7-8 catches from Witten and somehow stop Austin, the Cowboys could be in for a long day throwing the ball.  Again, I could have easily put them as high as #5, but come on, they’re the Cowboys.

7). Philadelphia Eagles.  (DeSean Jackson 63-1167, Brent Celek 76-971, Jeremy Maclin 55-762, Jason Avant 41-587, LeSean McCoy 40-308)  Nice that we are ranking the best set of “weapons” in the league and the Eagles are not at the bottom of this list.  Wow, have times changed?  The one reason I have the Eagles slightly ahead of Dallas is that, while I think the #1 receivers and tight ends cancel each other out (Jackson is slightly better than Austin, while Witten is slightly better than Celek), I think the Eagles have a significant receiving advantage out of the backfield.  We all know what Westbrook can do, and we have seen that McCoy and even Weaver are solid targets.  Plus, I think the 2-3 combo of Maclin and Avant are far superior to Crayton and Williams in Dallas.

6). Green Bay Packers.  (Greg Jennings 68-1113, Donald Driver 70-1061, Jermichael Finley 55-676, James Jones 32-440, Jordy Nelson 22-320, Donald Lee 37-260)  Another tough decision, as I have the Packers slightly ahead of both the NFC East playoff teams, as far as receiving corps.  Jennings and Driver give the Pack a really solid, almost go-to guy, on both sides of the field–something that neither Dallas nor Philly has.  Plus, throw in an excellent season from Jermichael Finley and you’ve got yourself a pretty nice set of weapons for Mr. Rodgers.

5). Minnesota Vikings.  (Sidney Rice 83-1312, Percy Harvin 60-790, Bernard Berrian 55-618, Visanthe Schiancoe 56-566, Adrian Peterson 43-436, Chester Taylor 44-389)  Again, this could have gone any way, but I decided to put the Vikings at the front of this very close pack of four teams.  Sidney Rice has become a bonafied #1 receiver.  Percy Harvin is a legit deep threat, and Bernard Berrian is almost the forgotten man on this team, but he can still play.  Add in to that a solid tight end in Schiancoe and two excellent receiving backs in Peterson and Taylor, and I feel pretty confident that this Vikings team has a really nice set of receivers.

4). New Orleans Saints.  (Marques Colston 70-1074, Devery Henderson 51-804, Robert Meachem 45-722, Jeremy Shockey 48-569, David Thomas 35-356, Reggie Bush 47-335, Pierre Thomas 39-302)  Seven guys with 35+ catches this year!  That is incredible.  It is still hard to say whether or not these guys are made by Drew Brees or if they have really helped make him the star that he is.  I would lean towards the former, but it’s really hard to know.  Either way, this is a very talented group, which belongs in the upper echelon of receiving corps in the NFL.  The one problem with all this spreading the ball around is the absence of a true #1 receiver.  While I really like Colston, there is something to be said for having a guy like Randy Moss or Steve Smith or Reggie Wayne that can really take a game over, at times.  Colston is not that guy.  Regardless, as long as Drew Brees continues with the philosophy that his favorite receiver is whoever’s open, then this squad is definitely deep enough in talent to contend for a Super Bowl title.

3). San Diego Chargers.  (Vincent Jackson 68-1167, Antonio Gates 79-1157, Malcolm Floyd 45-776, Darren Sproles 45-497)  Don’t get me wrong, I like the Austin-Witten combination in Dallas as well as the Jackson-Celek combination here in Philly, but when we talk WR-TE combinations, it’s hard to argue that Vincent Jackson and Antonio Gates are not at the top of that list.  They are both absolute stars at their positions and with a guy like Rivers getting them the ball, the two of them can absolutely dominate games by themselves.  Throw in the size and speed of Malcolm Floyd and the shiftiness of Darren Sproles and this team is loaded with weapons.  Oh, and by the way, LaDainian Tomlinson, though well past his prime, might be the best second all-time behind only the great Marshall Faulk when it comes to receiving ability out of the backfield.

2). Indianapolis Colts.  (Reggie Wayne 100-1264, Dallas Clark 100-1106, Pierre Garcon 47-765, Austin Collie 60-676, Joseph Addai 51-336)  Okay, well if Jackson and Gates are #1 in WR-TE combos, Wayne and Clark are #1A.  Reggie Wayne has not missed a beat in moving from the second banana behind Hall of Famer Marvin Harrison to being the complete focal point of this offense.  And, Dallas Clark is so dangerous at every point on the field.  Add in the emergence of youngsters like Garcon and Collie and the pass-catching ability of Joseph Addai, and you’ve got another absolutely stacked set of weapons here in Indy.  It was a very close decision for me between San Diego and Indy, but I went with the Colts because the Chargers lack that #3 receiver, while the Colts have Collie.  I also think that Addai provides slightly more than Sproles in the passing game, from an all-around perspective.

1). Arizona Cardinals.  (Larry Fitzgerald 97-1092, Anquan Boldin 84-1024, Steve Breaston 55-712, Tim Hightower 63-428)  Now maybe I’m just completely enamored by this pair of receivers.  Maybe, when looking at the entire set of weapons, this team is not the best.  But, there is no way that I am going to rank receiving corps and not put the Cardinals #1.  It might be wrong, but I can’t do it any other way.  There are very, very few receivers in the league that would legitimately relegate Anquan Boldin to #2 receiver, and Larry Fitzgerald is one of them.  In fact, I’m not sure I can remember a better second-best receiver on his own team than Boldin.  He and Fitzgerald are just that good.  I think that even if I was the #3 receiver and Doogan was the pass-catching tight end, I would still rank this team #1 in receiving corps.  Fortunately for the Cardinals (and us), we are not on the team; Steve Breatson is.  Breaston is better than a lot of teams’ #2 guys.  The one criticism with this team could be that they do not have a good pass-catching tight end, but with their style of offense (and Warner, who rarely ever utilizes the tight end), it is not a huge detriment.

Posted in Top Twelve | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | Leave a comment

Playoff Top Twelve: Running Backs

In continuing the week-long NFL playoff theme of ranking the playoff teams in their respective aspects of the game (yesterday was quarterbacks), today’s Top Twelve will be running backs.  But, it is not individual running backs, it is more the team’s running game.  I tried to incorporate their corps of running backs, their offensive line, and even a bit of the coaching staff’s “commitment to the run.”  The list will have teams with their main running backs in parentheses, but the “analysis” (if you want to even call it that) includes the o-line and offensive scheme, as well.  By the way, I do not put much stake in “NFL rushing rankings” because I think all of those rankings are flawed by (1) such a high variance in game situations (e.g. winning or losing early, weather conditions, etc.) and (2) such a small sample size (16 games) against such varying schedules of opponents.  However, I did include them with the write-ups in an effort of full disclosure.

This Year’s Top Twelve Playoff Running Games:

12). Arizona Cardinals (Beanie Wells, Tim Hightower).  (NFL rushing rank: 28)  The Cardinals made the Super Bowl last season with a broken down Edgerrin James (though he did have a nice playoffs) and Hightower, as a rookie, so they don’t exactly need anything spectacular from the running game.  And, Beanie Wells has been actually pretty good in the second of half of, this, his rookie year.  This year’s version of the running game for Arizona is definitely better than last year’s, but still the worst among playoff teams, as I see it.

11). New England Patriots (Laurence Maroney, Kevin Faulk, Fred Taylor).  (NFL rushing rank: 12)  The Pats just simply haven’t been able to establish anything in the ground game all year.  Actually, the more I think about it, the more I think that Bill Belichick may have put in one of his better coaching performances this year because the defense is clearly flawed and with another unimpressive running game and a down year from Brady, this team was still 10-6 and the #3 seed.  But, anyway, the health of Fred Taylor helps–a little–but it’s clear that when this team really needs two yards, they throw the ball.  Kevin Faulk is a nice receiving option out of the backfield and a great guy to have on your team, but he’s not a overly competent halfback.  And, Laurence Maroney has been mediocre–at best–his whole career.  I actually thought about putting this team last, but I just think that there is something small to be said for experience at the running back position and, because of that, I give Faulk a HUGE edge of Wells, thus making Arizona #12 and the Pats #11.  Either way, this team will live and die on the arm of Brady and the hands of Moss, which is not really that bad of a problem to have, is it?

10). Philadelphia Eagles (LeSean McCoy, Brian Westbrook, Leonard Weaver).  (NFL rushing rank: 22)  The Eagles are down at #9, not because of their ability (or lack thereof) in the running game, but because of their coaching philosophy.  Riddle me this:  the Birds lose Brian Westbrook (arguably one of the best running backs in franchise history), then decide to run the ball more (almost a 50-50 balance), and they go 5-0 without him.   Then, Westbrook comes back and they go back to their 70-30 pass-to-run ratio and almost lose to the Broncos and get stomped by the Cowboys.  Nothing makes sense any more.  But, they do have talent.  Shady McCoy set the Eagles all-time rookie record for rushing yards, and Leonard Weaver showed his versatility all year.  Plus, it’s hard to think that Westbrook doesn’t one final push left in him for these playoffs.  The reason that the Eagles were easily better than New England and Arizona, to me, is the Westbrook Factor, in that he might just explode for one of those 150 yard games with two monster runs.

9). San Diego Chargers (LaDainian Tomlinson, Darren Sproles).  (NFL rushing rank: 31)  The Chargers are another team that really struggled to run the ball this year–at least if you look at just stats.  But, I think a lot of that had to do with the fact that their passing offense was just so explosive that they didn’t really need to sustain drives with 4-yard runs.  That being said, the rushing game has come back alive in the second half, with Tomlinson making a nice resurgence.  Plus, Darren Sproles is a guy that may not play a big role in any one game, but you absolutely have to gameplan for him because he always brings with him the ability to make that one game-changing play–often when you least expect it.  The Chargers and Eagles were just about even, to me, but I put the Chargers slightly ahead because of a little more of a commitment to the run from the coaching staff and a little more confidence in the breakout possibility of Tomlinson than that of Westbrook.

8). Indianapolis Colts (Joseph Addai, Donald Brown).  (NFL rushing rank: 32)  Why run the ball when you have Peyton Manning?  Well, I’m not sure, actually.  The Colts were “ranked” 32rd (i.e. dead last) in the NFL in rushing this year, yet they were almost inarguably the best team in the NFL.  This tells us one of two things:  either the league has shifted so much so that running the ball basically doesn’t matter anymore OR that the rankings are ridiculous.  You know how I feel (clearly the latter), though there are probably components of both in play here.  Either way, rankings or no rankings, importance of the running game or none, the Colts can run the ball when they need to because Joseph Addai is one of the more underrated backs in the league, and Donald Brown provides a really nice change of pace.  I have more confidence in the Colts to run the ball if they have to than I would in any of the four teams already mentioned on this list.  That being said, they know where “their bread is buttered,” and quite frankly, it ain’t Joseph Addai.

7). Green Bay Packers (Ryan Grant).  (NFL rushing rank: 14)  Interestingly enough, this is the only team in the playoffs whose quarterback is its second-leading rusher.  And, though Aaron Rodgers is a pretty mobile quarterback, he’s not Randall Cunningham, Michael Vick, or Steve Young.  That means that the Packers are the only team that is still holding true to the “workhorse back” philosophy that dominated football for pretty much my entire NFL-watching life.  The old theory of “why give carries to anyone but my best guy” has been replaced with “unless we have an absolute stud, let’s keep guys fresh and defenses guessing.”  The Packers, however, are still hanging on to their workhorse back philosophy with Ryan Grant.  And, Grant’s not a terrible guy to ride like they do, so their running game is solid, but he’s not a superstar and, therefore, their running game is not as prolific as some of the other teams who either have that superstar or efficiently utilize the combination backfields.

6). New Orleans Saints (Pierre Thomas, Mike Bell, Reggie Bush).  (NFL rushing rank: 6)  The bottom six teams on this list all, clearly, only use the run to mix it up (if they do that at all), while their offenses are absolutely built around the pass.  With #6, the Saints, though their offense is definitely a high-octane, modern-style passing attack, they definitely use the running game for more than just converting a 3rd-and-1 or killing the clock in the fourth quarter.  The running game for the Saints is definitely a weapon that works in tandem with their potent passing game.  And, they have a nice combination of Pierre Thomas–who has emerged this year as a quality tailback in this league–and Mike Bell, who is more of a between-the-tackles, inside running back, with his stocky 6’0″, 225 pound build.  And, just when you think that you might be able to contain this offense, Sean Payton finds just the right time to use the devastating quickness and speed of Reggie Bush.  When people think Saints offense, they think Drew Brees, Drew Brees, and Drew Brees, but don’t discount the ability of this team to run the ball in all situations.

5). New York Jets (Thomas Jones, Shonn Greene, Brad Smith).  (NFL rushing rank: 1)  This team’s running game–and whole team, for that matter–took a big hit midway through the season when they lost Leon Washington for the season with a broken leg.  The combination of the quickness of Washington and the toughness of Thomas Jones was a great recipe for completely hiding the inefficiencies of starting a rookie quarterback.  And, when Washington went out, it really showed, as the Jets went into a midseason free fall.  They righted the ship (with a little help from teams with, apparently, nothing to play for) and snuck into the playoffs.  Washington’s replacement is rookie, Shonn Greene, who had a pretty decent year, but is clearly not the same type of runner that Washington was.  But, maybe, just maybe, they found that speed guy in Week 17, as they got 92 yards from former Missouri quarterback, Brad Smith.  Either way, whether they get anything from Smith or not, this team does still have Thomas Jones, who might be the most underrated running back of our generation, and they have a commitment to running the ball.  As I’ve said, the rankings are a bit of a farce, but it does at least say something if a team is ranked #1, right?

4). Baltimore Ravens (Ray Rice, Willis McGahee, Le’Ron McClain).  (NFL rushing rank: 5)  Ray Rice is an absolute beast.  Trust me, I am a non-Ravens fan who lives in Baltimore, so I get to see every Ravens game, and I am able to watch them objectively.  I have often found myself tuning into Ravens games just to watch Ray Rice.  The guy is that good.  However, his ability is not completely in his rushing ability–though, 1200+ yards and 5.3 yards per carry is nothing to sneeze at–it is in his complete game, which includes his dynamic ability to catch passes out of the backfield, which is not really counted in this “analysis.”  But, even without including Rice’s excellence receiving skills, this Ravens running game is still fantastic.  Willis McGahee is almost a forgotten man when you talk about the Ravens, and he averaged over 5 yards per carry and had TWELVE touchdowns.  Throw in the beast that is Le’Ron McClain (he’s a load around the goal line) and you have yourself one of the NFL’s best rushing attacks.  Despite a tough season, an aging, overrated defense, and a pedestrian receiving corps, the Ravens might be a tough out in these playoffs simply because you’ve got to commit so much of your defensive gameplan to stopping the run that Flacco might just be able to put up a big number or so.  Don’t sleep on Ray Rice–trust me.

3). Minnesota Vikings (Adrian Peterson, Chester Taylor).  (NFL rushing rank: 13)  Now this might be a little ridiculous because they do have, BY FAR, the best single running back that will be playing in the playoffs this year in Adrian Peterson.  But, there is just something about this Vikings offense that does not instill as much confidence in their ability to run the ball as I have in the two teams that I ranked ahead of them.  Yes, Adrian Peterson is historically good (and Chester Taylor is a more than second banana), but the Vikings do have trouble in two key areas of the running game:  short-yardage situations (not on the goal line because Peterson is awesome on the goal line sweeps) and ball security.  As good–no, GREAT–as Peterson is, it is becoming harder and harder to ignore the fact that he puts the ball on the carpet.  And, in the playoffs, turnovers become so incredibly important, especially in close games or games that you’re trying to ice.  Furthermore, Peterson has been “overshadowed” so to speak by that diva quarterback in Minnesota, and I think that the coaching staff has catered to the diva so much so that it has really affected the ability of Minnesota to efficiently establish the run.  Whether Favre is audibling away from running plays or not, it definitely seems, to me, like the Vikings throw the ball WAY TOO MUCH considering the fact that they have a great defense and one of the two best running backs on the planet.  Because of all of these things, the best running back in the playoffs is only a part of the third best running team.

2). Cincinnati Bengals (Cedric Benson, Larry Johnson).  Team Castoff in the Cincinnati backfield right now.  They are featuring two of the most physically gifted running backs to come to the NFL in a long time, but two guys who had some pretty ugly divorces with previous teams–so ugly, in fact, that it was doubtful that either one would ever get another chance in the league.  But, the Bengals gave them both second-chances and they are reaping dividends, as Cedric Benson has been one of the best backs in the league this year, and Larry Johnson has been a dynamic complement.  But, even more importantly than the talent that the Bengals have assembled back there is the philosophy with which this offense is run.  There is no way that I should even consider having more confidence in the running game in Cincinnati than I do of that in Minnesota, but I do, and that is because Marvin Lewis (for all his faults) always seems to understand, at all times, where his team is strongest, and he does a great job constructing gameplans that play to those strengths, and more importantly, STICKING TO THEM.  Don’t get me wrong, I don’t think Lewis is a great coach for every team, but when a team has a clear strength, he seems very, very good.  This team’s strength is its defense and its ball-control offense.  He is not swayed by the cannon arm of Carson Palmer or the big mouth of 85.  He knows that winning games is all that matters, and this team will win by running the ball and stopping other teams on defense.  Team philosophy is why the Bengals are 10-6 and also why their running game instills more trust in me than every playoff team, except…

1). Dallas Cowboys (Marion Barber, Felix Jones, Tashard Choice).  I have said all year that if this team can get all their back healthy at the same time, they are scary good.  And, they seem to all be healthy at just the right time–actually, just the WRONG time, from our perspective.  Marion Barber is an absolute monster.  I hate the Cowboys even more than a Pennsylvania winter, but it’s hard not to like Marion Barber.  That one play on Sunday when Trotter absolutely lit him up and Barber got up, smiling, and tapped Trotter on the shoulder pads and ran back to the huddle was incredible.  I don’t think Trotter (who is quite a large man) could have hit him any harder, and Barber seemed to love it.  He welcomes collisions.  It is almost like he tackles the defenders when he runs with the ball.  And, as we’ve talked about several times when playing Brandon Jacobs, a guy like, even if he’s only picking up 3-4 yards, absolutely EXHAUSTS a defense.  And, then what happens to tired defenses against the Cowboys?  They give up 50-yard touchdowns to the lightning quick Felix Jones.  Throw in the variety of a solid off-tackle runner like Tashard Choice, and you have yourself a merciless running attack.  The Cowboys are scary good.  I still might pick the Eagles this week, but it won’t be because I think they’ll stop Barber, that’s for sure.

(NOTE:  I just listened to the Football Today podcast on ESPNRadio, and apparently Jeremy Green and Matt Williamson are going to be doing the same thing this week.  I hate it when actual analysts do things that incredibly uniformed amateur analysts–like me–try and do, too.  Haha.  Either way, just know that I have already compiled all the lists, so if there are differences, you should probably just go with their assessment.)

Posted in Uncategorized | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | 2 Comments

Playoff Top Twelve: Quarterbacks

Usually the Top Twelve lists are reserved for those select Tuesdays when I can’t think of anything else to write about.  However, because of the NFL playoffs starting this weekend, I’ve decided to forego the convenient alliteration and even more convenient personal laziness to try and do a Top Twelve list each day this week, focusing on a different aspect of the twelve teams that are still alive in their pursuits to hoist the Lombardi Trophy next month.  As always, these lists are based entirely on fact.  Mere opinion plays no role whatsoever, so please don’t even attempt to dispute it.

Today, we’re going to start with quarterback–the most scrutinized position in all of sports.  This is not about debating the relative careers of these twelve guys.  It’s not even about debating their relative 2009 seasons.  This list is going to attempt to rank the 12 quarterbacks in order of who I would want (and trust in the upcoming month of playoff games) to have on my team right now.

This Year’s Top Twelve Playoff Quarterbacks

12). Mark Sanchez – Jets.  (Playoff record 0-0)  Not only is he a rookie on a 9-7 team that squeaked their way into the playoffs on their defense alone, but he didn’t exactly set the world on fire in his rookie campaign.  In fact, not only did Sanchez have the lowest QB rating of any playoff quarterback, but there were only four starting QBs in the league with a lower passer rating–Matthew Stafford and Josh Freeman, whose two teams combined for 5 wins, and Jake Delhomme and JaMarcus Russell, who both had HISTORICALLY bad seasons and ended up as pretty much the two laughingstock QBs of the league.  Other than those four, every other starting quarterback in the league had a better passer rating than Sanchez.  Number 12 was an easy choice.

11). Carson Palmer – Bengals.  (Playoff record 0-1)  To see Palmer as the “second-worst” quarterback on any list is pretty shocking and might make you think that these playoffs are pretty stacked with great quarterbacks.  That is true, but not because of Palmer’s placement at #11.  He, frankly, didn’t have that great of a year.  The team was very successful, but mostly on the heels of their defense and the league’s best running game.  Palmer was just average all year.  That’s not saying that he’s a weak spot of this Bengals team, just that, if I were choosing, the only QB I would take Palmer over is Sanchez, though it would be close between he and…

10). Joe Flacco – Ravens.  (Playoff record 2-1)  Sanchez, Palmer, and Flacco are probably the only three playoff quarterbacks that I would not consider “elite,” which should make for a great playoff season.  Flacco has been pretty good this year, but somewhat inconsistent (which is to be expected–remember, he’s still only two years removed from the University of Delaware).  Granted, his receiving corps has been, at best, ordinary this year, and Todd Heap is just not the player he used to be.  But the receivers aside, there is no doubt that without Ray Rice, this team would be making tee times instead of preparing for a playoff game in Foxborough.  Flacco is good, but not quite great–yet.

9). Tony Romo – Cowboys.  (Playoff record 0-2)  Here’s where the list gets pretty tough.  #6 – 9 were definitely the hardest to order for me, though Romo at #9 was probably the easiest placement of this group.  I am actually a big fan of Romo (his game, CERTAINLY NOT his team).  I think he gets too much flack for the Cowgirls December woes.  The guy can flat-out play, and I consider him an “elite” quarterback in this league.  But, I think that there are 8 QBs I would take in the playoffs this year because of consistency, experience, and overall talent.  Let us not forget that Troy Aikman was the last Dallas quarterback to win a playoff game–and I was in 11th grade.

8). Kurt Warner – Cardinals.  (Playoff record 8-3)  I hate the Warner Hall of Fame debate because those who are in favor of his Hall of Fame candidacy have some really, really good points, and I just don’t see it.  I have no real argument against it other than the “smell test,” in that I never thought, while watching Warner, that I was watching one of the all-time great quarterbacks, just that I was watching some of the all-time great offenses/offensive systems.  But, that is a debate for another time.  Warner is certainly a top-level quarterback and I would, by a nose, rather have him than Romo, based purely on the fact that he has done it before in the playoffs.  However, his inconsistency and proneness to the turnover leads me to trust him less than the 7 guys I have higher on this list.  Also, you have to take into account the fact that he has two of the best wideouts in the league catching his passes.  Imagine any of these other guys throwing to Fitzgerald and Boldin.

7). Donovan McNabb – Eagles.  (Playoff record 9-6)  We all know that I have become more and more of a “McNabb Apologist” in my later years here, but I think I analyzed this one rather objectively (especially considering how much I dislike #6 and could have easily tried to justify McNabb over him).  There are legitimate arguments that this year’s Eagles offense is the best offense in franchise history (not sure where I stand on that, personally), and with Westbrook’s concussions issues, McNabb has become the clear centerpiece of this offense.  And, he has done it all year with a rookie running back and a bit of a pieced-together offensive line.  Donovan has had one of the best years of his Hall of Fame career.  And, despite never winning a Super Bowl, has won countless playoff games in his career, so he has “playoff experience.”  However, he is a bit inconsistent at times–though, not inconsistent in the way Romo and Warner are, in that their bad games are 4 interceptions at terrible times–so it’s hard to argue that he is any better of a quarterback today than any of the top four.  And, let us not forget that he has lost 4 NFC Championship Games, and 3 of which were against teams that were clear underdogs, so he has to slip behind #5 and #6 because they have proven they can win when it counts.

6). Brett Favre – Vikings.  (Playoff record 12-10)  If the Eagles had won yesterday, Favre would have definitely been below McNabb and probably Romo on this list, for me.  The reason for that is that he would be staring at a cold, outdoor game in the Divisional Round.  But, now that the Vikings have won the 2-seed (coupled with the Saints at #1), Favre will not play another outside game until the Super Bowl–in Miami.  And, as much as I don’t like to admit it, the old guy has really had a terrific season.  He was pretty bad down the stretch, so there are questions about his endurance, but it’s hard to say that you’d rather have any of the first 6 guys I mentioned over a guy who has made big plays his entire career.  It hurts me to put him ahead of McNabb, but I do trust Favre more than McNabb in these playoffs, the way they have broken.

5). Tom Brady – Patriots.  (Playoff record 14-3)  No matter what people say, I’m convinced that Brady is either hurt, physically, or still has lingering issues stemming from last year’s knee injury.  He just does not look the same as the Brady that we last saw, throwing for 50 touchdowns.  That being said, I would still go to war, any day, with Tom Brady as my quarterback.  Many playoff games come down to a two-minute drive to win or tie the game, and there are very few QBs in NFL history that do that better than Brady.  Because of his struggles this year, I could not justify putting him into the upper-upper echelon (which the top 4 on this list most certainly belong), but after those four, there is no doubt that I’m taking Brady–injury or not.

4). Aaron Rodgers – Packers.  (Playoff record 0-0)  And, now we enter the stratosphere of NFL quarterbacks.  In my opinion, there were four quarterbacks who seemed to be playing a different game than everyone else this year and, not surprisingly, they are all in the playoffs.  Maybe because the O-line was so poor this year.  Or, maybe because the focus from that division was so much on the successes (Favre) and failures (Cutler) of other quarterbacks in the division.  Or, maybe it’s simply the fact that the guy has never played a playoff game in his career.  But, for some reason, people don’t seem to mention Aaron Rodgers when they discuss the best quarterbacks in the NFL right now.  And, I think that that’s crazy.  The guy threw for over 4,400 yards and 30 touchdowns this year.  His wideout corps is good, but I wouldn’t say it’s great.  Ryan Grant is a solid back, but nothing to really lean on.  The O-line is one of the worst pass-protecting lines in all of football.  And, throw into the mix of playing in freezing temperatures and trying to live up to the hype of being the guy who just happened to replace the greatest quarterback ever for a storied franchise, WITH that guy just happening to be playing for a division rival.  And, if the face of all of that, Rodgers has done it week in and week out.  Aaron Rodgers, ladies and gentlemen, has arrived.

3). Philip Rivers – Chargers.  (Playoff record 3-3)  At first, I had Rivers #2, but then I thought more about it and realized that I was probably just trying to be controversial, though I do think that it’s VERY close between #2 and #3.  But, I’m sticking with Rivers at #3.  But, let us not lose sight of the fact that all those things that I said about Aaron Rodgers in the above paragraph also apply to Mr. Rivers, and then some.  Not sure if there is any doubt left that Philip Rivers is, clearly, one of the best quarterbacks in the NFL.  He has been so good for several years now, that it’s about time that we include Rivers among the upper-upper echelon of QBs in this league (and, yes, there is no question that he is better than Eli Manning, for whom he was traded–which is awesome).  And, though it may not seem like it, Rivers has actually played in six playoff games in his brief career (3-3), including leading his team to the AFC Championship Game two years ago and upsetting the Colts in Indy last year.  So, his playoff pedigree is a bit more developed than it may seem because he is still on the upslope of his career.  I would trust Rivers, and I would ride Rivers as far as he takes me.  Hell, I almost put him ahead of…

2). Drew Brees – Saints.  (Playoff record 1-2)  Then I came to my senses.  While Rivers is fantastic and had, arguably, an even better year than the historic year put up by Brees, if we were to compare the talent around Rivers to the talent around Brees, it is pretty obvious that if they switched spots, I think the Chargers would not be any worse, while the Saints would certainly be.  Despite the late season struggles, Drew Brees put together one of the best seasons I have ever seen from a quarterback.  That offense, when rolling, is unstoppable–and it’s not like they are flooded with “weapons.”  Plus, it is almost impossible to discount the “emotional” factor that Brees exhibits upon his team.  He is clearly their leader, in every way, and though it was 3 losses ago, let us not forget that the Saints were 13-0 before they clinched homefield advantage.

1). Peyton Manning – Colts.  (Playoff record 7-8)  Pretty anticlimactic, huh?  Is there any question that every team in the league would rather have Peyton as their quarterback than the one they currently have heading into these playoffs?  No.  Manning has elevated an already legendary career to new heights as he continues to improve.  His leadership is no longer in question.  His 4th quarter performance is no longer in question.  No part of his physical play of the position is in question.  The only possible chick in the armor might be his playoff performances.  If you take out the one run to the Super Bowl title, Peyton is only 3-8 in playoff games.  And, though most of those losses were in the beginning of his career, when he wasn’t quite as precise as he is now, let us not forget that the Colts were 12-4 and riding an 11-game winning streak into their home playoff game last year and they lost to Philip Rivers’ Chargers.  I’m not saying that I’m concerned, I’m just saying that if they lose a home game again this year in the divisional round, will those questions start to come up again, even about a QB as seemingly infallible as the great Peyton?  Either way, he’s The One for the 2010 playoffs.

Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | 2 Comments

Live Blog: Eagles-Cowboys

2:07 PM:  For Eagles fans, regular season games do not get any better than this.  Last game of the season.  The division title and a first-round bye on the line.  And the Eagles will make their first trip into the new and much (over) hyped Cowboys Stadium to take on their arch-rivals.  For those of us who came of age in the 90’s (way back two decades ago), there is still no team, in any sport, as hated as the Cowgirls.  Trouncing them 44-6 in the final game last season, ending their season in the process, was a great feeling, and we could have it again tonight.  A tip of the cap goes to the NFL schedule makers for getting this one right again.

3:17 PM:  Quick playoff-scenario update: With the Vikings routing the Giants (awesome), the Cowboys cannot get the 2-seed with a win over the Eagles.  This also means that, if the Eagles lose today, they will be traveling next week either to Arizona or back to Dallas for a rematch, depending on what happens in the Cards-Packers game.

3:30 PM:  This is a cliche that can be said about every football game ever played but, probably more than most, this game will be decided at the line of scrimmage.  When the Eagles are on offense, everyone will be watching to see how Nick Cole adjusts to his first career start at center, and how Max Jean-Gilles handles the right guard position.  Offensive coordinator Marty Mornhinweg called Dallas’ defensive front “the best in all of football,” so the O-line will need to be very good, not merely serviceable.  Also, let’s keep our fingers crossed for no botched snaps on the exchange from Cole to McNabb, considering they don’t have a ton of experience together.

When the Birds are on defense, the name of the game will be getting in Tony Romo’s face and putting some shots on him.  This is still a quarterback that has never  won a big game in his career, and I think if the Eagle blitz can rattle him early, either by forcing a turnover or just a couple of errant throws, then they can put the pressure on him and maybe knock him off his game for the rest of the day.  Again, the key name could “Cole”, this time Pro Bowl-bound Trent, who could be the difference-maker defensively.

4:16 PM:  No surprise, it’s Buck and Aikman on the call.  Great.  Dallas gets the first crack at it offensively, as Akers gives a strong kick for the touchback.  Let’s go get ’em, boys!

4:28 PM:  Well, I said the line of scrimmage would decide the game, but I honestly didn’t think the Dallas running game would be a huge problem for us.  I was wrong.  Marion Barber shredded the defense on that opening drive, with the Dallas O-line opening a couple big holes on the right side.  Dallas draws first blood with the TD to Witten.

There was a lot of talk during the week about who would return kicks for the Eagles after the debacle by Macho Harris last week.  Jeremy Maclin was back there to take it, but it went for a touchback.  He returned kicks earlier in the year, and I like seeing him back there again.

4:33 PM:  McNabb is sacked on third down.  Hard to blame anyone for that, it just looked like a well-designed and well-executed blitz.  Dallas has some talented linebackers in their 3-4 scheme, and Bradie James showed it there.  HUGE possesion coming up.  The Eagle defense needs to rebound and keep Dallas from getting anymore points.

4:44 PM:  YES!! A huge play on 3rd and goal, as the Eagles (I think it was Asante Samuel, no surprise) jump in front of a Romo pass and knock it up in the air, and Joselio Hanson comes down with it.  A Cowboy touchdown there would have been real tough.  Now they come up empty, and the Eagles have a chance to turn the momentum.

4:48 PM:  First quarter over, 7-0 Dallas.  A lot of people knock Asante Samuel and say he’s overrated because he gets beat sometimes and can’t really tackle, but it’s not like he gets beat that often, and he makes as many big plays as any defensive back in the league.  He’s not the best corner in the league, but he’s up there.

4:58 PM:  A lot going on in the first extended Eagles possession, but it ends in another punt.  They took a shot downfield at Desean Jackson, but McNabb overthrew him.  I wonder if it’s hard to throw to Jackson just because he’s so fast it might be hard to gauge the distance.  Brent Celek had a couple big catches.  He’s basically become a Jason Witten clone, which is awesome.  Cole and Jean-Gilles look decent so far.  And on the last play of the drive, McNabb threw behind a wide open Maclin, though Maclin should have made the catch.  Poor job by both guys on that one.

5:13 PM:  Well, the defense pretty much looks like crap, as Dallas goes up 14-0 on a wide-open pass to Patrick Crayton.  Speaking of Samuel, he got beat on a play in that drive, but I really don’t think it was that bad of a play, because Miles Austin had to make a really tough catch to come down with it.  Certainly not a great play, though.  Aikman keeps saying the Eagles need to bring the blitz, and I don’t disagree, but they’re leaving guys wide-open even without blitzing, which is hard to explain. 

5:20 PM:  Maybe I jinxed us there, but Cole fires a low snap out of the shotgun and McNabb fumbles it, one play after a big pass to Jackson put them at the Dallas 14-yard line.  Another big possession here.  Would love to see the Eagles at least get on the board before the end of the half.

5:34 PM:  As if the 17-0 score isn’t bad enough, we’re now getting treated to a classic Eagle 2-minute drill.  You have to love watching a team let 13 seconds tick off as they all stand around the line of scrimmage, and then calling a time out.  They’ve also mixed in two dropped passes and a personal foul for good measure.

5:57 PM:  Don’t understand a field goal attempt there.  You’re down 17-0 in the second-half, and you only need two yards for the first down, why attempt a 53-yard field goal?  You need touchdowns, Andy.  You can’t be thinking, based on the first-half, that the Cowboys are done scoring.  The Eagle offense has been able to move the ball, they’ve just shot themselves in the foot too often.  That’s more reason to have confidence in that 4th and 2 spot.

6:05 PM:  Interesting that Westbrook has been on the field the vast majority of the game for the Eagles, rather than McCoy.  Actually, McCoy doesn’t have a carry yet in the game, while Westbrook has five.

6:23 PM:  Felix Jones takes one 49 yards to make it 24-0.  It’s been a miserable performance by this Eagle defense.  The offense has been shut out but has still clearly outplayed the defense.  So, uh, not good.  This one’s looking over.  The Eagles need to try to make a statement and get some confidence going into the rematch next week.  Although, I guess at some point they’ll be better off pulling people to keep them from getting hurt.  It’s not at that point yet, though.

7:07 PM:  Obviously a disappointing performance here today.  Desite a late-season six game winning streak, and arguably the best offense in Eagle history (although that’s a more difficult argument to make after today), the Eagles end up in the exact same spot in the playoffs as they did last year, when they won just 9 games and needed a minor miracle to make the playoffs.  It’s tough to win 11 games and only get the 6-seed, but just last year the Patriots won 11 and didn’t even make the playoffs, so it happens.  Next week’s game will be an interesting chess match between the coaching staffs of these two teams.  They’re in for a lot of film watching of this game over the next couple of days, and I do think we have the better coaching, so maybe the Birds can do a 180 from this horrible game and actually go back and win in this stadium next week.  Here’s hoping.

On a final note, why the heck are the Eagle starters still in the game???

Tagged , , | 4 Comments

Interesting Thought

Just a quick thought as I’m looking at the slate of games this week.  There is an outside shot that all of the four Wild Card games next week will be rematches of games this week.

If the Cowboys and Vikings both win, then both NFC games will be rematches:  #3 Dallas vs. #6 Philly AND #4 Arizona vs. #5 Green Bay

In the AFC, all we need is a Bengals loss or Patriots win to get a #4 Cincy vs. #5 Jets rematch.  However, to get both games as rematches, we would need the Bengals AND Pats to lose, and then we would need losses by Baltimore and Denver as well.

Not incredibly realistic, but certainly possible.

Posted in Uncategorized | 2 Comments

One Night, Three Games

Monday night was a great night of sports watching for me, as I watched three games, one in person and two on TV, and all three were good wins for Philly sports fans.  I was in North Philly for the 7PM tip-off of 19th-ranked Temple’s rout of Bowling Green.  Then I was back at my parents’ house in the suburbs to see the Bears knock off the Vikings, keeping the Eagles’ hopes of a first-round bye alive, and the Sixers pick up a nice win in Portland.

jacksonThe Bears-Vikings game was the best of the bunch and, ironically since it was the only game that didn’t involve a Philly team, it was the game I was rooting for the most.  The Eagles lost to the Raiders in mid-October and they were just 5-4 in mid-November.  They’ve had their three best offensive players (McNabb, Westbrook, Jackson) each miss at least one game due to injury.  The offensive line and linebacking corps have been patched together with whatever they could find (Jeremiah Trotter? Winston Justice? Moise Fokou?) all season.  And yet, despite it all, they’re now just one win away from a first-round bye and a home playoff game in the divisional round.

The Birds have won six in a row, and with the recent slides of the Saints and Vikings, they might be playing the best football of any team in the NFC.  A note of caution: if the Eagles lose to Dallas, then they may have gone the whole season without beating a team with a winning record, as their “best” wins right now are against the 8-7 Giants and Broncos. 

That being said, the offense has looked so good that it’s hard to imagine they couldn’t keep that going against higher quality opponents.  We’ll see on Sunday, as the Cowboys have surrendered the fewest points of any team in the NFC.  If the Eagles are going to take the coveted 2-seed, then they’ll have to earn it by going into Dallas and picking up what would be their most impressive win of the season.  If they can do that, we have a title contender on our hands, if not it’s most likely “wait ’till next year.”  Another note of caution: center Jamaal Jackson is done for the year with an ACL tear.  It looks like the plan is to move Nick Cole to center and insert Max Jean-Gillies at right guard.  Hopefully this isn’t the one offensive line issue that will finally ruin the unit.

If anyone missed the Vikings-Bears game, the second-half (and overtime) was a classic.  favreAs much as I don’t like Brett Favre, he will always be interesting to watch.  All of the off-season hoopla that surrounded him and Jay Cutler just added to the spectacle of them playing gun-slinger against each other in a tight game.  Favre led the Vikings back from a 23-6 deficit to tie it at 23.  Cutler and the Bears answered quickly, 30-23.  Favre still had 5 minutes to work with, and he got it done with 16 ticks left, on a perfect pass to Sidney Rice, tied at 30.  It went back and forth in the OT before Cutler ended it with a long strike for the game-ending score, 36-30.

That game-winner was set-up by an Adrian Peterson fumble.  On Saturday night, me and Bry debated who is the best back in the league, Peterson or Chris Johnson.  He said Johnson, I said Peterson.  But if Peterson keeps fumbling, I’m not so sure.  He also needs to stay healthy.  I think it’s a push right now and it’s something to watch in 2010.

iversonThe Sixers somewhat shockingly went into Portland and beat the excellent Blazers, 104-93.  Nights like these are the reason I wanted Iverson to come back.  It felt like old times, sitting on my parents’ couch, watching AI drive by defenders to the rim, or pull up and knock down an 18-footer.  He scored 19 on 7-11 shooting, in his return after missing four games with an injury.  And yes, in the old days you would’ve had to tie one arm behind his back to get him to only shoot 11 times, but flashes of the old AI were there.  And speaking of flashes of old times, Elton Brand scored 25 points with 9 boards.  I won’t suggest that this game is a sign of anything, but having Lou Williams, Iverson, and Iguodala playing together worked well in this one.  The Sixers were definitely able to take advantage of the Blazers missing their centers, Greg Oden and Joel Przybilla, as they drove to the basket repeatedly without fear of a shot-blocker waiting for them.  And, of course, it probably didn’t hurt that Willie Green missed the game with an ankle injury!

Finally, those nationally-ranked Temple Owls got off to a slow start but turned it on to overpower and blow away Bowling Green, 64-39.  The Owl defense has been great.  The talented trio of Ryan Brooks, Lavoy Allen, and Juan Fernandez will lead this team to the tournament for the third straight season.  I’m not sure how they’ll fare against Kansas on Saturday, but this bunch will be a tough out all season, and certainly in March. 

  

Posted in bsb in-attendance, College Hoops | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | 2 Comments

Jim Johnson’s Defense

Merry Christmas, everybody.  In anticipation of the return of Brian Dawkins to the Linc, check out this Sports Illustrated article about Jim Johnson and the Double A Gap blitz defense that he innovated and that both teams will feature on Sunday:

http://sportsillustrated.cnn.com/vault/article/magazine/MAG1164273/index.htm

Tagged , , | Leave a comment

Is Anyone Else Out There Excited?

The Eagles are 9-4 and well on their way to yet another NFC East title.  And, right now, they are probably the best under-the-radar team in the NFC.  All the talk is around the two undefeateds (and rightfully so) or the Favre-led Vikings or the “Dallas Swoon.”  But, with the exception of the Chargers (who, by the way, have now won an amazing SIXTEEN consecutive games in the month of December), the Eagles are probably the best team in the league that no one is talking about.  Not even Eagles fans (though, you can probably blame the Phillies for that).  So, let’s get the talk going, considering our beloved Birds have swept the Giants and Redskins and find themselves in first place the week before Christmas.

So, What Do We Want to Happen Over the Rest of the NFC?
#1: The Cowboys lose.  No, the Eagles haven’t yet clinched the NFC East, so number one, let’s root for another division title and, therefore, a home game in the first round.  So, as always, we should be rooting against all the hated division rivals in New York and Dallas, but more so, Dallas.  It would take a near miracle, at this point, for the Giants to catch the Eagles (3-0 for the G-men, 0-3 for the Eagles, unless there ends up a 3-way tie), considering the Birds hold the tiebreaker with their season sweep, so really we are looking at the Cowboys.  And a quick look at the schedule tells us that the Cowboys are really behind the eight-ball right now when it comes to the division.  The teams play in Week 17 in Dallas, and since the Cowboys won the first meeting, they will only have to be within a game for that game to matter.  But, can they play even with the Eagles over the next two weeks?  The Eagles have home games against San Francisco and Denver.  While, the Cowboys have to play on the road at New Orleans and at Washington.  I would think that the best-case scenario for Dallas is a split, while the worst-case scenario for the Eagles is a split.  So, even if all the chips fall into place for Dallas over the next two weeks, they still have to beat the Eagles in Week 17.  I like the Birds chances a lot to win the division.  So…

#2: The Cardinals lose.  If I wasn’t so superstitious and believed that to assume the division title would be to concede the division title because of the Football Gods, I would have had this as the #1 thing to root for as an Eagles fan.  But, you have to win that division.  But, I think that, with the ultimate goal, obviously, winning a championship, we do have to think about the “road” to that championship.  And, the #3 seed, to me, is paramount.  With the #3 seed, the Eagles will, most likely, be able to avoid the Packers in Round 1 (a pretty scary team right now) and, more importantly, avoid the Saints in Round Two.  Yes, a 3-seed would mean that they will almost definitely be playing a hated division rival (Dallas or New York), and those games are always brutal, but that is still the best path, especially considering that those two teams are pretty seriously flawed.

#3: The Packers win.  This is a bit tricky because, technically, the Packers are the Eagles competitors for a Wild Card and, just as important, wild card positioning.  Avoiding the Saints in Round Two means that you must avoid the #6 seed.  However, under the assumption that the Eagles should win the division, Packers wins won’t hurt.  And, the reason I want the Packers to win is simply because I think that they are a better team than either the Cowboys or Giants and, therefore, would like to avoid having to play them in Round One.  And, looking even more into it, I think that the Cowboys and Giants would have very little chance to beat Arizona in Round One, and almost NO chance to beat New Orleans in Round Two.  The Packers, on the other hand, are a team that I could see going into Arizona and winning and then going into New Orleans and winning.  THAT is what we’re rooting for, because then the Birds would be in line to host the NFC Championship Game against a Green Bay team that they can beat.

#4: The Vikings lose.  This is a bit of a long-shot, so we can talk more about this next week if the Vikings give one away this week in Carolina, but let’s not lose sight of the fact that the #2 seed (and a bye and a home game in Round Two) is not completely out of the question.  I do not think it’s unrealistic to think that the Eagles can win out and finish 12-4 (10-2 in conference).  If they do that, it would only take two losses by the Vikings (they already have one conference loss and all three remaining games are against NFC teams, so the Eagles would win the tiebreaker) for the Eagles to get that all-important #2 seed.  Will it happen?  Probably not.  But, it’s certainly not unlikely.  The Vikings travel to Carolina this week (not a gimme).  Then, next week, they go to Soldier Field to face the Bears.  They have an old quarterback who really doesn’t like the cold (much to the contrary of one of the most prevalant myths in football), and the Bears are a pretty talented team who probably only have one thing left to play for–this game.  There’s a chance.  And then…in a possibly strange twist of fate, we, as Eagles fans, might be rooting hard for Big Blue in Week 17, as the Giants travel to Minnesota.  Chances are the Giants will still be alive for a playoff spot, so this would be their season.  If they can beat Minnesota in Week 17, and the Vikings trip up at Carolina or at Chicago, the Eagles would take the #2 seed if they win out.  Not incredibly likely, but not crazy by any stretch.

May We Have Been Wrong?
Yes.  At least I was.  I wanted Anquan Bolden.  I wanted a veteran running back just in case Westbrook went down.  I wanted Tony Gonzalez, or at least another veteran tight end.  I wanted Brian Dawkins to stay.  I wanted Jim Johnson still calling the signals on defense.  Well, I was wrong.

The receivers have been stellar (well, minus Jackson, they have been “good,”  but with Jackson’s other-worldly performances, the group has been “stellar”).  Westbrook did go down, and the offense hasn’t missed a beat (maybe even, dare I say, more consistent on the ground) with LeSean McCoy and Leonard Weaver.  Brent Celek has taken that next step and become a top-tier pass-catching tight end and even made himself into a decent blocker.  Quentin Mikell (Sunday night’s disastrous performance notwithstanding) has played, in my opinion, just as well, if not considerably better, than a 36-year old Brian Dawkins could have played this year (just talking about on-the-field here–I’m not touching the clubhouse factor).  And, Sean McDermott (again, trying not to think of the most recent defensive showing Sunday night) has brought the same aggressive, blitzing tenacity as JJ.

Who Is This Guy?
DeSean Jackson is absolutely incredible.  Simply amazing.  At times, he looks like a high school superstar running circles around the inferior athletes on the field with him.  He is a joy to watch, and I am so glad he’s on our team.

The Regular McNabb Support Paragraph
Can we please, now, finally, stop the McNabb hatred?  The guy is great.  For every time he throws at a guy’s feet on a screen pass, he gives us 5 perfectly accurate downfield passes.  This is one of the most potent, quick-strike offenses in the NFL.  They draw up a deep pass, seemingly, once every set of downs.  And, yet, this guy still doesn’t throw interceptions.  Yes, D-Jack is always open, but McNabb always hits him in stride–FORTY YARDS down the field.  And, his presence in the pocket is not something that is “created by the system.”  This guy is probably playing the finest football of his Hall of Fame career.  Let’s start–FINALLY–realizing what we have under center, people.  Please.

Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , | 5 Comments

I’m Sure This Won’t Happen…

…but, a man can dream, can’t he?

from the Chicago Tribune:  MLB sets up system that could ban the DH

Tagged | Leave a comment

A Halladay Extravaganza

Wow, how can baseball–in December, no less–cause someone to experience, at least a little, of just about all emotions under the sun?  In the past 48 hours, because of this trade, I have felt joy, sadness, bitterness, exuberance, fear, arrogance, anger, adoration,, entitlement, jubilation, pride, contentment, and contempt.  Okay, maybe that was all overstated, but this is a crazy trade, is it not?  The ultimate emotion, though for me, is excitement.  I have wanted Halladay since the Larry Bowa days (I even said to Doogan sometime around 2003 or so that we should just “back up the truck to Toronto and offer their our entire farm for that Halladay guy.”), and now we have him.  Awesome!  But, there is so much more to this deal.  And, there is no chance of me encapsulating it in a coherent article here, so I had to break it down into sporadic chapters that attempt to cover the whole multitude of issues with this deal.  Good luck trying to follow this.  I can’t even get my thoughts together, let alone put them into words, so this might be jibberish, and if so, I guess I’m sorry; I don’t know.  I’m just lost in all of this…

Roy Halladay
Roy Halladay.  ROY HALLADAY!!!!!!!!!!!!!!  Yes, I have openly coveted Roy Halladay for most of my adult life.  He wasn’t on the market, and the Phillies clearly weren’t a “prime destination,” so it seemed sort of like the Sixers chasing Lebron James, but I wanted him.  And, now we have him.  In all of this, let us not lose sight of that fact.  The guy is, arguably, the best pitcher on the planet (at least in the top 3), and now he’s a Phillie.  People throw around the term “innings eater” in baseball, like they throw around “game manager” in football.  It’s sort of a compliment, but not really.  Well, Halladay is the ultimate “innings eater,” and that is meant with the highest regard because not only does he “eat innings,” but he gets people out, too.  Let’s take a quick look at the stats of Roy Halladay (keep in mind not only did he face the DH every night, but 38 times every year, his team faced the Yankees or Red Sox).  Let us start in 2002, leaving out 2004, where he suffered a non-thowing injury and missed some time (he also suffered a non-throwing injury in 2005, which is why those numbers a little down):

  • Innings pitched:  239, 266, 142, 220, 225, 246, 239
  • Complete Games:  2, 9, 5, 4, 7, 9, 9 (led the league 5 times)
  • Wins:  19, 22, 12, 16, 16, 20, 17
  • ERA:  2.93, 3.25, 2.41, 3.19, 3.71, 2.78, 2.79
  • K:  168, 204, 108, 132, 139, 206, 208
  • WHIP:  1.19, 1.07, 0.96, 1.10, 1.24, 1.05, 1.12
  • Averages over those 7 seasons:  18-7, 3.04 ERA, 1.11 WHIP, 166 K, 225 IP, 7 CG
  • Awards:  6 All-Star appearances, 5 times in the Top 5 of Cy Young voting

This is who the Phillies acquired today.  This is who will be pitching in red pinstripes through, at the very least, 2013.  I would like to present all sides of each point here, but I cannot find a downside to adding Roy Halladay, especially because he is so excited to play for the Phillies that he is giving them a pretty substantial discount from what he could command on the open market AND the Blue Jays are paying 40% of his salary this year.  Plus, the Phillies didn’t break their “organizational philosophy” of never giving a pitcher more than 3 years, guaranteed.  I won’t give you my opinion of steadfast “philosophies” right here, but let’s just say that it’s a good thing that it didn’t hold up the deal.  And, yes, I know that I wrote a Tell Me I’m Crazy about the fact that the Phillies should not trade for Halladay, but that was under the impression that they could have gotten an extension done with Lee, which looks like it would have been a long-shot, so, yes, I love the addition of Halladay. 

Cliff Lee
This is a big loss, no doubt.  Cliff Lee is a 31-year old left-handed pitcher who won the AL Cy Young two years ago and just gave the Phillies one of the best postseasons in baseball history.  He is also a very hard-working, but laid-back guy whose makeup is just about perfect for the city of Philadelphia.  If the Phillies kept him AND Halladay, Lee would have to be considered the annual Don Drysdale award winner for the best #2 starter in baseball.  The downside to Cliff Lee, were he to stay, is that he is looking for BIG BUCKS after this season.  He was not going to sign an extension for less than market-value (CC dollars), no matter what the agent may say.  And, the Phillies were not going to give him market value if their alternative was a better pitcher (Halladay) for less than market value.  However, that doesn’t change the fact that Lee was an incredible bargain this year at $9 million.

Halladay vs. Lee
So, if the trade were straight-up Halladay for Lee, which side wins?  Well, I have already given my opinion that Halladay is the better pitcher, with a better contract, so it’s easy to say Halladay.  But, I will go even further.  Yes, Lee’s 2008 was absolutely remarkable.  Yes, Lee’s 2009 postseason was historic.  Yes, Cliff Lee is probably among the 10-15 best pitchers in baseball.  But, let us not forget that we are only two seasons removed from the Indians sending him to AAA because he couldn’t get anyone out.  No, I am not a Cliff Lee-hater–far from it, as you will see in the rest of this post–but let’s not kid ourselves into thinking that Lee is on the same level (or even all that close) as Roy Halladay.  Halladay has proven he is a top 3 pitcher for almost a decade now.  And, he’s only 32, built like a horse, and has never had any major arm problems.  There is no reason not to expect Cy Young contention from him for the length of his contract.  There are doubts about that from Lee.  But, let’s go even further from the numbers and look at the fit for the Phillies.  With the Phils decision to keep Happ and move Drabek, you can pretty much pencil in a Halladay-Hamels-Happ top three for the foreseeable future.  With Hamels and Happ both being left-handed, it is very important to have a right-hander to balance that (another point for Halladay).  Also, Halladay is one of the best ground-ball pitchers in the game, with a very heavy sinkerball.  Cliff Lee is a flyball pitcher.  Now, Lee has been exceptional in the past couple of years at not allowing the long ball, but he ages, the home runs may really start to creep in on him.  And, though The Bank is not NEARLY the bandbox that the media would have you believe (the numbers are skewed because the Phillies offense plays 81 games there), it is still a hitter’s park that lends itself much better to groundball pitchers, like Halladay, than it does to flyball pitchers, like Lee.  Again, this is not an argument against keeping Lee, this is just saying that if you gave me the choice between the two guys, there is NO DOUBT that Roy Halladay is a MUCH BETTER fit for the Phillies than Cliff Lee.  Ps…I think it’s a bit ironic that Halladay took #34–the number most recently worn by one, Cliff Lee.

Continue reading

Tagged , , , , , , | 1 Comment