Best Day Ever in the NFL

mcnabb reidGlorious.  Ridiculous.  Hilarious.  Perfect.  These are just some of the words that repeatedly came to mind as I watched the Eagles dismantle the Cowboys.  Hilarious was probably the winner though.  As Joselio Hanson sprinted down the sideline for a 96-yard fumble return to make it 41-3 in the 3rd Quarter, all I could do was cackle.  Sunday was, without a doubt, the best regular season NFL day of my life. 

A lot of things had to happen for the day to be as good as it was, and so I think some ‘thank you’s are in order.  So here they are:

Thank you Oakland Raiders and Houston Texans, for not giving up and surmounting 10-point deficits (going into the 4th quarter in Oakland’s case) to win games that didn’t mean anything to you. 

Thank you Wade Phillips, for coaching the Cowboys, for taking one of the most talented teams in the league and not getting them to the playoffs, for being a players coach on a team that needs the exact opposite, and for your overall lack of competence.

Thank you Tony Romo, for choking at every single opportunity in your career so far.  The main highlights: dropping the snap in the playoff game against Seattle two years ago, losing at home as the #1 seed in the divisional round last year, and this game against the Eagles.  It’s a trait I truly value in a Cowboy quarterback.

Thank you Andy Reid, for committing to the running game right from the start on Sunday, for showing some emotion on the sideline, and, most of all, for being the best coach in Eagle history.

Thank you Brian Dawkins, for the two strips that led to touchdowns on Sunday, for the ‘Fly Eagles Fly’ dances after everydawkins touchdown, for being one of the best players to ever wear the Eagles uniform, and, whether or not this was your last game at the Linc, for going down as one of the most beloved athletes in Philly history.

And finally, thank you’s go out to the Miami Dolphins and the Baltimore Ravens for their excellent seasons and wins on Sunday.  Those wins kept the Patriots sitting at home this postseason, and that is a beautiful thing.  I love that the Pats won 27 regular season games over the last two years and have just two playoff wins to show for it.

It’s hard to explain what happened yesterday.  We calculated a few weeks ago that the Eagles chances of making the playoffs at 9-6-1 were roughly 14%.  Going into yesterday, it was probably no better than that.  When the Bucs were up by 10 on Oakland, I got a Phillies championship DVD ready to go, for when the Eagle season was officially over.  I never had to hit play, because suddenly we were looking at a virtual playoff game with Dallas.  T.O., Jerry Jones, Tony Romo, Pac-man Jones, the ghosts of those Starred helmets, and every low-life Cowboys-fan-from-Philly that I’ve ever met over the last 15 years.  It couldn’t set-up any more perfectly, to have these two teams meet on the last day of the season with a playoff berth on the line, and to have the Eagles absolutely decimate them.  What a way to end an incredible sports year in Philly.  Thanks Eagles, now let’s keep it going!

    

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Getting Ready for the Conference Season

The New Year, to me, does not mean the exciting conclusion of a college football season (though, it could mean that if they ever got their acts together and made a playoff)–it means the exciting beginning of the college hoops conference season.  And, thanks to my friends at Blue Ribbon (to whom I have to give credit for most of the following information), I have compiled some of the more interesting tidbits of the conference season to get everyone ready.  Plus, a quick ranking of the best 7 conferences in the country, in my humble opinion:

#1 BIG EAST
I hate saying this, but the Big East is, without a doubt the best conference in college basketball this year.  Yes, I know that they have 16 teams, so their standing in the nation is usually diluted if you examine further, but this year it is not diluted enough to take them out of the top spot.  When more than half of the conference is better than West Virginia, it doesn’t matter how many “bottom-feeders” there are, this is an amazing conference.  There are national powers and title contenders in UConn, Notre Dame, Pittsburgh, and Louisville.  And, there are very solid teams that can beat anyone on any given day in Marquette, Villanova, Syracuse, and Georgetown.

  • If Luke Haragody wins the Big East player of the year this year, he will be the 5th Big East player to ever win back-to-back Player of the Year honors, joining St. John’s Chris Mullin (who won at least a share of it 3 times), Georgetown’s Patrick Ewing (who shared it with Mullin twice), UConn’s Richard Hamilton, and most recently, Notre Dame’s Troy Murphy.
  • When Patrick Ewing was inducted in the Hall of Fame this summer, he became the first Big East player ever elected into the Hall of Fame (which is AMAZING, considering all the greats that have played in this conference).  The Big East does have five coaches that have been elected–Providence’s Dave Gavitt, Syracuse’s Jim Boeheim, St. John’s Lou Carnasecca, UConn’s Jim Calhoun, and Georgetown’s John Thompson Jr.
  • Bob Huggins finally returns to Cincinnati as a visiting coach this year.  He did not go back last year because of the unbalanced schedule.
  • Keno Davis, hired from Drake by Providence this year, becomes the second son of a Big East coach to become a Big East coach himself.  Keno’s father, Dr. Tom Davis, coached Boston College many years ago.  John Thompson III has followed his legendary father, John Thompson Jr., at Georgetown
  • Mike Tranghese, the league commissioner and its first employee, is stepping down after the season

#2 ACC
I know the tried-and-true ACC readers will object, but honestly, it is not even close.  The ACC is a distant second this year.  They are a bit top-heavy, though that top is pretty good with UNC and Duke.  Miami and Wake Forest should be solid tournament teams, and Clemson and Virginia Tech are also decent teams.  No one is terrible–though UVa is close–so every night in the conference will be a test. 

  • Tyler Hansbrough, who already broke Phil Ford’s scoring record at UNC, only needs a season total of 602 points (he scored 882 last year) to pass J.J. Redick for the ACC’s all-time leading scorer.  Before Redick’s accomplishment in 2006, the record stood for 51 years.
  • The ACC has gone 20 consecutive NBA drafts with at least one first-round selection.  2008 was close, though, as NC State’s J.J. Hickson was the only ACC player taken in the first round (#19 to Cleveland).
  • Virginia Tech ended an 11-year tournament drought in 2007, and Clemson ended a 10-year drought in 2008, leaving Florida State as the ACC team with the longest tournament drought.  The Seminoles haven’t made the Big Dance since 1998.
  • Duke came into the season with the nation’s longest active home winning streak against non-conference opponents, with 59 straight at Cameron.  They have extended that to 65 so far this year, but have a test on January 7th against Davidson.
  • The ACC won their 10th straight Big Ten/ACC challenge this year, though it was much closer than the other 9. 
  • Roy Williams is the active coach that owns the nation’s all-time best winning percentage.
  • Mike Krzyzewski is the active coach that owns the nation’s most career wins.
  • Gary Williams of Maryland and Oliver Purnell of Clemson are two of the seven active coaches who have 20-win seasons for at least 4 different programs.
  • The ACC tournament is back to the enormous Georgia Dome this year.  The only other time is was played there was in 2001, when they averaged more than 36,000 fans per session.

#3 BIG XII
I actually think that the “meat” of the conference is better in the Big XII than it is in the ACC, but the ACC gets the #2 spot for 2 reasons:  (1) they do not have North Carolina and (2) the bottom of the Big XII is pretty bad.  But, Oklahoma (who I believe to be the second-best team in the country), Texas, Kansas, and Baylor (probably the most underrated team in the country) may all find themselves still playing during the second weekend of the tournament.  Plus, Oklahoma State, Texas A&M, Texas Tech, and Missouri are all decent teams.

  • Though they finished 3rd in the overall conference RPI, the Big XII was probably the most successful conference last season.  They had the most tournament victories (12) and the highest winning percentage of multi-bid conferences (.706).  They also led the nation in non-conference victories over ranked opponents and 10 of the 12 teams finished above .500 for the season. 
  •  There were more players from the Big XII (10) selected in the 2008 NBA draft than of any other conference.
  • Kansas State’s Michael Beasley became the third straight Big XII player to be selected #2 overall, following a pair of Longhorns, Kevin Durant and LaMarcus Aldridge.
  • Beasley became the first K-State player drafted since 1990 (Steve Henson, second round).
  • The Big XII’s 6 Final Four teams since 2002 is more than any other conference. 
  • Kansas’s title last year was the first national championship for the Big XII conference.  Kansas had won two prior championships, including 1988, but that was while they were a part of the Big 8.
  • Baylor made its first NCAA tournament appearance since 1988 last year–and they return just about everyone of significance.
  • Oklahoma State’s Marcus Dove (the lone loss for OSU) won his second straight Big XII defensive player of the year award last year, becoming only the second player to ever win a major Big XII award in consecutive seasons (KU’s Raef LaFrentz won back-to-back player of the year awards in 1997 and ’98).
  • There had been 10 coaching changes in the past two season in the Big XII, but this offseason saw only one–Travis Ford taking over at Oklahoma State.

#4 BIG TEN
This should show how thin the other major conferences are because I usually am very down on the Big Ten, but I could not find any reasons to put them behind the SEC, Pac-10 or Atlantic 10.  Everyone knows that Purdue and Michigan State are national powers this year, but the biggest surprise has been Ohio State–led by freshman sensation, B.J. Mullens.  Also, Wisconsin will always be good as long as Bo Ryan is employed there.  Michigan, Illinois, and Minnesota have talent, and Penn State should be much improved.  Though, Indiana and Northwestern are dreadful.

  • The only new coach is taking over during the darkest days of the most storied program in the conference, as Tom Crean tried to right the ship at Indiana after the Kelvin Sampson flat-out mess.
  • Two Big Ten freshmen, IU’s Eric Gordon and OSU’s Kosta Koufos, were picked in the first round of the NBA draft. 
  • B.J. Mullens will probably be the third straight Ohio State freshman center to be drafted in the first round in 2009, as Greg Oden went in ’07, and Koufos went last year.
  • Purdue’s Robbie Hummel is the only 2008 first-team all-Big Ten player that is back for 2008-09.
  • Last year marked one of the lowest points in the Big Ten conference, as they only placed 4 teams in the NCAA tournament and finished 6th in overall conference RPI. 
  • Though, the teams that did make the tournament–with the exception of Indiana, in peril–did well, as both Wisconsin and Michigan State made the Sweet 16, and Purdue won its first round game.
  • Michigan State’s Sweet 16 appearance was their 6th in the last 10 years, which is tied with UCLA and Kansas for second during that time, behind only Duke’s 8.
  • The Big Ten is the only conference to have 5 different programs reach the Final Four this decade (Wisconsin, Indiana, Illinois, Ohio State, and Michigan State 3 times).  The ACC, Big East, and Big XII each have had 4.
  • In 2006-07, Wisconsin set a school record with 30 victories.  Last year, they broke that record with 31.  Their 61-11 record over the last two years is the fifth best record in the nation over the last two seasons.

#5 SEC
Maybe I’m just down on the SEC right now, but I really think that the SEC West is pretty bad and the East is not good enough to compensate.  Tennessee is great, again, and Florida should be greatly improved.  Vanderbilt and Kentucky are talented, but the West is led by Ole Miss, LSU, and Mississippi State–all of which will probably not make the NCAA tournament.  This is looking like a 4- or 5-bid conference–which is not good for the SEC.

  • Remember Darrin Horn from the Western Kentucky Hilltoppers when they made the Sweet 16?  Well, Horn is now coaching South Carolina.  The other new coach is Trent Johnson, who left his fanastically successful job at Stanford to try and bring LSU back to national prominence.
  • Both Auburn and Arkansas dismissed their best players from the team (the Tigers’ Josh Dollard and the Razorbacks’ Patrick Beverley) for undisclosed violations of team rules.
  • Both Alabama and Tennessee were worried about losing their best players to the NBA draft (the Tide’s Ronald Steele and the Vols’ Tyler Smith), but both withdrew their names from the draft and decided to return to campus for this season.
  • Kentucky has made 17 straight NCAA tournaments (though they were dangerously close to missing it last year), which is the longest streak in the SEC, the 3rd longest in the nation currently, and the 5th longest of all-time.
  • Florida lost its 10-year streak of making the Dance last year, but they did go all the way to the semis of the NIT, before losing to UMass.
  • In the last 6 seasons, all 12 SEC teams have made the tournament at least once.

#6 PAC 10
After probably the best year in the history of this great conference, the Pac-10 only has one true elite team this year–UCLA.  The two Arizona schools are solid and should make the Dance, and the two Washington schools could be good, if things go right.  Also, the other LA team, USC, has tournament-caliber talent and should be tough all year.  But, the NoCal schools should struggle (though, we’ll see if the extreme talent in coaching can make up for a lack of talent on the floor), Oregon is pretty bad, and Oregon State is really bad.

  • Last year saw all 10 Pac-10 coaches return, but this year shows 4 new coaches among the 10 teams–Johnny Dawkins at Stanford, Craig Robinson (the brother-in-law of our great president-elect) at Oregon State, Mike Montgomery at Cal (fantastic hire), and Russ Pennell as the interim coach at Arizona, replacing the legend Lute Olson.
  • The Pac-10 set records with 7 first-round picks and 12 overall in the ’08 NBA draft.  This also included picks #3, #4, and #5 (respectively, USC’s O.J. Mayo, and UCLA’s Russell Westbrook and Kevin Love).
  • A record 9 of the 10 teams went to the postseason last year, including a record-tying 6 to the NCAA Tournament (tying the mark set in 2002 and, again, in 2007).
  • The Pac-10 is 26-19 in the tournament over the last 3 years.
  • Arizona extended the nation’s longest streak of year in the NCAA Tournament, as last year was their 24th consecutive appearance.  However, their 20-year streak of consecutive 20-win seasons came to an end, as they finished 19-15.
  • Sophomore James Harden, of Arizona State, is the only returning first-team all-conference player, and is also the top returning scorer in the conference.
  • Washington State has led the conference in scoring defense for 5 consecutive years.  Last yeat, they posted the lowest mark in the conference (56.4 ppg) since Oregon State in 1981-82.
  • The 2007-08 Oregon State Beavers became the first team in the history of the conference to finish 0-18 in conference play.

#7 ATLANTIC 10
The conference that is too good to be called “mid-major,” but not good enough to be called “major,” checks in at #7 this year, solidly.  In the late-90’s/early 00’s, the A-10 was good enough to challenge for a top 6 spot, and then in the mid-00’s, the A-10 was probably bad enough to be considered lower than conferences like the Missouri Valley or the Colonial, but last year and again this year, it is back solidly to its conference purgatory between Big Conference heaven and mid-major hell.  Xavier is a very good team that should remain nationally-ranked for most the season.  Temple, Rhode Island, St. Joe’s, and UMass should at least be in the discussion for at-large bids in March.  LaSalle is much improved, and Charlotte and Dayton can rise up and beat anyone on any given night.  The problem is that Fordham, Duquesne, and St. Bonaventure are pretty awful.

  • Four A-10 teams will have at least 7 newcomers on their roster this year–St. Bonaventure (9, including 5 transfers), St. Louis (8), Xavier (7), and Duquesne (7, all freshmen).  In fact, the Bonnies may have an opening-day starting lineup that includes no one that was on the team last season.
  • Both Xavier and St. Louis landed talented 7’0″ recruits this season (Kenny Frase for XU and Brett Thompson for SLU).
  • Derek Kellogg, who was the point guard on the UMass team that broke into national prominence, has taken over the head coaching duties at his alma mater.  During Kellogg’s four years at UMass, under John Calipari, the teams went a combined 111-24.
  • Probably the biggest obstacle to the A-10 in its quest to reach “major conference” notoreity is the fact that whenever a coach succeeds at an A-10 school, he is often wooed by more money and more prestige at a bigger program.  Well, this offseason, four A-10 programs (including the two most important programs) locked up their coaches to long contract extensions to try and keep them in-house–Temple’s Fran Dunphy, Xavier’s Sean Miller, Charlotte’s Bobby Lutz, and Duquesne’s Rob Everhart.
  • St. Joe’s is done in the tiny, little Fieldhouse, and is awaiting their new facility to be completed.  Meanwhile, they will be playing their home games on the campus of University of Pennsylvania, in the most storied college basketball arena in the world–The Palestra.
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Cimorelli’s Question of the Day

Has there ever been a regular season NBA game with more hype than the Christmas Day game in LA between the Lakers and Celtics?

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Holiday Sports Watching

-I watched some of the fourth quarter of the Poinsettia Bowl last night, which TCU won in a tight one over Boise State.  I don’t how long ESPN has been doing this, but they had something called “Interactive Tuesday” happening during the game.  For anyone who hasn’t witnessed this abomination of sports television, “Interactive Tuesday” means that throughout the game, comments from random people on the internet are scrolled across the top of the game.  This results in such amazing insights as “G-Dog2432: TCU rules!!! They should be in a BCS Conference!!!!!”.  You know when you watch a Youtube clip, and then you start reading some of the comments below the clip?  Then, after reading about four or five of them, you not only feel much dumber, but you feel angry that you just had a minute of your life stolen by the internet.  “Interactive Tuesday” is like having those comments jammed down your throat, while you try to watch a sporting event.  This is horrible and it must stop.  I’ve often defended ESPN, but they’ve gone WAY over the line here.  I just hope to God no one at Fox Sports gets wind of this….

-Speaking of ESPN, I’ll give you three guesses what they’re running a story about right now on Sportscenter on the day before Christmas.  If you didn’t guess “Philly fans booed Santa Claus”, then apparently you haven’t watched sports or read about sports around Christmas any time over the last 40 years.  Now, in ESPN’s defense, this story goes in-depth and explains WHY Santa Claus was booed (because he was drunk and falling all over the place).  But that’s not the point.  Even if Philly fans had booed a legitimate Santa, forty years ago, this story has been beaten to death and nobody cares.  It’s absolutely lazy journalism at its worst.  Anyone that even mentions it from now on is a terrible journalist and a terrible person.  There I said it.

jordan hill-And on a slightly more upbeat note on this Christmas Eve, I watched some of the Kansas-Arizona hoops game last night.  I’ve been hearing some buzz about Zona’s Jordan Hill being a potential lottery pick.  I couldn’t understand it, because he definitely didn’t look THAT good last year.  Last night was the first time I’ve seen him this year, and he looks like a completely different player.  He’s added a mid-range jump shot to his game, and he just looks more athletic and explosive than he did last year.  He has season averages of 19 points, 12 rebounds, and 2.7 blocks, which have to put him in the mix for an All-American spot.  He clearly has the body of an NBA power forward and, as a junior, he’s starting to look like he has the game to go along with it.   

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Cimorelli’s Question of the Day

Has there been a more frustrating game–start to finish–for a team’s fans than the Eagles-Redskins game on Sunday?

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The True Eagles Fans are Rooting for Dallas Tonight

I know that sounds like heresy, but I’ve thought long about about this (I spent an hour at the gym with nothing else to think about) and here is my reasoning:

  • I’m working under the assumption that 9-6-1 won’t be enough to make the playoffs, so nothing matters if they don’t beat the Redskins tomorrow
  • That means that the Dallas game next week is also a must-win, no matter what happens around the league
  • To make it, the Eagles need 2 wins, but they also need a loss from either Atlanta or Tampa Bay
  • But, here is the kicker: if Dallas wins tonight AND both Tampa Bay and Atlanta lose tomorrow (not totally out of the question, as Atlanta is a road dog against Minnesota and Tampa has an injured qb at home against San Diego), then the Cowboys clinch a playoff spot, and therefore, will be much more likely to rest injured players like Romo and Barber against the Eagles, making that game MUCH easier.

So, all that being said, a true Eagles fan is cheering for the Dallas Cowboys tonight–yeah, I know, I’m not sure I can do it either…

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Winter Meetings Recap

Here is my quick-fire recap of the action (much of it rumored) of last week in Las Vegas.  And, you can trust me on these things because, well, I was there.

Phillies sign Raul Ibanez.  As Doogan touched upon, this signing is good, on paper, because of Ibanez’s production, the relative affordability of the contract, and his great work ethic and health for a 36-year old.  He is also known to be a great clubhouse guy.  But, the concern I have is the same one that Doogan so eloquently addressed–he’s left-handed.  And, all the people who will spout that .305 average against LHs at you are failing to realize the key reason that we needed a righty.  Ibanez in the middle of the order is not going to force a manager to change pitchers.  Take, for example, a Manny Ramirez (I’m not saying that they should have signed him, this is just for argument’s sake).  If you hit Utley 3rd, Manny 4th, and Howard 5th, you force managers to burn three pitchers any time those three come up in the late innings.  Now, with Ibanez, you’re stuck either with Jayson Werth in between your two RBI guys or 3 straight lefties.  Ironically, Ruben Amaro mentioned the three keys to the offseason:  (1) get younger, (2) get more athletic, and (3) get a right-handed bat.  Well, Ruben, you just spent $31.5 million and went 0-3.  You can’t argue with character, though.  Hey, at least Greg Dobbs is happy.  Honestly, I’m not trying to be skeptical.  I think this is a great acquisition.

CC’s monster deal.  As unsurprising as a record-setting $161 million contract can be, that is how this was.  There was no doubt that CC would end up in the Bronx, the only question was how ridiculous would the contract be?  And,  you know what?  It’s pretty ridiculous.  He’s not Barry Zito, but he’s also not Johan Santana.  And he is 295 pounds.  I think the Yankees had to do this, but I bet they are regretting their steadfast committment to Ian Kennedy and Phil Hughes because the money would have been better spent on Santana.

A.J.’s monster deal.  Just as I was writing this, ESPN announced that the Yankees struck again, signing A.J. Burnett to a 5-year, $82 million deal.  I do not think Sabathia’s deal is going to be a bad one, but I do think this just might.  More on Burnett a little later. 

Mets new bullpen.  I think the K-Rod signing, though I’m not criticizing because it was a necessary gamble, is just that–a gamble.  I think it’s a bit odd that the Angels did not even offer him a contract.  Do they know something?  Either way, good job by the Mets filling their biggest hole with the best guy on the market.  The real coup was the J.J. Putz trade.  They gave away nothing of real import and got a seriously underrated reliever, who has the makeup of someone who will probably go into the 8th inning role with professionalism and fire.  Their bullpen just went from one of the worst in baseball to much better than average, if not one of the best.  Uh oh.  Oh, and to make matters worse, they no longer have Aaron Heilman–big trouble for the NL East.  It will now be interesting to see how (and if) the Mets address a couple other glaring holes that they have–starting pitching and corner-outfield.  Oh, and apparently, K-Rod is already taking to the NL East, calling the Mets the “team to beat.”

Indians sign Kerry Wood.  The only surprise here is why did it take the Indians this long to realize that Joe Borowski isn’t a good closer.  I think they would have been better served trading for Putz, Street, or Jenks, but with Wood, they don’t have to give up anything except money–$20.5 million.  If healthy, he can be dominant.

The Derek Lowe Sweepstakes.  Now, the best pitcher on the market, Lowe is 36 years old and looking for a 4 or 5 year deal.  As I have stated several times prior, I think the Phillies should spend the money on Lowe.  I would prefer to sign him to a 3-year deal, but if they have to go 4, I would be okay with that.  I do not think I would give him a 5th year, however.  Lowe just seems like the perfect fit for the Phillies.  He is a sinker-ball pitcher, which makes him perfect for The Bank.  He will get 4-6 runs per game in run support, which means that over the next three years, he easily wins 40-50 games for the Phils.  Also, because of the sinker ball, he probably will not be a victim of age as much as other pitchers that rely on velocity.  He has pitched big games before and could be a good addition to the staff and the clubhouse.  It seems like signing Lowe would preclude the Phils from bringing back Jamie Moyer, but I am okay with that.  My best guess is that when a 46-year old pitcher “loses it,” he loses it fast.  And as much as Mr. Moyer will forever hold a place in my sporting heart, teams that throw money around sentimentally don’t defend titles.  That being said, I would take Moyer for a reasonable price.  [Apparently, since I work and can’t write these things in one sitting, Moyer has signed with the Phillies–terms not disclosed, so we don’t know if it was “reasonable.”]

The Mark Teixeira Sweepstakes.  The fact that Scott Boras holds all the cards should really be investigated.  Tell me that he isn’t pushing Teixeira to the Red Sox because he can then sell Manny to the Angels or Yankees.  And, tell me that he isn’t offering some team a discounted rate on Lowe or Tex if they will throw Jason Varitek an offer.  Possibly the most interesting Boras client ever because his client has been outspoken about wanting to go to a winner, but the biggest offer is going to come from the worst team in baseball–and Boras clients NEVER pass up the highest offer.  I am very much hoping that the Nationals make the best offer because I want to see what will happen.  If he passes it up, Boras loses money, if he takes it, Boras loses face.  I’m guessing he values money over everything, including face, but we shall see. 

The Jake Peavy Sweepstakes.  Personally, I think Mark DeRosa would be a pretty good acquisition, which is what the Phillies would acquire in a three-way with the Cubs and Padres.  And, it becomes a fantastic acquisition when you factor in that the pieces reported in the deal on the Phillies end are Chris Coste and either Kyle Kendrick or J.A. Happ.  Yes…uh…please do that!  Unfortunately, it looks like the Cubs are balking at the deal here that would acquire them a pitcher than, well, they probably don’t need.  Anyway, here’s my question:  if the majority of the “pitching” that San Diego is looking for is coming from the Phillies system, why can’t we cut out the Cubs, up the offer by adding Jason Donald (at least relatively comparable to Vitters, the Cubs’ farmhand in the deal) and maybe upgrade Happ to Carrasco or something and get Peavy to Philly?  I know that he has said that he does not want to play in Philly, but didn’t he say the same about Chicago, if I’m not mistaken?  And, don’t you think that he’s itching to get the hell out of San Diego, since they clearly don’t want him there?  I hope that this thought has at least entered the conversation–why would the Cubs get Peavy if the Phillies are supplying most of the parts that the Padres want?

Rafael Furcal Sweepstakes.  Why are there Rafael Furcal sweepstakes?  He was decent for the Braves.  Then he was real good with the Dodgers, but could not stay healthy.  I honestly do not understand how he is a “big-time” free agent, and this is coming from someone who blatantly overvalues shortstops, having been one himself.

The Manny Ramirez Sweepstakes.  Amazing what happens when the Red Sox cannot be involved.  Manny Ramirez may be the best right-handed hitter of all-time, coming off the best 2 months of his career.  How is it possible that there is no market for him?  In the latest installment of the endless entertainment that Mr. Ramirez brings us on a perpetual basis, he is now saying that he might retire.  Hahahahahaha.

Braves acquire Javier Vazquez.  This is one of those deals that slips right through the cracks–a lot of baseball fans may not have even realized this happened, but it’s kind of substantial, in my opinion.  He’s certainly not a 1 or 2, but he pitches a lot of innings, which should really help an oft-beleaguered Braves bullpen.

All those leftfielders.  There are a ton of leftfielders on the market, which means that the “economic squeeze” is probably going to fall on the likes of Pat Burrell and company.  Along with Burrell and Manny, there are also Rocco Baldelli, Juan Rivera, and tradeable commodities like Jermaine Dye and Delmon Young.

The sleeping giants, the Angels, better wake up.  So, the Angels, who have a lot of money to spend and have seen some pretty major postseason disappointment recently are involved in a lot of these free agents, but if the reports are true that they are falling behind on Teixeira, then what are they going to do?  Turn their attention to Manny?  I would, but who knows?

How good can one rotation be?  I totally believe in the belief that you can never have enough starting pitching, but why the Cubs are mortgaging some of their future for Peavy is kind of strange to me.  Who is the fifth starter on that team, if they get Peavy?  Ted Lilly?  With Ryan Dempster as highly paid #4?  Or does Dempster go back to close?  I guess if you’ve gone 100 years without winning, you can’t take any chances, huh?

Oh, the irony is hysterical.  Did anyone else see that the Yankees and Brewers were very close to a deal that would swap centerfielders, with the older, more established Mike Cameron going to the Bronx and the younger, more questionable Melky Cabrera going to Milwaukee?  Well, apparently, the deal originally fell through because–get this–the Yankees asked the Brewers to PICK UP SOME OF CAMERON’S SALARY!  Now, this would be funny for the New York Yankees to ask any team to pick up some salary, but asking the Brewers on the day after the Yankees outbid them by more than $60 million on the one guy the Brewers franchise has ever really wanted to keep?  Hahahahahahahahaha.

How is A.J. Burnett any different than Ben Sheets?  Now, I am probably very wrong about this, but please explain to me the difference between A.J. Burnett and Ben Sheets, other than them was hurt last September and the other had his only good month last September.  Why is Burnett (very talented, history of arm trouble, no heart, no real sustained success on the ML level) able to command an $82 million deal when Sheets (very talented, history of arm trouble, minor character concerns, well-proven ML success when healthy) is getting no real suitors for anything more than a relatively inexpensive 2-year deal?  Is there a much larger discrepancy in their injury histories than I can see?

Doesn’t anyone else see the glaring holes that $243 million could have fixed, but did not?  The Yankees payroll is through the roof.  They committed $161 million to Sabathia and $82 to Burnett.  Now, don’t get me wrong, these are two good pitchers, especially Sabathia, but let us not overlook a couple glaring weaknesses, one of which is MAJOR, in my opinion.  First of all, other than A-Rod, they don’t really have much thump in that lineup.  Second of all, everyone talks about the bullpen being so good–and it probably will be if Joba is a reliever.  But, he is not going to be, so it’s average, at best.  Finally–and this is the BIG one, if you ask me.  Their up-the-middle defense is TERRIBLE.  Derek Jeter was a very good shortstop, but he is most certainly NOT anymore.  Robinson Cano is a below average secondbaseman.  Melky Cabrera is a bad centerfielder (though they may trade for Cameron, who is good, but highly overrated), and Jorge Posada is a DH who wants to catch.  That is TERRIBLE.

Phils swap a AA catcher for a ML catcher.  I like this deal because Paulino is, at least, a ML-caliber player right now, while we wait for Marson.  And, Jaramillo was never going to contribute because of Marson.

Phillies extend Charlie Manuel.  He is under contract with the Phightins’ through the 2011 season now, which would make his the longest tenured Phillies manager since Paul Owens.  Plus, every article that starts with “The World Champion Phillies” is fine by me.

A baseball move, above all else.  Well, the Rays people feel that trading Edwin Jackson for Matt Joyce is a great move.  I am not so sure.  Jackson is young, cheap, and won 14 games last year.  That should command a high price.  Yes, Joyce is a promising power-hitter, which is exactly what the Rays need and, yes, Tampa has an abundance of young, cheap, quality starting pitchers, so maybe it does make sense.  The one thing that I love about this deal is that it is strictly a “baseball trade.”  There were no salary issues, no locker room issues, no behind-the-scenes stuff.  This was strictly one team needing a young pitcher and another needing a young hitter, so they traded.  That is awesome.

Orioles trade Hernandez to Reds for Freel.  On the other side of the spectrum, the Orioles dumped salary because they have a prospect coming up.  Ramon Hernandez and his $8.5 million contract was traded from Baltimore to Cincinnati, in exchange for hard-nosed outfielder Ryan Freel.  The Orioles best prospect is a catcher, Matt Wieters, and he is ready to step up.  The talent they received is probably not compensatory, but Ryan Freel is a good clubhouse guy who plays very hard–something from which this young team may benefit.

Royals add 3 semi-valuable pieces.  Not ever big “players” in the Hot Stove League, the Kansas City Royals have done a decent job this winter, in adding several bit pieces.  They traded for Coco Crisp from the Red Sox and Mike Jacobs from the Marlins (though they gave up some young talent), and added Kyle Farnsworth in free agency.  These aren’t earth-shattering moves, but f the last couple of years have taught us anything, it is that the small moves are what lead to World Series titles, not the big ones.  Okay, I’m not saying that these additions will make the Royals World Series contenders, but it is the right direction.

Struggling economy?  Apparently not.  Did you see what the Giants gave Edgar Renteria?  How does Edgar Renteria sleep at night after signing that contract.  In this year of the “struggling economy” and hard times for free agents, there are still stupid general managers who will give a mediocre shortstop with injury and character issues in the past a 2-year, $18.5 million contract.  Why?

Twins resign Nick Punto.  This is only news because I really wanted the Phillies to bring back the little guy.  He would have been a great fill-in for Utley for a couple months and then brought utility to the team the rest of the year.  However, I’m glad for him that the Twins ponied up and gave him an $8.5 million, two-year deal.  I probably wouldn’t have wanted him at that price.

Tigers signed my favorite MLB player.  This is only news because of my professional obsession with Adam Everett.  The Tigers decided that defensive shortstops are still valuable–at least worth a million bucks–and that offense is completely overrated, as they agreed to a one-year deal with Adam Everett–the major league player who most has the major league equivalent of the the D-III game that Yours Truly brought to the table.

Blue Jays take a shot on Matt Clement.  Yes, Matt Clement hasn’t made a start in a year and a half, but why not take a chance?  The guy was talented and with medicine these days, who knows?  That’s exactly what the Blue Jays did when they signed him to a minor league contract.

Oswalt’s offer is fantastic.  Roy Oswalt said that he is willing to restructure his contract to help the Astros compete in the financial market of free agents and the Hot Stove League.  Granted, he is not offering to take a pay cut, according to Richard Justice, but still he is doing anything he can to help his team win–even in the offseason.  That’s the kind of guy I want on my team.

Why would the Mariners not bring back Junior Griffey?  I rarely advocate bad teams spending money on aging players; the Mariners are a very bad team and Junior Griffey is a very aged player, but this time it’s different.  He has been such a great person to this league and bringing him home should easily pay for itself in seat revenue, if he is healthy at all.  They are talking about it, but they should just go ahead and do it.

Guys that have been discussed surrounding the Phillies:

  • Pat Burrell.  The market for Burrell is pretty dry, apparently.  He probably picked a really bad year to become a free agent, but then again, he’s already signed quite the contract in the past.
  • Chan Ho Park.  Apparently, the Phillies signed him today.  Surprisingly, I don’t really mind this deal, even though it is for $2.5 million and a bad pitcher.  I think Park has something left and it might be worth taking a shot (albeit, a relatively expensive one).  I don’t think there is any way that he is worse than a decent 6th or 7th inning guy.  Again, expensive for a middle reliever, but you’re paying for the upside.
  • Andy Pettitte.  With the Park signing, it looks unrealistic that the Phils bring in Pettitte.  I don’t think they really had a shot anyway.
  • Delmon Young.  Why they would trade prospects for such a terrible human being is beyond me.  Fortunately, the Ibanez signing pretty much put a fork in these talks–not that the Phils were all that serious to begin with.
  • Juan Rivera.  They chose Ibanez.  Good choice, methinks.
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More Ridiculous Statistics

1). With Matt Ryan leading the Falcons to their 9th win of the season, they tie the all-time NFL record for wins in a season by a team with a rookie quarterback and a rookie head coach.  Interestingly enough, they tied the record held by…the 2008 Baltimore Ravens.  Yes, before this season, the record for wins in a season by a team with rookies at quarterback and head coach was SEVEN.  Both the Ravens and the Falcons have rookies at QB and head coach, and they are both 9-5.

2). With Kurt Warner’s resurgent season, he has set the franchise record for career 300+ yard passing games as a Cardinal.  Now, the Cardinals haven’t exactly had a long, storied tradition of great passers (hell, the record he broke was held by Neil Lomax), but still, do you think Cardinal when you think Kurt Warner?  Not at all.  I thought this was weird…and ridiculous.

3). Kerry Collins has passed Jim Kelly for 14th all-time in passing yards.  Read that again.  If Collins comes back as a starter in the NFL next year and has an average year (2,500 yards), he will pass JOE MONTANA into 10th all-time.

Ridiculous

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Ibanez and Hamels

ibanezIbanez signed on for 3 years 

The Phillies added a new left-fielder today, signing Raul Ibanez to a 3-year deal worth $30 million.  Over the last three seasons, with the Mariners, Ibanez has driven in over 100 runs each year and hit about .290 each year.  He’s also averaged 25 home runs over that span, which could definitely increase with the move from pitcher-friendly Safeco Park to the Bank.  All reports indicate that he’s in great shape for a 36-year-old and his injury history is virtually non-existent. 

So, at $10 million a year for a player of that caliber, you have to say it’s a decent deal.  There’s only one concern, and it’s a pretty big one: he’s left-handed.  Everyone knows that the Phils are in need of a right-handed bat with power, and it looks like they are not going to get one anytime soon.  Ibanez did actually hit lefties really well last year, hitting .305 with a .497 slugging percentage against them, which is better than he was against righties.  However, the previous two years he struggled mightily against left-handed pitching (.256 AVG, .356 SLG in ’07 and .243 AVG, .362 SLG in ’06).  In fact, his overall career numbers show that last year’s success against lefties was probably an anomaly, and that you really don’t want him batting behind Utley and Howard.   

So, did the Phillies just pay $30 million to a 6-hitter?  Could that money have been better spent elsewhere, on a player that fills their needs better?  Or maybe the line-up can shuffled in a way that will make this work.  Ideas:

1. Rollins, 2. Victorino, 3. Utley, 4. Howard, 5. Werth, 6. Ibanez, 7. Feliz, 8. Ruiz

1. Rollins, 2. Utley, 3. Werth, 4. Howard, 5. Ibanez, 6. Victorino, 7. Feliz, 8. Ruiz

Any others?  Also, does this signing possibly signal that the Phils are looking to move Howard, either this offseason or next?

Hamels disses Metshamels

Cole Hamels went on WFAN with the great Mike Francesa yesterday and called the Mets “choke artists”.  Granted, Francesa kind of led him into saying it, but he still said it pretty emphatically. 

Now, first of all, he’s basically stating a fact here.  I don’t think I’ve talked to a single Mets fan over the past year (and I’ve talked to a lot) that wouldn’t agree that their team has repeatedly buckled under the pressure.  So, the question really is: Should Hamels have said it? 

A few months ago, I would have said, No way.  Why put a bull’s eye on your back, Cole?  Are you willing to handle the torment and pressure you just put on yourself?  But, just in case you didn’t catch it, in the postseason a couple months ago, Mr. Hamels made 5 starts with a 1.80 ERA and carried his team to a World Series title. It’s fair to say he can handle the pressure and that he can throw a choke artist label on whoever he damn well pleases.

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Assessing the Eagles’ Playoff Chances

westbrookI’m sure I wasn’t alone in completely writing off the Eagles playoff chances after the disaster in Baltimore a few weeks ago.  They were sitting at 5-5-1, with possibly 4 of their last 5 games against playoff-bound teams.  It seemed that their only shot at the playoffs was to win all 5 games. 

Well, after knocking off the Cardinals and the Giants in successive weeks, they are 2/5 of the way to that goal, with the biggest hurdle already behind them.  Let’s assume that they beat Cleveland at home on Monday night (I’m not really assuming that, but for the sake of this discussion, let’s go with it).  That will leave them with two divisional games: at Washington and then Dallas at home to close out the season. 

Both of those games will be tough, but it’s very possible the Eagles will be favored in each of them.  The Redskins were playing well at the beginning of the season (including a win in Philly), but if you look at their last 8 games, it’s pretty dismal.  In that span, they are 3-5, with the three wins against Detroit, Seattle, and Cleveland, and a loss at home to St. Louis.  If the Eagles can keep playing the way they have the last two weeks (admittedly, not a small ‘if’), they should win that game.

That win would set up a showdown with Dallas in Week 17 that could be a virtual playoff game, with the winner taking a wild-card spot and the loser going home.  It’s too far in advance to start thinking about how that game would play out, but it’s safe to say it would be very interesting. 

Now, what are the chances that the Eagles can lose a game and still sneak into the playoffs, with a 9-6-1 record?  Certainly not good, but let’s take a quick look at the situation.  Right now, you can mark down division crowns for the Giants and the Cardinals.  Let’s assume (again, not a completely safe assumption) that a wild-card doesn’t come out of the North, and Minnesota or Chicago wins the division.  With Carolina already at 10 wins and Tampa Bay just one win away from that plateau, let’s put both of them into the field. That leaves only one spot, with the contenders being: Dallas (8-5), Atlanta (8-5), Washington (7-6), New Orleans (7-6), and the Eagles. 

Of those other four teams, Atlanta actually figures to be the biggest threat.  They need to win 2 of 3 to get to 10 wins, and one of their remaining games is St. Louis at home, so you can give them that one.  That means they have to either beat Tampa at home or Minnesota on the road.  Eagles fans should keep a close eye on both of those contests, rooting for a Falcon loss.

Anyway, based on my incredibly unscientific calculations (and help with the math from the resident BSB mathematics expert, Jason Cim),  we’ve determined that the Eagles’ odds of making the playoffs with a 9-6-1 record is roughly 14.3%.  In other words, it’s fairly safe to call each game a “must-win”.   

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